GDP
Roger J Kerr says the view and outlook that the US dollar will weaken against all currencies this year is now under some scrutiny and pressure
5th Feb 24, 8:02am
4
Roger J Kerr says the view and outlook that the US dollar will weaken against all currencies this year is now under some scrutiny and pressure
Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
1st Feb 24, 11:16am
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Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
31st Jan 24, 2:27pm
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Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
'Overall, businesses expect the worst is past. Although the medicine has been bitter, it’s working'
31st Jan 24, 1:26pm
7
'Overall, businesses expect the worst is past. Although the medicine has been bitter, it’s working'
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
30th Jan 24, 10:55am
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Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
29th Jan 24, 8:30am
4
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
22nd Jan 24, 1:53pm
20
Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
22nd Jan 24, 7:55am
2
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
18th Jan 24, 4:08pm
31
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
16th Jan 24, 9:54am
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The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
ASB economists assess the key risks in the year ahead - there's plenty
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
10
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
8th Jan 24, 8:51am
1
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
David Mahon says despite considerable challenges, the Chinese economy is recovering, and will offer the strongest and most investible market for the rest of the decade
21st Dec 23, 9:24am
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David Mahon says despite considerable challenges, the Chinese economy is recovering, and will offer the strongest and most investible market for the rest of the decade
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
20th Dec 23, 9:51am
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Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows that inflation expectations have fallen but pricing intentions have risen; the post-election rise in business confidence has continued
19th Dec 23, 1:33pm
23
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows that inflation expectations have fallen but pricing intentions have risen; the post-election rise in business confidence has continued
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
18th Dec 23, 2:28pm
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ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
In his Economists in the Cold War book, Alan Bollard contrasts Saburo Okita of Japan with Zhou En Lai of China to highlight a critical issue, writes economist Brian Easton
18th Dec 23, 9:01am
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In his Economists in the Cold War book, Alan Bollard contrasts Saburo Okita of Japan with Zhou En Lai of China to highlight a critical issue, writes economist Brian Easton
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
18th Dec 23, 8:23am
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Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
BNZ Head of Research Stephen Toplis on the NZ economy 'bouncing along the bottom' and what to expect in 2024
17th Dec 23, 7:00am
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BNZ Head of Research Stephen Toplis on the NZ economy 'bouncing along the bottom' and what to expect in 2024
Wholesale interest rates drop sharply after Statistics NZ reports soft economic data and the US Federal Reserve signals it could cut interest rates soon
15th Dec 23, 12:25pm
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Wholesale interest rates drop sharply after Statistics NZ reports soft economic data and the US Federal Reserve signals it could cut interest rates soon
The Reserve Bank finds itself stuck in the middle of still-high inflation and an economy that is buckling under far more quickly than had been believed
14th Dec 23, 2:38pm
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The Reserve Bank finds itself stuck in the middle of still-high inflation and an economy that is buckling under far more quickly than had been believed
New Zealand's economy has been slowing faster than forecasters expected
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
11th Dec 23, 11:10am
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
Economist Brian Easton says Alan Bollard, formerly Treasury Secretary, Reserve Bank Governor and Chairman of APEC, has written an insightful book exploring command vs demand approaches to the economy
11th Dec 23, 8:49am
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Economist Brian Easton says Alan Bollard, formerly Treasury Secretary, Reserve Bank Governor and Chairman of APEC, has written an insightful book exploring command vs demand approaches to the economy
