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GDP

Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
25th Jul 22, 8:10am
4
Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
As our Official Cash Rate is being increased at never-before-seen speed, David Hargreaves tries to make sense of it all and the potential repercussions
21st Jul 22, 1:24pm
65
As our Official Cash Rate is being increased at never-before-seen speed, David Hargreaves tries to make sense of it all and the potential repercussions
Quality analysis, unlike that done by the bank economists and Reserve Bank, points to a dire near-term outlook, questioning the case for more OCR hikes at this stage, says Rodney Dickens
20th Jul 22, 11:39am
166
Quality analysis, unlike that done by the bank economists and Reserve Bank, points to a dire near-term outlook, questioning the case for more OCR hikes at this stage, says Rodney Dickens
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
19th Jul 22, 2:30pm
88
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
18th Jul 22, 1:53pm
67
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
18th Jul 22, 10:54am
212
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
18th Jul 22, 8:32am
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Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away
18th Jul 22, 8:17am
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Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
15th Jul 22, 9:07am
90
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
David Hargreaves attempts to caution us against talking ourselves into a lingering economic downturn
12th Jul 22, 12:42pm
78
David Hargreaves attempts to caution us against talking ourselves into a lingering economic downturn
Statistics New Zealand says retail spending - excluding fuel - dropped by 0.3% in June
11th Jul 22, 11:33am
37
Statistics New Zealand says retail spending - excluding fuel - dropped by 0.3% in June
Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term
11th Jul 22, 8:32am
9
Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term
Roger J Kerr asks: Why would the NZ dollar be on the same footing as the Japanese Yen?
11th Jul 22, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr asks: Why would the NZ dollar be on the same footing as the Japanese Yen?
ANZ economists say rising wages and strong savings should prevent consumer spending falling rapidly though they do think consumption growth 'will slow to a crawl' from the second half of the year
7th Jul 22, 7:50am
28
ANZ economists say rising wages and strong savings should prevent consumer spending falling rapidly though they do think consumption growth 'will slow to a crawl' from the second half of the year
The latest research series from the RBNZ highlights just how urgent it is that we avoid the toxic combination of fast rising population, masses of cheap debt and constrained housing supply in future, David Hargreaves says
6th Jul 22, 8:21am
194
The latest research series from the RBNZ highlights just how urgent it is that we avoid the toxic combination of fast rising population, masses of cheap debt and constrained housing supply in future, David Hargreaves says
ASB economists say tackling labour shortages looks to be the key to mitigating inflationary pressure
6th Jul 22, 8:00am
30
ASB economists say tackling labour shortages looks to be the key to mitigating inflationary pressure
Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
4th Jul 22, 2:40pm
15
Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
RBNZ research and modelling shows that actual housing allocations in New Zealand household balance sheets could have been even higher than already-large present levels
4th Jul 22, 1:18pm
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RBNZ research and modelling shows that actual housing allocations in New Zealand household balance sheets could have been even higher than already-large present levels
Economist Brian Easton says behavioural economics challenges our assumptions about the relevance of rational economic man
4th Jul 22, 9:01am
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Economist Brian Easton says behavioural economics challenges our assumptions about the relevance of rational economic man
Roger J Kerr says just why New Zealand would be taking up such an aggressive foreign policy stance against our largest export/import trading partner, China, beggars belief
4th Jul 22, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says just why New Zealand would be taking up such an aggressive foreign policy stance against our largest export/import trading partner, China, beggars belief
RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
1st Jul 22, 8:03am
85
RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
ANZ economists say firms are increasingly pessimistic about the outlook for activity and profitability; cost and inflation pressures remain high; profit expectations have sagged to low levels similar to those seen after the GFC
30th Jun 22, 1:27pm
20
ANZ economists say firms are increasingly pessimistic about the outlook for activity and profitability; cost and inflation pressures remain high; profit expectations have sagged to low levels similar to those seen after the GFC
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
30th Jun 22, 12:04pm
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
ASB economists predict that consumer spending growth 'will weaken to anaemic levels later this year'
27th Jun 22, 2:34pm
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ASB economists predict that consumer spending growth 'will weaken to anaemic levels later this year'
Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data
27th Jun 22, 8:46am
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Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data