Inflation
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Roger J Kerr explains why the Kiwi dollar has consolidated and stabilised, and does not appear to be prone to further aggressive selling
13th Oct 14, 11:02am
Roger J Kerr explains why the Kiwi dollar has consolidated and stabilised, and does not appear to be prone to further aggressive selling
US 10-year yields fall again to 2.28%, their lowest levels since mid-June 2013
13th Oct 14, 8:18am
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US 10-year yields fall again to 2.28%, their lowest levels since mid-June 2013
The yield on NZGB23s is now at 4.07%, close to its lowest level since June last year
10th Oct 14, 8:51am
The yield on NZGB23s is now at 4.07%, close to its lowest level since June last year
Bloodbath in equities and downgrade to global growth impacts NZ sending rates lower
9th Oct 14, 8:35am
Bloodbath in equities and downgrade to global growth impacts NZ sending rates lower
RBA comments on housing were factual not alarmist; QSBO detail shows above-middling inflation; no urgency for RBNZ to hike rates
8th Oct 14, 8:43am
RBA comments on housing were factual not alarmist; QSBO detail shows above-middling inflation; no urgency for RBNZ to hike rates
Current trading conditions to remain until end of year; USD under pressure; Central banks become focus in a week that lacks key data
7th Oct 14, 2:31pm
Current trading conditions to remain until end of year; USD under pressure; Central banks become focus in a week that lacks key data
September survey of business opinion is weaker than expected as firms anticipate flatter conditions ahead. Pricing pressures rise, capacity pressures ease
7th Oct 14, 10:21am
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September survey of business opinion is weaker than expected as firms anticipate flatter conditions ahead. Pricing pressures rise, capacity pressures ease
NZ swaps sitting close to fair value; expect 'robust' QBSO, but markets on lookout for inflation signals as NZD falls
7th Oct 14, 8:04am
NZ swaps sitting close to fair value; expect 'robust' QBSO, but markets on lookout for inflation signals as NZD falls
Roger J Kerr reminds us that nearly all our inflation comes from the supply side of the economy, so the impact of lower dairy incomes may not be as pronounced as some fear
6th Oct 14, 12:16pm
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Roger J Kerr reminds us that nearly all our inflation comes from the supply side of the economy, so the impact of lower dairy incomes may not be as pronounced as some fear
Roger J Kerr doubts the 65 USc view of John Key will be reached, suggesting most manufacturers and exporters have moved on from seeking a 'cheap dollar' strategy
6th Oct 14, 11:55am
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Roger J Kerr doubts the 65 USc view of John Key will be reached, suggesting most manufacturers and exporters have moved on from seeking a 'cheap dollar' strategy
Markets liked the strong US jobs growth and subdued wage pressure; NZ swaps up +2-3 bps, bonds up +5 bps
6th Oct 14, 8:08am
Markets liked the strong US jobs growth and subdued wage pressure; NZ swaps up +2-3 bps, bonds up +5 bps
Draghi's plan doesn't impress markets; NZ OCR hikes off agenda until "some stabilisation in dairy prices"
3rd Oct 14, 8:27am
Draghi's plan doesn't impress markets; NZ OCR hikes off agenda until "some stabilisation in dairy prices"
Gloomy markets drive down yields worldwide; expect local yields to fall further
2nd Oct 14, 8:07am
Gloomy markets drive down yields worldwide; expect local yields to fall further
Move to a more realistic level for NZD happening quicker than many thought; pick up in FX volatility yet to hit other markets
1st Oct 14, 8:49am
Move to a more realistic level for NZD happening quicker than many thought; pick up in FX volatility yet to hit other markets
Rate curve near its flattest, corporates get option to extend durations
Roger J Kerr says fuel and freight set to rise in cost soon, other imports to follow; RBNZ taking calculated risk price hikes can be contained within policy limits
30th Sep 14, 8:47am
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Roger J Kerr says fuel and freight set to rise in cost soon, other imports to follow; RBNZ taking calculated risk price hikes can be contained within policy limits
A lower currency may mean higher prices and a higher OCR track. Interest rate markets yet to adjust to new realities
30th Sep 14, 7:59am
A lower currency may mean higher prices and a higher OCR track. Interest rate markets yet to adjust to new realities
US and German bond spreads at widest point since 1989; NZ swap market relatively unaffected by RBNZ fighting talk
26th Sep 14, 8:21am
US and German bond spreads at widest point since 1989; NZ swap market relatively unaffected by RBNZ fighting talk
NZ swap curve flattens further, LGFA tender more solid than expected, reduced demand for UST 5yr auction
25th Sep 14, 8:37am
NZ swap curve flattens further, LGFA tender more solid than expected, reduced demand for UST 5yr auction
G20 mindful of excessive risk build up in low interest rate and volatility environment; current conditions means risk in many markets is mispriced
24th Sep 14, 8:43am
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G20 mindful of excessive risk build up in low interest rate and volatility environment; current conditions means risk in many markets is mispriced
Today's $270 mln LGFA bond tender may be a challenge for the market to digest, NZGBs may come under switching pressure
24th Sep 14, 8:16am
Today's $270 mln LGFA bond tender may be a challenge for the market to digest, NZGBs may come under switching pressure
The pressure is rising in the eurozone for a major money-printing initiative. Bond yields reposition in expectation
23rd Sep 14, 8:17am
The pressure is rising in the eurozone for a major money-printing initiative. Bond yields reposition in expectation
Roger J Kerr sees business-as-usual post election, with the NZD weakening, exports and investment rising, and inflation risk higher. Interest rates are going up
22nd Sep 14, 4:05pm
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Roger J Kerr sees business-as-usual post election, with the NZD weakening, exports and investment rising, and inflation risk higher. Interest rates are going up
Roger J Kerr says expect a short-term surge of appreciation for the NZ dollar over coming days, potentially up one cent
22nd Sep 14, 1:06pm
Roger J Kerr says expect a short-term surge of appreciation for the NZ dollar over coming days, potentially up one cent
Kirdan Lees on the skills to pay the bills, 7 reasons why Aussie house prices are so high, blast off for US interest rates? Dude, where's my inflation?
22nd Sep 14, 10:17am
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Kirdan Lees on the skills to pay the bills, 7 reasons why Aussie house prices are so high, blast off for US interest rates? Dude, where's my inflation?