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Kymberly Martin
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Local interest rates follow the UST rates higher, especially at the long end. Rising oil prices are the driver. No surprises expected from US payrolls report. Aussie capex languishing
2nd Dec 16, 7:53am
Local interest rates follow the UST rates higher, especially at the long end. Rising oil prices are the driver. No surprises expected from US payrolls report. Aussie capex languishing
USD strengthened against all its peers on stronger than expected data; OPEC ministers strike deal to limit production; AUD loses ground against USD and NZD
1st Dec 16, 9:00am
USD strengthened against all its peers on stronger than expected data; OPEC ministers strike deal to limit production; AUD loses ground against USD and NZD
Core offshore yields surge higher along with the global oil price, boosted by good US jobs data. Expect higher NZ yields and a steeper curve today
1st Dec 16, 7:45am
Core offshore yields surge higher along with the global oil price, boosted by good US jobs data. Expect higher NZ yields and a steeper curve today
Yen and USD weaker; AUD weaker, while NZD trades above 200-day moving average; OPEC conference crucial for commodity linked currencies
30th Nov 16, 8:51am
Yen and USD weaker; AUD weaker, while NZD trades above 200-day moving average; OPEC conference crucial for commodity linked currencies
UST yields higher despite lower oil price. Eyes on US core PCE watched closely by the Fed. Local eyes on RBNZ Financial Stability review
30th Nov 16, 7:59am
UST yields higher despite lower oil price. Eyes on US core PCE watched closely by the Fed. Local eyes on RBNZ Financial Stability review
Rise in global commodities helps NZD; USD weaker against most currencies; oil price up 3% but prospects for supply cut deal remain tenuous
29th Nov 16, 8:30am
Rise in global commodities helps NZD; USD weaker against most currencies; oil price up 3% but prospects for supply cut deal remain tenuous
Lower UST yields see local rates soften. Rates drift in most markets as data flows and policymaker comments give little direction
29th Nov 16, 8:19am
Lower UST yields see local rates soften. Rates drift in most markets as data flows and policymaker comments give little direction
USD index up more than 4% above pre-US election levels; modest recovery in NZD possible; NZD/AUD likely to be range bound in near future
28th Nov 16, 8:29am
USD index up more than 4% above pre-US election levels; modest recovery in NZD possible; NZD/AUD likely to be range bound in near future
NZ long-end rates to consolidate from here although the 2-10 curve could steepen further. Later, attention will turn to US payrolls and EU elections
28th Nov 16, 8:19am
NZ long-end rates to consolidate from here although the 2-10 curve could steepen further. Later, attention will turn to US payrolls and EU elections
Fed chair Janet Yellen wary of commenting on outlook under Trump; USD continues to gain momentum; market waiting to see if Fonterra bumps up milk forecast
18th Nov 16, 8:24am
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Fed chair Janet Yellen wary of commenting on outlook under Trump; USD continues to gain momentum; market waiting to see if Fonterra bumps up milk forecast
Yellen signals their December rate hike is still likely, says she will serve full term. Markets resume the bond rout following yesterday's reversal. NZGBs in strong demand
18th Nov 16, 7:53am
Yellen signals their December rate hike is still likely, says she will serve full term. Markets resume the bond rout following yesterday's reversal. NZGBs in strong demand
Fed rate hike done deal according to market; oil prices spikes higher; near term support for NZD/USD at 70c
17th Nov 16, 8:50am
Fed rate hike done deal according to market; oil prices spikes higher; near term support for NZD/USD at 70c
Although interest rate markest may be treading water at present, it will not be plain sailing as volatility lurks. Non-residents reduce exposure to NZGBs
17th Nov 16, 8:02am
Although interest rate markest may be treading water at present, it will not be plain sailing as volatility lurks. Non-residents reduce exposure to NZGBs
Markets see no more RBNZ cuts. UST 2yrs push to 2016 highs. Local eyes on waning interest in NZGBs
16th Nov 16, 8:15am
Markets see no more RBNZ cuts. UST 2yrs push to 2016 highs. Local eyes on waning interest in NZGBs
Another solid dairy auction, NZD trading off morning lows; US data releases above expectations; oil-linked currencies benefactors of push to curb oil production
16th Nov 16, 8:14am
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Another solid dairy auction, NZD trading off morning lows; US data releases above expectations; oil-linked currencies benefactors of push to curb oil production
Quakes have only brief impact on NZD. Global risk appetite holding, aiding commodity currencies. Eyes now of dairy auction looking to consolidate the higher levels
15th Nov 16, 8:23am
Quakes have only brief impact on NZD. Global risk appetite holding, aiding commodity currencies. Eyes now of dairy auction looking to consolidate the higher levels
Interest rate markets driving bond rout on rising expectations of a Fed rate hike soon, and another hike next year. Euro markets also getting strong rate rises
15th Nov 16, 7:54am
Interest rate markets driving bond rout on rising expectations of a Fed rate hike soon, and another hike next year. Euro markets also getting strong rate rises
US gets a rise in inflation expectations, which may result in a steeper rate curve in New Zealand as range limit forecasts are broken
11th Nov 16, 9:13am
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US gets a rise in inflation expectations, which may result in a steeper rate curve in New Zealand as range limit forecasts are broken
Fed's William's says Fed close to achieving inflation goals and "fortunate" there is independence at the US Central Bank; volatile time for NZD/USD
11th Nov 16, 8:36am
Fed's William's says Fed close to achieving inflation goals and "fortunate" there is independence at the US Central Bank; volatile time for NZD/USD
Market moves await nature of US elections. Risk appetite improves and NZD benefits. EUR/USD lower, JPY slumps
9th Nov 16, 8:02am
Market moves await nature of US elections. Risk appetite improves and NZD benefits. EUR/USD lower, JPY slumps
US benchmark yields rise sharply again. Markets see 75% chance of an RBNZ rate cut tomorrow. Aussie recovery softens. Markets see 80% chance of a December Fed hike
9th Nov 16, 7:55am
US benchmark yields rise sharply again. Markets see 75% chance of an RBNZ rate cut tomorrow. Aussie recovery softens. Markets see 80% chance of a December Fed hike
All eyes on US election results, but currency markets jump the gun by assuming a Clinton win. The NZD benefits from improved risk appetite
8th Nov 16, 8:16am
All eyes on US election results, but currency markets jump the gun by assuming a Clinton win. The NZD benefits from improved risk appetite
3-5 year wholesale rates vulnerable to upward pressure, but not the short end. Improving risk appetite pushes up UST 10yr yields
8th Nov 16, 8:08am
3-5 year wholesale rates vulnerable to upward pressure, but not the short end. Improving risk appetite pushes up UST 10yr yields
Despite pressure on commodity linked currencies, NZD holds up well, retaining recent gains. But risks are all to the downside
7th Nov 16, 8:14am
Despite pressure on commodity linked currencies, NZD holds up well, retaining recent gains. But risks are all to the downside
A messy week ahead dominated by the US election risk which sees the 'fear index' on the rise and risk aversion to the fore. Markets less sure of RBNZ rate cut
7th Nov 16, 7:49am
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A messy week ahead dominated by the US election risk which sees the 'fear index' on the rise and risk aversion to the fore. Markets less sure of RBNZ rate cut