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bnzeconomists

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Member for

15 years 1 month

Latest articles

Safe haven US and German 10-year bond yields back near 6-month highs
23rd Oct 12, 8:29am
Safe haven US and German 10-year bond yields back near 6-month highs
Markets tank on 25th anniversary of 1987 stock market crash (Black Monday)
23rd Oct 12, 8:13am
Markets tank on 25th anniversary of 1987 stock market crash (Black Monday)
Latest NZ Govt bond tender well supported with average 5 times bid to cover ratio
19th Oct 12, 8:20am
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Latest NZ Govt bond tender well supported with average 5 times bid to cover ratio
Investors remain upbeat as 'fear index' (VIX) holds at levels well below long-run average
19th Oct 12, 8:12am
Investors remain upbeat as 'fear index' (VIX) holds at levels well below long-run average
Positive US housing data and upbeat sentiment has NZ-US 10-year spreads at lowest point since June
18th Oct 12, 8:17am
Positive US housing data and upbeat sentiment has NZ-US 10-year spreads at lowest point since June
Chinese GDP and EU Summit present sizeable event risk for NZ$
18th Oct 12, 8:07am
Chinese GDP and EU Summit present sizeable event risk for NZ$
Low inflation reading increases likelihood of RBNZ cutting OCR
17th Oct 12, 8:48am
Low inflation reading increases likelihood of RBNZ cutting OCR
NZ rate curve steepening, with declines in swap rates at the shorter end
17th Oct 12, 8:45am
NZ rate curve steepening, with declines in swap rates at the shorter end
RBNZ rate cut foregone conclusion according to market; BNZ believes realistically around 35% chance of cut
16th Oct 12, 8:43am
RBNZ rate cut foregone conclusion according to market; BNZ believes realistically around 35% chance of cut
Global risk sentiment, Asian 'real money' and speculation underpinning NZ$
16th Oct 12, 8:35am
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Global risk sentiment, Asian 'real money' and speculation underpinning NZ$
NZ inflation tipped to top 1.6% by end of 2012 before increasing in 2013
15th Oct 12, 9:29am
NZ inflation tipped to top 1.6% by end of 2012 before increasing in 2013
Investors hopeful Spain will apply for official aid before EU Summit despite reports suggesting more likely to be November
15th Oct 12, 9:18am
Investors hopeful Spain will apply for official aid before EU Summit despite reports suggesting more likely to be November
Currency markets ignore NZ PMI contraction; good US and AU jobs data underpins 'risk-on'
12th Oct 12, 8:54am
Currency markets ignore NZ PMI contraction; good US and AU jobs data underpins 'risk-on'
Demand for NZ Govt bonds solid, 62% owned by non-residents; eyes now on Q3 CPI with markets expecting low inflation
12th Oct 12, 8:42am
Demand for NZ Govt bonds solid, 62% owned by non-residents; eyes now on Q3 CPI with markets expecting low inflation
NZ yield curve flattened beyond what fundamentals suggest is appropriate
11th Oct 12, 8:46am
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NZ yield curve flattened beyond what fundamentals suggest is appropriate
Consensus expectations are for a rise in Australia's unemployment rate
11th Oct 12, 8:30am
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Consensus expectations are for a rise in Australia's unemployment rate
Expectations of rate cuts by both RBA and RBNZ perceived as 'a little aggressive' by BNZ
10th Oct 12, 8:41am
Expectations of rate cuts by both RBA and RBNZ perceived as 'a little aggressive' by BNZ
Latest QSBO survey indicates Q3 GDP likely to be soggy; NZ$ loses momentum
10th Oct 12, 8:31am
Latest QSBO survey indicates Q3 GDP likely to be soggy; NZ$ loses momentum
RBA has OCR rate 75 bps higher than RBNZ; historically NZ's OCR has run 40 bps higher than Aussie on average
9th Oct 12, 8:51am
RBA has OCR rate 75 bps higher than RBNZ; historically NZ's OCR has run 40 bps higher than Aussie on average
Commodity-linked and 'riskier' currencies stronger on expectations of poorer Eurozone data and traders covering short positions
9th Oct 12, 8:15am
Commodity-linked and 'riskier' currencies stronger on expectations of poorer Eurozone data and traders covering short positions
Swap rates up across the curve with a notable steepening; market expect OCR cut, BNZ does not
8th Oct 12, 9:21am
Swap rates up across the curve with a notable steepening; market expect OCR cut, BNZ does not
Local data this week may have greater influence on exchange rates; risk events notable for AUD
8th Oct 12, 9:01am
Local data this week may have greater influence on exchange rates; risk events notable for AUD
Spain waivers on bailout request; IMF offers, but other creditors say they must accept hard conditions if they take it
5th Oct 12, 8:16am
Spain waivers on bailout request; IMF offers, but other creditors say they must accept hard conditions if they take it
The market is close to fully pricing a 25bps RBNZ cut in the year ahead; LGFA and DMO sell NZ$0.5 bln in debt
4th Oct 12, 8:14am
The market is close to fully pricing a 25bps RBNZ cut in the year ahead; LGFA and DMO sell NZ$0.5 bln in debt
NZD vulnerable to event risk, but recent gains against the AUD expected to hold; conflicting global data
4th Oct 12, 8:02am
NZD vulnerable to event risk, but recent gains against the AUD expected to hold; conflicting global data