NZ$
Record breaking equity markets across Japan, euro area and US; Nvidia's blockbuster earnings report propels the stock higher and drives S&P500 up 2%. Market continues to pare back expectations of Fed easing
23rd Feb 24, 7:41am
2
Record breaking equity markets across Japan, euro area and US; Nvidia's blockbuster earnings report propels the stock higher and drives S&P500 up 2%. Market continues to pare back expectations of Fed easing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims mortgage rates, trade deficit falls, credit cards out of favour, inflation expectations stinger, poverty progress?, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
22nd Feb 24, 3:59pm
71
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims mortgage rates, trade deficit falls, credit cards out of favour, inflation expectations stinger, poverty progress?, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
There were limited catalysts for global asset markets overnight in the absence of first-tier economic data or fresh guidance from policy makers. But eyes are on both the Fed minutes, and the keenly awaited Nvidia corporate results
22nd Feb 24, 8:31am
There were limited catalysts for global asset markets overnight in the absence of first-tier economic data or fresh guidance from policy makers. But eyes are on both the Fed minutes, and the keenly awaited Nvidia corporate results
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy outlook brighten, PPI rises modest, massive bond demand, monopolies duke it out, swaps stable, NZD firms again, & more
21st Feb 24, 3:59pm
41
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy outlook brighten, PPI rises modest, massive bond demand, monopolies duke it out, swaps stable, NZD firms again, & more
US equities lower, led by tech, US Treasury yields lower and USD broadly weaker. Market unperturbed by surprise cut to China's 5-year prime loan rate, scepticism that it will achieve much. NZD outperforms
21st Feb 24, 7:49am
US equities lower, led by tech, US Treasury yields lower and USD broadly weaker. Market unperturbed by surprise cut to China's 5-year prime loan rate, scepticism that it will achieve much. NZD outperforms
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; again no retail rate changes, Robertson quits, office consents unusually low, MPI critiqued, few tractors sold, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
20th Feb 24, 4:00pm
57
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; again no retail rate changes, Robertson quits, office consents unusually low, MPI critiqued, few tractors sold, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
China reopens after LNY holiday with positive economic snippets on travel and spending. European gas and carbon markets continue show much weaker pricing
20th Feb 24, 7:43am
China reopens after LNY holiday with positive economic snippets on travel and spending. European gas and carbon markets continue show much weaker pricing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; services PMI expanding, some big corporate stumbles, Fonterra consolidates, Rio Tinto on back foot, swaps gold, NZD firm, & more
19th Feb 24, 3:59pm
60
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; services PMI expanding, some big corporate stumbles, Fonterra consolidates, Rio Tinto on back foot, swaps gold, NZD firm, & more
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar does appear to have more opportunity for upside over coming weeks and break above the temporary shackle at 0.6150
19th Feb 24, 8:05am
2
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar does appear to have more opportunity for upside over coming weeks and break above the temporary shackle at 0.6150
US producer price inflation was higher than expected and contributed to a weak tone across bond and equity markets. US treasury yields reached the highest level in 2024
19th Feb 24, 7:53am
US producer price inflation was higher than expected and contributed to a weak tone across bond and equity markets. US treasury yields reached the highest level in 2024
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Resimac ups rates, PMI 'less weak', IAG NZ profits jump, Orr solely inflation-focussed, population soars, swaps little-changed, NZD on hold, & more
16th Feb 24, 3:59pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Resimac ups rates, PMI 'less weak', IAG NZ profits jump, Orr solely inflation-focussed, population soars, swaps little-changed, NZD on hold, & more
Governor Adrian Orr says the Reserve Bank is focused on core inflation and is not willing to tolerate even temporary inflation pressure
16th Feb 24, 9:32am
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Governor Adrian Orr says the Reserve Bank is focused on core inflation and is not willing to tolerate even temporary inflation pressure
Gloomy data - UK and Japan in recession in 2H23, Australian unemployment rate at a 2-year high; and a big downside miss in US retail sales for January. USD broadly weaker
16th Feb 24, 7:47am
1
Gloomy data - UK and Japan in recession in 2H23, Australian unemployment rate at a 2-year high; and a big downside miss in US retail sales for January. USD broadly weaker
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Crown accounts reveal rising tax take, weak inbound tourism, high demand for NZGBs, swaps ease, NZD firms, & more
15th Feb 24, 3:59pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Crown accounts reveal rising tax take, weak inbound tourism, high demand for NZGBs, swaps ease, NZD firms, & more
Global equity and bond markets rebounded from the losses triggered by the surprisingly strong US inflation data. NZD/USD edged upwards as the US dollar retraced from 2024 highs aligned with the fall in treasury yields
15th Feb 24, 7:45am
Global equity and bond markets rebounded from the losses triggered by the surprisingly strong US inflation data. NZD/USD edged upwards as the US dollar retraced from 2024 highs aligned with the fall in treasury yields
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; REINZ data soft, FBU dives, ASB profits lower, Tower positive, inflation eases, border arrivals high, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
14th Feb 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; REINZ data soft, FBU dives, ASB profits lower, Tower positive, inflation eases, border arrivals high, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
Stronger than expected US CPI data rock the market, pushing out the timing of any likely Fed rate cuts; Core measure up 0.4% m/m, annual figure steady at 3.9%. NZ inflation expectations data were market-friendly
14th Feb 24, 7:29am
1
Stronger than expected US CPI data rock the market, pushing out the timing of any likely Fed rate cuts; Core measure up 0.4% m/m, annual figure steady at 3.9%. NZ inflation expectations data were market-friendly
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV HPI data out, less concrete poured, inflation expectations retreat, Nikkei 225 surges, swaps hold, NZD dips, & more
13th Feb 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV HPI data out, less concrete poured, inflation expectations retreat, Nikkei 225 surges, swaps hold, NZD dips, & more
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
13th Feb 24, 3:35pm
20
Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
Pricing for RBNZ rate hikes fades a little, down to 33% chance for February meeting; domestic rates market messy with OIS yields lower, 2-year swap lifting to 5.23%. US Treasury rates little changed; US equities continue to push higher
13th Feb 24, 7:48am
Pricing for RBNZ rate hikes fades a little, down to 33% chance for February meeting; domestic rates market messy with OIS yields lower, 2-year swap lifting to 5.23%. US Treasury rates little changed; US equities continue to push higher
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates ease up, house completion fall, Fonterra raises dairy payout indicator, some ugly NZX ugliness, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
12th Feb 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates ease up, house completion fall, Fonterra raises dairy payout indicator, some ugly NZX ugliness, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ, it appears, are now belatedly recognising the difficulty in reducing the sticky/wage-push domestic inflation that has been running close to 4.00% for many years
12th Feb 24, 8:35am
4
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ, it appears, are now belatedly recognising the difficulty in reducing the sticky/wage-push domestic inflation that has been running close to 4.00% for many years
The S&P500 closed at a record high. US CPI revisions received greater attention than usual but were unchanged. The NZD advanced despite a generally stable US dollar backdrop amid a sharp repricing of RBNZ expectations
12th Feb 24, 7:33am
2
The S&P500 closed at a record high. US CPI revisions received greater attention than usual but were unchanged. The NZD advanced despite a generally stable US dollar backdrop amid a sharp repricing of RBNZ expectations
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Westpac trims rates, fewer big renos, Zollner goes full hawk, space center opens, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
9th Feb 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Westpac trims rates, fewer big renos, Zollner goes full hawk, space center opens, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
Global rates push higher; Fed and ECB speakers continue to run the line of being patient regarding future rate cuts. USD broadly stronger, NZD back below 0.61 and AUD below 0.65
9th Feb 24, 7:41am
Global rates push higher; Fed and ECB speakers continue to run the line of being patient regarding future rate cuts. USD broadly stronger, NZD back below 0.61 and AUD below 0.65