Ting Huang
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show sluggish GDP growth as geopolitical conflict, fuel prices and election uncertainty put the brakes on the economy
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NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show sluggish GDP growth as geopolitical conflict, fuel prices and election uncertainty put the brakes on the economy
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward
The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year
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The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year
The experts mostly see the OCR at 2.25%-2.5% in a year's time but have concerns about the possibility of the Reserve Bank over-stimulating the economy.
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The experts mostly see the OCR at 2.25%-2.5% in a year's time but have concerns about the possibility of the Reserve Bank over-stimulating the economy.
The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October
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The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October
[updated]
The experts agree the Reserve Bank should cut the Official Cash Rate again this week - but beyond that a wide range of views is starting to form
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The experts agree the Reserve Bank should cut the Official Cash Rate again this week - but beyond that a wide range of views is starting to form
A majority of the NZIER's 'Shadow Board' of experts recommend keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but there's a variety of opinions on what should come next
A majority of the NZIER's 'Shadow Board' of experts recommend keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but there's a variety of opinions on what should come next
NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year
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NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
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Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
NZIER's latest quarterly consensus forecasts see higher household spending on the back of interest rate falls, but GDP growth forecasts are virtually unchanged from the previous quarter
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NZIER's latest quarterly consensus forecasts see higher household spending on the back of interest rate falls, but GDP growth forecasts are virtually unchanged from the previous quarter
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
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Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
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HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'