Days to the General Election: 24
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Ian Dobbs

Ian Dobbs's picture
About: 

Ian Dobbs is a currency analyst at DirectFX.

 

Ian joined Direct FX in 2013, having spent 18 years in the financial markets actively trading foreign exchange, interest rate products, and financial futures. His career started in 1995 at Trust Bank NZ before moving to ASB Treasury where he spent eight years. Stints in London and South Africa followed where he traded European futures for a number of derivative houses. Now back in NZ, Ian’s passion for the markets is as strong as ever. His understanding of technical and fundamental forces affecting the markets leave’s him well placed to advise clients, which is something he enjoys doing.

 

Ian has a BBS in Finance from Massey University and is a past member of the NZFMA.

Member for
7 years 3 months

Articles by Ian Dobbs

4th Sep 18, 11:57am
1
GBP has shown its sensitivity to Brexit negotiations over the past week; NZD and AUD are particularly vulnerable to bouts of risk aversion; number of emerging market currencies flashing warning signs of major trouble ahead
GBP has shown its sensitivity to Brexit negotiations over the past week; NZD and AUD are particularly vulnerable to bouts of risk aversion; number of emerging market currencies flashing warning signs of major trouble ahead
4th Sep 18, 11:57am
25th Jul 17, 12:40pm
Political paralysis has weighed on the USD; NZD consolidating around the 0.7430 USD area and has bounced back against AUD to 0.9379 AUD; Fed Funds rate meeting this week expected to have no surprises
Political paralysis has weighed on the USD; NZD consolidating around the 0.7430 USD area and has bounced back against AUD to 0.9379 AUD; Fed Funds rate meeting this week expected to have no surprises
25th Jul 17, 12:40pm
18th Jul 17, 12:12pm
USD weakness has been the main theme for the week, driven by Fed speakers, data and Trump administration; NZD has underperformed over this time and is lower on other crosses, not helped by soft inflation data
USD weakness has been the main theme for the week, driven by Fed speakers, data and Trump administration; NZD has underperformed over this time and is lower on other crosses, not helped by soft inflation data
18th Jul 17, 12:12pm
11th Jul 17, 12:24pm
NZDUSD trapped in the 0.7250 and 0.7340 range for three weeks and a downside bias likely; NZDAUD also likely to have a downside bias; US data shows low unemployment but not broad based wage gains
NZDUSD trapped in the 0.7250 and 0.7340 range for three weeks and a downside bias likely; NZDAUD also likely to have a downside bias; US data shows low unemployment but not broad based wage gains
11th Jul 17, 12:24pm
18th Apr 17, 4:36pm
NZDUSD has recovered to 0.7000 level, however NZD weakness is expected in the near term; against the AUD, NZD likely to be rangebound after facing resistance at the 0.9300 level; mixed USD data and Trump comments have added volatility to the markets
NZDUSD has recovered to 0.7000 level, however NZD weakness is expected in the near term; against the AUD, NZD likely to be rangebound after facing resistance at the 0.9300 level; mixed USD data and Trump comments have added volatility to the markets
18th Apr 17, 4:36pm
17th Jan 17, 3:00pm
NZD trading at the 0.7100 level; GBPUSD has fallen 19% since Brexit vote; Safe havens gold and yen rise as stocks across Asia fall
NZD trading at the 0.7100 level; GBPUSD has fallen 19% since Brexit vote; Safe havens gold and yen rise as stocks across Asia fall
17th Jan 17, 3:00pm
6th Dec 16, 3:32pm
NZD looks to AU data and GDT dairy auction for guidance; ECB likely to extend QE; USD consolidates prior to expected rate rise
NZD looks to AU data and GDT dairy auction for guidance; ECB likely to extend QE; USD consolidates prior to expected rate rise
6th Dec 16, 3:32pm
29th Nov 16, 2:29pm
Post-Trump gains in USD total over 6%; focus on OPEC and commodity currencies; expect volatility in oil price
Post-Trump gains in USD total over 6%; focus on OPEC and commodity currencies; expect volatility in oil price
29th Nov 16, 2:29pm
22nd Nov 16, 1:44pm
Greenback posts fresh 13½ year highs; USD direction to be driven by upcoming data; strong exporter interest in NZD/USD around 70c mark
Greenback posts fresh 13½ year highs; USD direction to be driven by upcoming data; strong exporter interest in NZD/USD around 70c mark
22nd Nov 16, 1:44pm
15th Nov 16, 1:56pm
Higher inflation and productivity in US under Trump; 85% chance of Fed rate hike in December, more could follow
Higher inflation and productivity in US under Trump; 85% chance of Fed rate hike in December, more could follow
15th Nov 16, 1:56pm
25th Oct 16, 1:32pm
Plenty of market moving US data being released; NZD continues to ease against USD; Australian inflation data important for pricing future RBA cuts
Plenty of market moving US data being released; NZD continues to ease against USD; Australian inflation data important for pricing future RBA cuts
25th Oct 16, 1:32pm
20th Oct 16, 8:37am
1
ECB in focus this week, key UK data also eyed; Draghi infers monetary policy may have reached limit of efficacy; market continues to digest divergent central bank monetary policies
ECB in focus this week, key UK data also eyed; Draghi infers monetary policy may have reached limit of efficacy; market continues to digest divergent central bank monetary policies
20th Oct 16, 8:37am
27th Sep 16, 2:32pm
BoJ pledges to overshoot inflation target; US Fed kicks rate hike can down the road again; dovish RBNZ statement opens door for further easing
BoJ pledges to overshoot inflation target; US Fed kicks rate hike can down the road again; dovish RBNZ statement opens door for further easing
27th Sep 16, 2:32pm
20th Sep 16, 2:04pm
Busy time for markets as central bank policy reviews released; Fed and RBNZ likely to keep rates unchanged
Busy time for markets as central bank policy reviews released; Fed and RBNZ likely to keep rates unchanged
20th Sep 16, 2:04pm
13th Sep 16, 1:43pm
US Fed Presidents comments blamed for sell-off in global equities and risk currencies, subsequent rhetoric calms nerves; weak US data behind USD decline
US Fed Presidents comments blamed for sell-off in global equities and risk currencies, subsequent rhetoric calms nerves; weak US data behind USD decline
13th Sep 16, 1:43pm
6th Sep 16, 2:45pm
September Fed rate hike odds reduce after US August payrolls data; Fed chairs' rhetoric indicates outlook for hikes on track
September Fed rate hike odds reduce after US August payrolls data; Fed chairs' rhetoric indicates outlook for hikes on track
6th Sep 16, 2:45pm
30th Aug 16, 2:39pm
Greenback rises in wake of Fed meeting; strong employment growth and higher wages would increase odd of Fed hike
Greenback rises in wake of Fed meeting; strong employment growth and higher wages would increase odd of Fed hike
30th Aug 16, 2:39pm
23rd Aug 16, 1:30pm
Investors focus on whether the US can extract one more rate hike this year; BoJ to take further steps to ease economic malaise; Wheelers speech causes spike in NZD
Investors focus on whether the US can extract one more rate hike this year; BoJ to take further steps to ease economic malaise; Wheelers speech causes spike in NZD
23rd Aug 16, 1:30pm
16th Aug 16, 1:43pm
Indicators due out will show impact on UK of exit decision; NZD is range bound against majors, except GBP
Indicators due out will show impact on UK of exit decision; NZD is range bound against majors, except GBP
16th Aug 16, 1:43pm
9th Aug 16, 1:49pm
US Nonfarm payrolls surprise raises Fed rate hike odds; further RBNZ rate cuts after August being mooted
US Nonfarm payrolls surprise raises Fed rate hike odds; further RBNZ rate cuts after August being mooted
9th Aug 16, 1:49pm
2nd Aug 16, 1:53pm
US GDP disappointment brings non-farm payrolls into spotlight; RBA favoured to set new historical low cash rate of 1.50%; BoE expected to cut when they meet Thursday
US GDP disappointment brings non-farm payrolls into spotlight; RBA favoured to set new historical low cash rate of 1.50%; BoE expected to cut when they meet Thursday
2nd Aug 16, 1:53pm
19th Jul 16, 2:10pm
NZD trades lower on negative interpretation of RBNZ interim briefing announcement; kiwi dollar a casualty of weaker CPI and RBNZ's crusade to slow housing market
NZD trades lower on negative interpretation of RBNZ interim briefing announcement; kiwi dollar a casualty of weaker CPI and RBNZ's crusade to slow housing market
19th Jul 16, 2:10pm
12th Jul 16, 1:46pm
Equities pushed higher on US employment data; economic and political cracks appearing globally; NZD eases back from recent highs
Equities pushed higher on US employment data; economic and political cracks appearing globally; NZD eases back from recent highs
12th Jul 16, 1:46pm
5th Jul 16, 1:42pm
Aussie joins the fragile political environment party; another UK political figure sidesteps the UK EU backlash by resigning; UK businesses trying to stall exit from EU; other EU countries want own referendum on membership
Aussie joins the fragile political environment party; another UK political figure sidesteps the UK EU backlash by resigning; UK businesses trying to stall exit from EU; other EU countries want own referendum on membership
5th Jul 16, 1:42pm
28th Jun 16, 1:52pm
Markets set for extended period of volatility; path ahead for UK uncertain; GBP falls 12% against USD to 1985 levels
Markets set for extended period of volatility; path ahead for UK uncertain; GBP falls 12% against USD to 1985 levels
28th Jun 16, 1:52pm
21st Jun 16, 2:37pm
3
Whatever the outcome of the Brexit vote, expect volatility to be high in the short-term; GBP/USD jumps most in 8-years
Whatever the outcome of the Brexit vote, expect volatility to be high in the short-term; GBP/USD jumps most in 8-years
21st Jun 16, 2:37pm
14th Jun 16, 1:46pm
1
Brexit polling and central bank meetings the focus for the market; prospects for dismantling of euro currency project if UK leaves EU; elevated volatility only sure bet this week
Brexit polling and central bank meetings the focus for the market; prospects for dismantling of euro currency project if UK leaves EU; elevated volatility only sure bet this week
14th Jun 16, 1:46pm
7th Jun 16, 2:57pm
US non-farm payroll data comes in below most pessimistic forecast; market discounting near term US rate hikes is warranted; sharp USD sell-off benefits NZD; upcoming UK referendum on EU membership dominates eurozone sentiment
US non-farm payroll data comes in below most pessimistic forecast; market discounting near term US rate hikes is warranted; sharp USD sell-off benefits NZD; upcoming UK referendum on EU membership dominates eurozone sentiment
7th Jun 16, 2:57pm
31st May 16, 1:44pm
Orchestrated and aligned message from the Fed; NZ dollar trading with soft undertone against the AUD & GBP; Brexit polling may increase the vulnerability of support and resistance levels; USD volatility expected to remain high in near term
Orchestrated and aligned message from the Fed; NZ dollar trading with soft undertone against the AUD & GBP; Brexit polling may increase the vulnerability of support and resistance levels; USD volatility expected to remain high in near term
31st May 16, 1:44pm
24th May 16, 1:44pm
FOMC meeting minutes reveal members ready to act on raising interest rates; Firmer USD erodes NZD gains; AUD facing downward momentum
FOMC meeting minutes reveal members ready to act on raising interest rates; Firmer USD erodes NZD gains; AUD facing downward momentum
24th May 16, 1:44pm
Days to the General Election: 24
See Party Policies here. Party Lists here.