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Median house price growth
This chart tracks the change in the monthly median house price, from its level one year ago.
The data is sourced from the REINZ, and is disclosed regionally.
The 'median price' is the middle price. It is different from the 'average price' (also known as the 'mean price'). For example, the median is the series of numbers 1,2,4,5,16,25,40 is 5 - that is the middle number. But the average of that same series is 13.29 - where you add them all up, and divide by the number of them.
There are advantages and disadvantages for reporting the median, but over time it has become common practice worldwide to report market benchmark prices as the median.
Be careful when you see other house price reports - they often report 'average', and this can be moved more easily by a few outlier prices especially when volumes are low. Real estate agents typically report 'averages', as does Quotable Value.
On the other hand, 'median' prices can mask market shifts sometimes, at least for a short while.
Also remember, the prices listed are not 'what is available in the market', only the median of what actually sold.
One advantage the REINZ series has is that it reports prices as soon as a sale becomes unconditional. Other measures that rely of formal title registration can take longer to reveal market changes. A further point to note is that 'median price' is of all types and specification of houses sold. The range will include small shoebox apartments all the way up to palatial mansions. The REINZ series makes no distinction.
In fact, nationally, the 'middle price' might be a house in the Waikato one month, and one in Wellington the next, for example. There is no filter that means it will always be (for example) a 3 bedroom, 1000m2 section, or in fact any standard.
To attempt to overcome some of these issues, the Reserve Bank and the REINZ have started a modified house price series, called the 'stratified index', although it is only available for the three main centers, and the 'rest of the North Island' and the 'rest of the South Island'. It is a start towards a better basis, but only a start.
2 Comments
I agree with that last
I agree with that last comment -also put a straight line on it to show best fit, you might find that we are not that far above the long term trend line, cheers
can we have the chart in log
can we have the chart in log or smilog for as far as the data go, i.e. those charts do not have the period of 1987 crash or the late 1960+ early 1970's so we could have a better picture for the newzealand market. specially if its combined with the sales volume as there is allot of change in the immigration and new settlers.
regards
thabet