David Croy
ANZ economists estimate it would take 37 years and low house price growth for the house price to income multiple to return to 2019 levels; They expect small rate hikes to go a long way towards cooling the economy
1st Aug 21, 6:01am
124
ANZ economists estimate it would take 37 years and low house price growth for the house price to income multiple to return to 2019 levels; They expect small rate hikes to go a long way towards cooling the economy
ANZ strategist argues QE has done its job, so the Reserve Bank should wind back its bond-buying ahead of hiking the OCR
4th Jul 21, 6:59am
47
ANZ strategist argues QE has done its job, so the Reserve Bank should wind back its bond-buying ahead of hiking the OCR
Economists at the country's biggest mortgage lender suggest borrowers consider fixing 'at least a portion' of their mortgages for longer terms
9th Jun 21, 3:18pm
12
Economists at the country's biggest mortgage lender suggest borrowers consider fixing 'at least a portion' of their mortgages for longer terms
Those from within the banking world don't see problems with the RBNZ having to keep buying bonds on the back of its LSAP programme; But an academic worries NZ's headed for a train wreck
6th Jun 21, 6:01am
31
Those from within the banking world don't see problems with the RBNZ having to keep buying bonds on the back of its LSAP programme; But an academic worries NZ's headed for a train wreck
RBNZ makes hawkish tilt, warning mortgage holders to be wary of debt serviceability while keeping monetary conditions loose
26th May 21, 8:10pm
78
RBNZ makes hawkish tilt, warning mortgage holders to be wary of debt serviceability while keeping monetary conditions loose
Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
25th May 21, 11:10am
17
Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
Economists at the country's largest bank now see an Official Cash Rate of 1.25% by the end of 2023 - compared with just 0.25% now
17th May 21, 4:03pm
53
Economists at the country's largest bank now see an Official Cash Rate of 1.25% by the end of 2023 - compared with just 0.25% now
Treasury expected to issue less debt than planned, as NZ weathers the COVID-19 storm better than expected and the Government doesn't spend all it borrows
4th May 21, 6:00am
74
Treasury expected to issue less debt than planned, as NZ weathers the COVID-19 storm better than expected and the Government doesn't spend all it borrows
ANZ economists say after the recent housing policy changes by the Government there's a greater chance that interest rate increases could cause investors to sell up; RBNZ may wait too long to raise rates
21st Apr 21, 2:58pm
83
ANZ economists say after the recent housing policy changes by the Government there's a greater chance that interest rate increases could cause investors to sell up; RBNZ may wait too long to raise rates
RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
8th Mar 21, 4:11pm
55
RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
20th Feb 21, 12:27pm
27
No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
15th Feb 21, 8:00am
35
Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate
20th Jan 21, 1:26pm
118
ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate
Economists expect the RBNZ to respond to government pressure over house prices by restricting bank lending; Financial markets now see lower odds of a negative OCR in 2021
25th Nov 20, 6:58am
16
Economists expect the RBNZ to respond to government pressure over house prices by restricting bank lending; Financial markets now see lower odds of a negative OCR in 2021
ANZ economists say the fear of missing out dynamic has the potential to contribute to frothiness in the housing market that ultimately cannot be sustained
2nd Nov 20, 11:58am
55
ANZ economists say the fear of missing out dynamic has the potential to contribute to frothiness in the housing market that ultimately cannot be sustained
ANZ economists expect the Reserve Bank to unveil the new funding for lending programme (FLP) next month and say it will need to involve a considerable amount to ensure maximum impact
22nd Oct 20, 12:50pm
63
ANZ economists expect the Reserve Bank to unveil the new funding for lending programme (FLP) next month and say it will need to involve a considerable amount to ensure maximum impact
ANZ economists say negative interest rates won't be without potential costs and they believe the Reserve Bank will have to weigh these against perceived benefits when deciding whether to drop the Official Cash Rate below zero
22nd Sep 20, 2:03pm
36
ANZ economists say negative interest rates won't be without potential costs and they believe the Reserve Bank will have to weigh these against perceived benefits when deciding whether to drop the Official Cash Rate below zero
Economists at ANZ and ASB now see the Reserve Bank taking the Official Cash Rate negative next year
18th Aug 20, 2:00pm
74
Economists at ANZ and ASB now see the Reserve Bank taking the Official Cash Rate negative next year
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
11th Aug 20, 5:00am
25
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
21st Jul 20, 2:56pm
70
ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
RBNZ offers to buy up to $3 billion of local government bonds, in addition to $30 billion of central government bonds, to support liquidity
7th Apr 20, 4:20pm
37
RBNZ offers to buy up to $3 billion of local government bonds, in addition to $30 billion of central government bonds, to support liquidity
A wrap of all the tricks the Reserve Bank's pulled out of its bag (so far) to keep cash flowing through the economy
31st Mar 20, 7:37am
24
A wrap of all the tricks the Reserve Bank's pulled out of its bag (so far) to keep cash flowing through the economy
ANZ New Zealand economists call for RBNZ quantitative easing 'in the ballpark of' $15 billion to $20 billion annually to soothe financial markets and ease bank funding costs
19th Mar 20, 11:05am
107
ANZ New Zealand economists call for RBNZ quantitative easing 'in the ballpark of' $15 billion to $20 billion annually to soothe financial markets and ease bank funding costs
ANZ economists see regional house prices as likely out-performing those in the country's largest city in the near term
26th Aug 15, 1:09pm
32
ANZ economists see regional house prices as likely out-performing those in the country's largest city in the near term
ANZ NZ economists wade into fixed v floating mortgage debate, suggest a good option is spliting your mortgage into three or four tranches
21st Mar 12, 12:57pm
40
ANZ NZ economists wade into fixed v floating mortgage debate, suggest a good option is spliting your mortgage into three or four tranches