GDP
Figures to be released in the coming week may or may not show the country entering a 'technical recession' - but either way, the Reserve Bank will be content enough if the data shows heat coming out of the economy
11th Jun 23, 6:00am
18
Figures to be released in the coming week may or may not show the country entering a 'technical recession' - but either way, the Reserve Bank will be content enough if the data shows heat coming out of the economy
Roger J Kerr says US interest rates are set to reverse and turn lower again while Aussie interest rates will keep pushing higher. H e says the NZD/USD will closely track the AUD moves
5th Jun 23, 9:10am
1
Roger J Kerr says US interest rates are set to reverse and turn lower again while Aussie interest rates will keep pushing higher. H e says the NZD/USD will closely track the AUD moves
ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows improved business confidence and expected activity levels, while inflation indicators have eased - but only slowly
31st May 23, 1:32pm
18
ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows improved business confidence and expected activity levels, while inflation indicators have eased - but only slowly
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
After another surprise from Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr, Roger J Kerr asks: Where to from here?
29th May 23, 8:12am
24
After another surprise from Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr, Roger J Kerr asks: Where to from here?
David Seymour and Nicola Willis question whether the Reserve Bank is downplaying the inflationary impact of Government spending
25th May 23, 11:36am
40
David Seymour and Nicola Willis question whether the Reserve Bank is downplaying the inflationary impact of Government spending
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
150
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
Roger J Kerr says the recent rises in the US interest rates and US currency are unlikely to be sustained
22nd May 23, 8:58am
2
Roger J Kerr says the recent rises in the US interest rates and US currency are unlikely to be sustained
Economists hold slightly different views of the Budget's economic forecasts, but feel it reveals NZ to be stronger than was feared
18th May 23, 3:42pm
1
Economists hold slightly different views of the Budget's economic forecasts, but feel it reveals NZ to be stronger than was feared
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
65
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
Murray Grimwood assesses a recent Victoria University debate that pitted green growth against degrowth & sees difficult times ahead
15th May 23, 2:40pm
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Murray Grimwood assesses a recent Victoria University debate that pitted green growth against degrowth & sees difficult times ahead
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar's latest set-back appears very temporary
Roger J Kerr says the only way we will attract in any foreign investment in to fund the current account deficit is to hold our interest rates substantially higher than US, European and Asian interest rates
8th May 23, 8:36am
5
Roger J Kerr says the only way we will attract in any foreign investment in to fund the current account deficit is to hold our interest rates substantially higher than US, European and Asian interest rates
Statistics New Zealand says the cost of living for households rose 7.7% in the year to March 2023, boosted by higher rents and interest payments and increased grocery food, fruit and vegetables prices
1st May 23, 11:45am
14
Statistics New Zealand says the cost of living for households rose 7.7% in the year to March 2023, boosted by higher rents and interest payments and increased grocery food, fruit and vegetables prices
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar
1st May 23, 8:01am
Roger J Kerr says the short-term actions of central banks, coupled with long-term 'de-dollarisation' are pointing towards continued depreciation of the US dollar
ANZ says its latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey is consistent with the Reserve Bank 'gradually gaining traction' with its efforts to fight inflation
27th Apr 23, 1:15pm
5
ANZ says its latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey is consistent with the Reserve Bank 'gradually gaining traction' with its efforts to fight inflation
Roger J Kerr has some timely and pertinent questions (and answers) on the economic and foreign exchange outlook
24th Apr 23, 8:31am
5
Roger J Kerr has some timely and pertinent questions (and answers) on the economic and foreign exchange outlook
Roger J Kerr remains of the view that the US dollar currency value is 'primed for another significant leg downwards'
17th Apr 23, 8:04am
1
Roger J Kerr remains of the view that the US dollar currency value is 'primed for another significant leg downwards'
New inflation figures out in the coming week are likely to show us having an annual rate of inflation in excess of 7% for the fourth consecutive quarter - but will there be signs that we can expect prices to start easing soon?
16th Apr 23, 6:00am
120
New inflation figures out in the coming week are likely to show us having an annual rate of inflation in excess of 7% for the fourth consecutive quarter - but will there be signs that we can expect prices to start easing soon?
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
Roger J Kerr notes that the NZD stays within its trading range despite the RBNZ's OCR surprise. And the “Fed vs the markets” battle of wills continues
10th Apr 23, 8:10am
12
Roger J Kerr notes that the NZD stays within its trading range despite the RBNZ's OCR surprise. And the “Fed vs the markets” battle of wills continues
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
In its interim response to the Productivity Commission's immigration inquiry the Government agrees mostly with the commission's recommendations - but has kicked to touch the idea of ending Permanent Resident visas for new residents
3rd Apr 23, 1:49pm
42
In its interim response to the Productivity Commission's immigration inquiry the Government agrees mostly with the commission's recommendations - but has kicked to touch the idea of ending Permanent Resident visas for new residents