Bonds
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Auckland house completions fall, farmer sentiment at record low, immigration high, swaps little-changed, NZD holds, & more
11th Oct 23, 3:59pm
59
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Auckland house completions fall, farmer sentiment at record low, immigration high, swaps little-changed, NZD holds, & more
Markets taking a sanguine view on Israel-Hamas conflict. Market more focused on the possible end of Fed tightening cycle after recent Fed speeches. Chance of additional Fed hike down to 30%; US Treasuries sustain yesterday's rally
11th Oct 23, 7:52am
Markets taking a sanguine view on Israel-Hamas conflict. Market more focused on the possible end of Fed tightening cycle after recent Fed speeches. Chance of additional Fed hike down to 30%; US Treasuries sustain yesterday's rally
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV sees flat market, Kiwibank sees lower card spend, RBNZ sees lower house values, swaps lower, NZD higher, & more
10th Oct 23, 3:59pm
21
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV sees flat market, Kiwibank sees lower card spend, RBNZ sees lower house values, swaps lower, NZD higher, & more
Market focused on implications of renewed geopolitical risk. Muted reaction so far. Fed speakers say they are mindful of the recent tightening in financial conditions
10th Oct 23, 7:40am
Market focused on implications of renewed geopolitical risk. Muted reaction so far. Fed speakers say they are mindful of the recent tightening in financial conditions
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, milk payout raised, job ads retreat, grocery supplier cost rises ease, Gaza reactions muted in financial markets, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
9th Oct 23, 3:59pm
60
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, milk payout raised, job ads retreat, grocery supplier cost rises ease, Gaza reactions muted in financial markets, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
US nonfarm payrolls easily beat expectations resulting in significant moves across asset markets. They rose double the consensus estimate, with sizable upward revisions to previous months. US treasuries sold off aggressively following the data
9th Oct 23, 7:35am
US nonfarm payrolls easily beat expectations resulting in significant moves across asset markets. They rose double the consensus estimate, with sizable upward revisions to previous months. US treasuries sold off aggressively following the data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, more private dwellings, less new policy, SBS 'wins', swaps on hold, NZD firms, & more
6th Oct 23, 3:59pm
46
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, more private dwellings, less new policy, SBS 'wins', swaps on hold, NZD firms, & more
Markets stable ahead of US labour data. Oil down -14% from September highs. US initial jobless claims steady. Global bond markets take pause from the aggressive recent sell-off
6th Oct 23, 7:31am
Markets stable ahead of US labour data. Oil down -14% from September highs. US initial jobless claims steady. Global bond markets take pause from the aggressive recent sell-off
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; a few home loan rate changes, year-end Govt accounts released, commodity prices up, Tatua shines again, swaps unchanged, NZD firms, & more
5th Oct 23, 3:59pm
60
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; a few home loan rate changes, year-end Govt accounts released, commodity prices up, Tatua shines again, swaps unchanged, NZD firms, & more
David Hargreaves says inflation data due to be released within two weeks will absolutely be crucial in deciding whether the Reserve Bank hikes interest rates again before Christmas
5th Oct 23, 9:21am
22
David Hargreaves says inflation data due to be released within two weeks will absolutely be crucial in deciding whether the Reserve Bank hikes interest rates again before Christmas
Global bond yields pulled back from multi-year highs. The ADP estimate of US private non-farm payrolls lower than consensus estimates. Oil prices fell to the lowest level since early September
5th Oct 23, 7:50am
Global bond yields pulled back from multi-year highs. The ADP estimate of US private non-farm payrolls lower than consensus estimates. Oil prices fell to the lowest level since early September
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, RBNZ delivers a hawkish hold as expected, dairy prices up, Westpac eases conditions, swaps up, NZD down, & more
4th Oct 23, 3:58pm
35
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, RBNZ delivers a hawkish hold as expected, dairy prices up, Westpac eases conditions, swaps up, NZD down, & more
Stronger than expected US JOLTS report sends US 10-year rate up to fresh highs and pushes USD DXY index up to fresh YTD high; yen jittery
4th Oct 23, 7:54am
Stronger than expected US JOLTS report sends US 10-year rate up to fresh highs and pushes USD DXY index up to fresh YTD high; yen jittery
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Rabobank raises TD rates, Barfoots September nearly at long-run average, QSBO points to softer labour market, NPLs rise, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
3rd Oct 23, 3:59pm
55
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Rabobank raises TD rates, Barfoots September nearly at long-run average, QSBO points to softer labour market, NPLs rise, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
Surprise weekend resolution to avoid US government shutdown and stronger than expected US ISM manufacturing survey add to upside pressure on rates. Fresh highs in yields and steeper curves; US 10-year rate cracks 4.7% before market finds support
3rd Oct 23, 7:48am
Surprise weekend resolution to avoid US government shutdown and stronger than expected US ISM manufacturing survey add to upside pressure on rates. Fresh highs in yields and steeper curves; US 10-year rate cracks 4.7% before market finds support
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate increases, building consents stumble, newer cars sold, fewer listings, longer weather forecasts, swaps up, NZD stays firm, & more
2nd Oct 23, 3:59pm
65
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate increases, building consents stumble, newer cars sold, fewer listings, longer weather forecasts, swaps up, NZD stays firm, & more
Global markets were generally subdued into month-end after large losses for bonds and equities during September. Further signs of easing price pressures in the US and Eurozone
2nd Oct 23, 7:43am
Global markets were generally subdued into month-end after large losses for bonds and equities during September. Further signs of easing price pressures in the US and Eurozone
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming Official Cash Rate review and says observers will be looking very hard for any clues at all as to whether the central bank is moving from its current 'on hold' stance with interest rates
1st Oct 23, 6:00am
48
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming Official Cash Rate review and says observers will be looking very hard for any clues at all as to whether the central bank is moving from its current 'on hold' stance with interest rates
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; housing lending lackluster but repricing risk grows, funds flood back to TDs, consumer sentiment surprise, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
29th Sep 23, 3:59pm
104
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; housing lending lackluster but repricing risk grows, funds flood back to TDs, consumer sentiment surprise, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
UK gilts sell-off leads another bout of higher rates around the world and fresh cycle highs; US 10-year rate up to 4.69% before reversing course. Progress in UAW and carmaker wage negotiations, and improving US/China talks support risk appetite
29th Sep 23, 7:53am
UK gilts sell-off leads another bout of higher rates around the world and fresh cycle highs; US 10-year rate up to 4.69% before reversing course. Progress in UAW and carmaker wage negotiations, and improving US/China talks support risk appetite
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday: business mood improves but ..., eyes on young people leaving, NZGB bond demand softer, fewer cranes, swaps & NZD stable, & more
28th Sep 23, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday: business mood improves but ..., eyes on young people leaving, NZGB bond demand softer, fewer cranes, swaps & NZD stable, & more
Global long-term rates up to fresh cycle highs; US 10-year reaches 4.63%, curve steepens further; US equities continue to fall. Oil prices up 3% to fresh highs for the year as US crude inventories running low
28th Sep 23, 8:00am
Global long-term rates up to fresh cycle highs; US 10-year reaches 4.63%, curve steepens further; US equities continue to fall. Oil prices up 3% to fresh highs for the year as US crude inventories running low
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; BNZ tweaks up some home loan rates, employment confidence falls, Geneva probed by RBNZ, swaps unchanged, NZD slips, & more
27th Sep 23, 3:59pm
31
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; BNZ tweaks up some home loan rates, employment confidence falls, Geneva probed by RBNZ, swaps unchanged, NZD slips, & more
After selling close to $4 billion of NZ dollars in July, last month the RBNZ had its largest net gain of Kiwi dollars since 2015
27th Sep 23, 3:42pm
12
After selling close to $4 billion of NZ dollars in July, last month the RBNZ had its largest net gain of Kiwi dollars since 2015
US Treasury yields trade near cycle highs with little net movement overnight; Global forces send NZ rates up to fresh highs yesterday. USD broadly stronger, but only small moves overall
27th Sep 23, 7:53am
US Treasury yields trade near cycle highs with little net movement overnight; Global forces send NZ rates up to fresh highs yesterday. USD broadly stronger, but only small moves overall