GDP
David Hargreaves has a crunch of inflation expectations in which he points out that getting people to predict what they think inflation will be in future is not about whether they can pick a correct number or not
10th Aug 22, 8:30am
61
David Hargreaves has a crunch of inflation expectations in which he points out that getting people to predict what they think inflation will be in future is not about whether they can pick a correct number or not
BNZ economists say one of the tricky aspects facing the RBNZ is the 'market' desire to price in interest rate cuts next year
9th Aug 22, 9:17am
67
BNZ economists say one of the tricky aspects facing the RBNZ is the 'market' desire to price in interest rate cuts next year
Influential RBNZ survey shows significant fall in expectations of inflation in two years time - but the fall is unlikely to deter the central bank from another 50 point OCR hike next week
8th Aug 22, 3:33pm
31
Influential RBNZ survey shows significant fall in expectations of inflation in two years time - but the fall is unlikely to deter the central bank from another 50 point OCR hike next week
Westpac economists think NZ is finding where the unemployment floor lies, with no net growth in Job numbers and all of the heat in labour market coming through in pay rates
8th Aug 22, 12:00pm
62
Westpac economists think NZ is finding where the unemployment floor lies, with no net growth in Job numbers and all of the heat in labour market coming through in pay rates
Economist Brian Easton says too many commentators on current price pressures have not understood that this time it is very different from the 1970s. Their prescriptions may accelerate inflation
8th Aug 22, 8:42am
13
Economist Brian Easton says too many commentators on current price pressures have not understood that this time it is very different from the 1970s. Their prescriptions may accelerate inflation
Roger J Kerr says the markets are potentially under-estimating how quickly inflation could reduce over the second half of the year and, in turn, prompt central banks to ease their foot off the tight monetary policy brake a lot sooner than most imagined
8th Aug 22, 8:25am
9
Roger J Kerr says the markets are potentially under-estimating how quickly inflation could reduce over the second half of the year and, in turn, prompt central banks to ease their foot off the tight monetary policy brake a lot sooner than most imagined
Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
4th Aug 22, 9:46am
30
Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
David Hargreaves bemoans the lack of foresight of NZ governments - which is about to be demonstrated again with a forthcoming downturn in housing construction
2nd Aug 22, 12:37pm
65
David Hargreaves bemoans the lack of foresight of NZ governments - which is about to be demonstrated again with a forthcoming downturn in housing construction
John Mauldin says the US is probably in an as-yet-undeclared recession, but he can't recall any other recession coinciding with record-low unemployment and jammed airports
2nd Aug 22, 11:29am
22
John Mauldin says the US is probably in an as-yet-undeclared recession, but he can't recall any other recession coinciding with record-low unemployment and jammed airports
Economist Brian Easton says an opposition caucus is a seething mass of factions, schemings, plottings and plans for coups
1st Aug 22, 8:55am
24
Economist Brian Easton says an opposition caucus is a seething mass of factions, schemings, plottings and plans for coups
Roger J Kerr says instead of harking for an independent enquiry into past RBNZ past decisions, our energy and intellectual horsepower is better off addressing changes we could make that result in us being less vulnerable to boom/bust cycles
1st Aug 22, 8:29am
10
Roger J Kerr says instead of harking for an independent enquiry into past RBNZ past decisions, our energy and intellectual horsepower is better off addressing changes we could make that result in us being less vulnerable to boom/bust cycles
Collapse in residential construction sentiment highlights another gloomy ANZ Business Outlook Survey
28th Jul 22, 1:17pm
79
Collapse in residential construction sentiment highlights another gloomy ANZ Business Outlook Survey
Statistics New Zealand says the highest spending households are more affected by the rising mortgage rates
26th Jul 22, 11:26am
30
Statistics New Zealand says the highest spending households are more affected by the rising mortgage rates
[updated]
One-term Governor joins Brash, Spencer, Grimes and McDermott in criticising RBNZ's QE-laden looseness since 2019
26th Jul 22, 8:41am
74
One-term Governor joins Brash, Spencer, Grimes and McDermott in criticising RBNZ's QE-laden looseness since 2019
BNZ economists see unemployment rate falling further and say unless there are soon signs 'the worm is turning' the RBNZ will have to contemplate 'a more aggressive interest rate track'
25th Jul 22, 3:07pm
39
BNZ economists see unemployment rate falling further and say unless there are soon signs 'the worm is turning' the RBNZ will have to contemplate 'a more aggressive interest rate track'
Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
25th Jul 22, 11:54am
76
Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
Economist Brian Easton questions whether we are keeping up with the changing global trade patterns
25th Jul 22, 9:14am
1
Economist Brian Easton questions whether we are keeping up with the changing global trade patterns
Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
25th Jul 22, 8:10am
4
Roger J Kerr says the reversal in US bond yields is telling us that the sentiment and expectations from both bond investors and borrowers is that they see lower inflation and lower interest rates in the future
As our Official Cash Rate is being increased at never-before-seen speed, David Hargreaves tries to make sense of it all and the potential repercussions
21st Jul 22, 1:24pm
65
As our Official Cash Rate is being increased at never-before-seen speed, David Hargreaves tries to make sense of it all and the potential repercussions
Quality analysis, unlike that done by the bank economists and Reserve Bank, points to a dire near-term outlook, questioning the case for more OCR hikes at this stage, says Rodney Dickens
20th Jul 22, 11:39am
166
Quality analysis, unlike that done by the bank economists and Reserve Bank, points to a dire near-term outlook, questioning the case for more OCR hikes at this stage, says Rodney Dickens
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
19th Jul 22, 2:30pm
88
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
18th Jul 22, 1:53pm
67
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
18th Jul 22, 10:54am
212
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
18th Jul 22, 8:32am
17
Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away
18th Jul 22, 8:17am
1
Roger J Kerr says US inflation has not quite peaked yet, but the peak is not far away