Bonds
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; October real estate market muted, stampede for NZGBs, trust details emerge, population surges, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
16th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; October real estate market muted, stampede for NZGBs, trust details emerge, population surges, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
US Treasuries reverse course, with 10-year rate up 10bps on the day following yesterdays 19bps drop. US data consistent with soft landing, disinflationary narrative; retail sales soft but better than expected, while PPI much weaker than expected
16th Nov 23, 7:54am
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US Treasuries reverse course, with 10-year rate up 10bps on the day following yesterdays 19bps drop. US data consistent with soft landing, disinflationary narrative; retail sales soft but better than expected, while PPI much weaker than expected
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; global forces reset rates, local wallets close, migration touches new record, inflation expectations turn more realistic, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
15th Nov 23, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; global forces reset rates, local wallets close, migration touches new record, inflation expectations turn more realistic, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
A quarterly survey for the Reserve Bank shows that households' views on the likely rate of inflation in a year are unchanged from the previous survey, but they see stronger house prices
15th Nov 23, 3:45pm
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A quarterly survey for the Reserve Bank shows that households' views on the likely rate of inflation in a year are unchanged from the previous survey, but they see stronger house prices
There were large moves across global markets as US CPI came in below consensus expectations, suggesting the US Fed hiking cycle is complete and the next move will be a cut in 2024. Equity markets made strong gains while UST yields fell
15th Nov 23, 7:36am
There were large moves across global markets as US CPI came in below consensus expectations, suggesting the US Fed hiking cycle is complete and the next move will be a cut in 2024. Equity markets made strong gains while UST yields fell
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; food price pressure eases, QV sees larger capital gains, car insurance premiums up sharply, swaps stabilise, NZD softish, & more
14th Nov 23, 3:58pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; food price pressure eases, QV sees larger capital gains, car insurance premiums up sharply, swaps stabilise, NZD softish, & more
[updated]
Assistant Governor Karen Silk says no clear answer to the question of what the right level of foreign currency reserves the RBNZ should hold is
14th Nov 23, 1:23pm
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Assistant Governor Karen Silk says no clear answer to the question of what the right level of foreign currency reserves the RBNZ should hold is
Market movements modest ahead of tonight’s key US CPI release, with little net change in US equities and Treasury yields; modest currency changes
14th Nov 23, 7:55am
Market movements modest ahead of tonight’s key US CPI release, with little net change in US equities and Treasury yields; modest currency changes
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
13th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
US equities extended the recent rally despite weak consumer sentiment data and cautious comments Fed Chair Powell. Moody’s lowered its outlook on the US’s credit rating to negative from stable
13th Nov 23, 7:23am
US equities extended the recent rally despite weak consumer sentiment data and cautious comments Fed Chair Powell. Moody’s lowered its outlook on the US’s credit rating to negative from stable
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
10th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
US 10-year rate up 9bps from the NZ close to 4.57%, after trading as low as 4.47%. Strong demand for NZ bonds continues, taking the fall for the month to 55bps for the 10-year
10th Nov 23, 7:47am
US 10-year rate up 9bps from the NZ close to 4.57%, after trading as low as 4.47%. Strong demand for NZ bonds continues, taking the fall for the month to 55bps for the 10-year
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
9th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
Oil prices show the largest moves; Brent crude down over 2% to go sub-USD80 per barrel. NZ rates follow prior offshore moves to close at fresh multi-week/month lows
9th Nov 23, 8:03am
Oil prices show the largest moves; Brent crude down over 2% to go sub-USD80 per barrel. NZ rates follow prior offshore moves to close at fresh multi-week/month lows
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; end of the 6.7% SBS rate, smaller dwellings costing more, PwC dumped, positive moves on inflation expectations, swaps lower, NZD stable, & more
8th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; end of the 6.7% SBS rate, smaller dwellings costing more, PwC dumped, positive moves on inflation expectations, swaps lower, NZD stable, & more
Oil prices have fallen close to 3%, to the lowest level in more than 3 months, on concerns about global growth following weak Chinese trade data. US officials emphasised the need to bring inflation closer to 2%
8th Nov 23, 7:55am
Oil prices have fallen close to 3%, to the lowest level in more than 3 months, on concerns about global growth following weak Chinese trade data. US officials emphasised the need to bring inflation closer to 2%
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots get modest spring boost, Westpac uses biometrics to 'protect customers', swaps up, NZD down, & more
7th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots get modest spring boost, Westpac uses biometrics to 'protect customers', swaps up, NZD down, & more
US equities consolidate last week's hefty gains. US Treasury yields push higher, after last week's hefty fall. The RBA, the laggard of the global policy cycle, likely to hike
7th Nov 23, 7:40am
US equities consolidate last week's hefty gains. US Treasury yields push higher, after last week's hefty fall. The RBA, the laggard of the global policy cycle, likely to hike
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; BNZ goes high, commodity prices lift, Westpac profit dips, TSB gets new CEO, borrowers shun floating rates, swaps stable, NZD stays up, & more
6th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; BNZ goes high, commodity prices lift, Westpac profit dips, TSB gets new CEO, borrowers shun floating rates, swaps stable, NZD stays up, & more
Weaker than expected US labour market data contributed to a rally across global bond markets boosting risk sentiment. Nonfarm payrolls increased 150k in October below estimates of 180k. The US ISM services PMI fell to a 5-month low
6th Nov 23, 7:52am
Weaker than expected US labour market data contributed to a rally across global bond markets boosting risk sentiment. Nonfarm payrolls increased 150k in October below estimates of 180k. The US ISM services PMI fell to a 5-month low
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; final election result (maybe), rents up, misery high, WorkSafe redundancies, swaps firmer, NZD stays up, & more
3rd Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; final election result (maybe), rents up, misery high, WorkSafe redundancies, swaps firmer, NZD stays up, & more
Risk sensitive assets rise investors confident aggressive monetary tightening cycle is ending. The Bank of England left rates steady at 5.25% for the second consecutive month which was in line with expectations
3rd Nov 23, 8:00am
Risk sensitive assets rise investors confident aggressive monetary tightening cycle is ending. The Bank of England left rates steady at 5.25% for the second consecutive month which was in line with expectations
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; real economy soft as public service expands fast, bank funding rise slows, another unticked box brings more FMA reaction, swaps down, NZD up, & more
2nd Nov 23, 4:08pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; real economy soft as public service expands fast, bank funding rise slows, another unticked box brings more FMA reaction, swaps down, NZD up, & more
Change, along with death & taxes, is a certainty in life with none of us knowing exactly what's around the corner. So Gareth Vaughan's pleased to see at least one central banker is thinking about change
2nd Nov 23, 1:20pm
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Change, along with death & taxes, is a certainty in life with none of us knowing exactly what's around the corner. So Gareth Vaughan's pleased to see at least one central banker is thinking about change
US Fed leaves rates on hold for a second consecutive meeting. US Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement notes intention to slow pace of longer term debt issuance which drives much lower Treasury yields, led by the long end
2nd Nov 23, 8:25am
US Fed leaves rates on hold for a second consecutive meeting. US Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement notes intention to slow pace of longer term debt issuance which drives much lower Treasury yields, led by the long end