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The spring lift in residential auction numbers has arrived but there's no change in the sales rate

Property / news
The spring lift in residential auction numbers has arrived but there's no change in the sales rate
Real estate agent with lamb
Image created by AI

Spring has finally sprung in the residential auction rooms with the number of properties on offer passing the magic 300 a week mark.

Interest.co.nz monitored the auctions of 329 properties around the country over the week of 19-25 September.

That was up from 298 the previous week and was the most properties offered at the monitored auctions since May, marking the start of the spring selling season.

If auction activity maintains its usual seasonal trend, the number of properties being auctioned should steadily increase over the next couple of months.

However, while the number of properties on offer increased over the last week, there was no improvement in the sales rate.

Of the 329 properties on offer, sales were achieved on 120, giving an overall sales rate of 36%.

The sales rate has alternated between 36% and 37% for the last six weeks.

At this time last year, sales rates in the low-to-mid 40% range were the norm, so buyers are being a little more cautious than this time last year.

Details of the the individual properties offered at the latest auctions, including the selling prices of those that sold, are available on our Residential Auction Results page.

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3 Comments

For sale stock up. Removed listings up. Unsuccessful auctions up (with numbers). Interest rates up. Council and other opex up. Clearance % no change, aka flat. 

Nz doller down. Aussie and US rates heading up, so seems the future is further up. Over leverage play seems.... futile.

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Its a very wet spring in Auckland this weekend.

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Our Taylor rule modelling implies a total of 125 basis points of Fed hikes, assuming a 3.6 per cent neutral rate. If fiscal policy remains highly expansionary, 150 to 200 basis points is conceivable. Despite one of the greatest capex booms on record colliding with a procession of supply shocks to produce sticky inflation, bond markets have been too sanguine for too long. Equity markets are more complacent still.

Which brings us to the real danger in the AI story. The capex surge is a conventional investment boom arriving at precisely the wrong moment, adding a demand shock to an economy already running hot amid enormous public spending.

Yet it could ultimately cannibalise itself by forcing risk-free rates much higher, crushing the animal spirits, demand, investment and growth it initially unleashed. It could all end in a nasty recession, much like its predecessor, the great “tech boom” of the late 1990s, which ultimately ended in a circa 49 per cent decline in equity valuations. It is not clear that markets have fully figured this out.

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