GDP
Economist Brian Easton says the outlook does not look that promising
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
20th Jun 22, 8:26am
10
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
203
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
70
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
13th Jun 22, 2:33pm
8
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
13th Jun 22, 10:16am
15
This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
13th Jun 22, 8:27am
13
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
12th Jun 22, 6:00am
151
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
6th Jun 22, 9:15am
27
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
3rd Jun 22, 8:30am
134
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
ANZ's Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga on government fiscal policy, inflation and 'the climate new normal'
1st Jun 22, 1:52pm
4
ANZ's Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga on government fiscal policy, inflation and 'the climate new normal'
[updated]
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
31st May 22, 1:24pm
57
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
172
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
In its final report on an inquiry into New Zealand long term immigration settings, the Productivity Commission recommends abolishing the category of 'permanent resident'
31st May 22, 12:01am
77
In its final report on an inquiry into New Zealand long term immigration settings, the Productivity Commission recommends abolishing the category of 'permanent resident'
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
30th May 22, 8:37am
12
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
27th May 22, 10:52am
10
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
23rd May 22, 8:34am
1
Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
A repeat of 1970s-style stagflation is unlikely but high inflation needs to end soon, Bank for International Settlements bulletin article argues
23rd May 22, 8:30am
15
A repeat of 1970s-style stagflation is unlikely but high inflation needs to end soon, Bank for International Settlements bulletin article argues
IMF says New Zealand house prices have increased by almost four times the average increase across OECD countries since 1998
16th May 22, 10:11am
164
IMF says New Zealand house prices have increased by almost four times the average increase across OECD countries since 1998
Economist Brian Easton says while the new fiscal rules may not be contentious, what they mean for macroeconomic management is not explained
16th May 22, 8:44am
1
Economist Brian Easton says while the new fiscal rules may not be contentious, what they mean for macroeconomic management is not explained
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
16th May 22, 8:22am
6
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
Influential RBNZ survey shows that even though the central bank has already hiked interest rates to fight inflation, people believe that high inflation is going to be with us for quite some time
12th May 22, 3:21pm
34
Influential RBNZ survey shows that even though the central bank has already hiked interest rates to fight inflation, people believe that high inflation is going to be with us for quite some time
Economist Brian Easton says population growth has some effect on economic growth, but it is complicated especially where infrastructure is involved. We need to think more about it
9th May 22, 8:25am
66
Economist Brian Easton says population growth has some effect on economic growth, but it is complicated especially where infrastructure is involved. We need to think more about it
Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
9th May 22, 8:10am
10
Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
Economist Brian Easton says reductions in effective productivity, largely as a result of events overseas, require reductions in real incomes. Ignore that and you cannot defeat inflation
2nd May 22, 7:15am
47
Economist Brian Easton says reductions in effective productivity, largely as a result of events overseas, require reductions in real incomes. Ignore that and you cannot defeat inflation