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Thursday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Cunliffe attacks the 'permanent plutocrats'; China bans rare metal sales to Japan; 'Mortgagee Robosigner'; Dilbert

Thursday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Cunliffe attacks the 'permanent plutocrats'; China bans rare metal sales to Japan; 'Mortgagee Robosigner'; Dilbert
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Here are my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 10 to 7 pm, brought to you in association with New Zealand Mint for your reading pleasure.

I welcome your additions and comments below, or please send suggestions for Friday's Top 10 at 10 via email to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz.

I'll pop any surplus suggestions I get into the comment stream under the Top 10.

1. 'Permanent plutocracy' - Labour Finance spokesman David Cunliffe has a good old rant in this post at Red Alert about the power of old money and its ability to influence people in positions of power.

He's been doing some digging on South Canterbury Finance and has been surprised by what he has seen.

Now we need some details.

The Fendalton and Queen St methods are different from the Crafar one but they are even more dangerous and subversive: very polite circles of influence in the clubs and boardrooms - with massive flows of funds through anonymous trusts that violate the intent of the Electoral Finance Act. Prestigious law firms and lobbyists. This is up with the worst sort of influence peddling I saw in Washington D.C. - One dollar one vote: permanent plutocracy unless we fight back.

Beyond political donations, look at the ability of the rich and powerful to get their way while the poor and middle struggle: $2 billion a year of tax avoidance through LAQCs and trusts that National in government has refused to touch. Half the top 100 welathiest NZers are still not on the top tax rate! This post is not about SCF, but researching that issue has opened my eyes to the complexity of the company and accounting structures in daily use around the markets. One prominent international investment broker told me he tells his clients never to invest in NZ other than through an ASIC-regulated (Australian) vehicle, because our market is a wild west.

Well what is the point of getting our savings rate up (and asking hard working families to go without consumtion) if the investment vehicles we need to get the money to our struggling firms are being milked and siphoned by fees and sweet deals to the cronies in the markets?  

2. A little bit rarer - A bitter trade and political battle is brewing between China and Japan as global trade and currency tensions build. China has blocked all exports of rare metals to Japan to pressure Japan into handing over a boat captain caught in disputed waters, the NY Times reports. This isn't pleasant. China is on one side. Japan and America are on the other.

Who would/should New Zealand back in any fight between China and America. China is a bigger trading partner for us than America. And it is Australia's biggest partner, which is ours.

The Chinese government has placed a trade embargo on all exports to Japan of a crucial category of minerals used in products like hybrid cars, wind turbines and guided missiles.

The Chinese embargo is likely to have immediate repercussions in Washington. The House Committee on Science and Technology is scheduled on Thursday morning to review a detailed bill to subsidize the revival of the American rare earths industry. The main American rare earths mine, in Mountain Pass, Calif., closed in 2002, but efforts are under way to reopen it.

Deng Xiaoping, the late leader of China, is widely reported to have said that while the Mideast has oil, China dominates rare earths. But while Arab states used restrictions on oil exports as a political weapon in 1956, 1967 and 1973, China has refrained until now from using its near monopoly on rare earth elements as a form of leverage on other governments.  

3. Tensions growing - One consequence of the stresses in the global economy is friction between China and those around it. America is often finding itself intervening against China, the NY Times reports.

Washington is leaping into the middle of heated territorial disputes between China and Southeast Asian nations despite stern Chinese warnings that it mind its own business. The United States is carrying out naval exercises with South Korea in order to help Seoul rebuff threats from North Korea even though China is denouncing those exercises, saying that they intrude on areas where the Chinese military operates.  

Some Chinese military leaders and analysts see an American effort to contain China. Feng Zhaokui, a Japan scholar at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said in an article on Tuesday in The Global Times, a populist newspaper, that the United States was trying to “nurture a coalition against China.” In August, Rear Adm. Yang Yi wrote an editorial for The PLA Daily, published by the Chinese Army, in which he said that on one hand, Washington “wants China to play a role in regional security issues.”

“On the other hand,” he continued, “it is engaging in an increasingly tight encirclement of China and is constantly challenging China’s core interests.” Asian countries suspicious of Chinese intentions see Washington as a natural ally. In April, an incident involving a Chinese helicopter and Japanese destroyer spooked many in Japan.

4. The dance of the zombies - America's banking system is quietly staggering to its knees under the weight of the bursting of the housing bubble, banking analyst Chris Whalen reckons.

The event this week that sparked the talk was an announcement from Ally Financial, formerly GMAC Mortgages, that it was halting foreclosures because the sheer weight of them meant it was making mistakes.

Why do we still refer to the ugly girls -- Bank of America, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo in particular -- as zombies? Because the avalanche of foreclosures and claims against the too-big-too-fail banks has not even crested.

.Democrats and Republicans alike are going to be fed into the meat grinder over the next several years as the banking sector deals with literally hundreds of billions of dollars in direct and indirect expenses from the deflation of the mortgage bubble. For the economy, this slow process of muddle along championed by Summers and Geithner will ensure that Barack Obama becomes the Herbert Hoover of the Democratic Party.

The economic carnage that will cause these losses is going to represent the worst economic contraction since WWI. Forget WWII.

Think "shrinkage" to use the Gilded Age description for economic deflation. And frankly nothing that either the Fed or Treasury does in the near-term can change this basic economic fact of restructuring. Banks such as Ally can impose moratoriums and issue press releases, but the losses remain. It is only a question of when they are recognized.  

5. One very sore hand - The Ally Financial situation is eye-popping. There are so many foreclosures that banks simply can't handle the volume. The Washington Post reports on one guy at Ally who had to sign 10,000 foreclosure documents a month. That's 500 per working day or on average just over 1 a minute for each 8 hour day. He was supposed to read every one.

Now Ally officials say hundreds of other companies, including mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, may also be affected because they use Ally to service their loans. As head of Ally's foreclosure document processing team, 41-year-old Jeffrey Stephan was required to review cases to make sure the proceedings were legally justified and the information was accurate.

He was also required to sign the documents in the presence of a notary. In a sworn deposition, he testified that he did neither. The reason may be the sheer volume of the documents he had to hand-sign: 10,000 a month.  

6. 'Robosigner' - Ally's Jeffrey Stephan is now described as a sort of foreclosure robot in this piece by Alain Sherter at Bnet.

It highlights the sheer scale of the crisis in America.

In essence, Ally is the housing bubble’s thorny tail swinging around to smack us in the face. During the boom, lenders passed out mortgages like M&Ms, often without verifying a borrower’s most basic financial details. Big banks chopped up those loans, credit rating agencies blessed the resulting securities and investors gobbled them up. Party time! And the last thing anyone wanted to be told, as the profits rolled in, was that all that paper was worthless.

That same dynamic is visible as the bubble deflates. Stephan, a mid-level schlub in a big firm, rubber-stamped all those affidavits because Ally and the lenders it services have a financial interest in keeping the foreclosure train rolling.

The problem for these firms is that this jury-rigged system is backing up like a clogged drain.  

7. 'Printing the dollar into oblivion' - Robin Griffiths, technical strategist at Cazenove Capital, tells CNBC that all fiat money eventually ends up worthless. HT Gertraud.

8. What does price stability mean? - Peter Schiff rants angrily at the US Federal Reserve over its plans to increase inflation. HT Gertraud via email.

9.How America's future was turned over to Wall St - Newsweek columnist Michael Hirsch talks here about how the middle class was hollowed out through the last 20 years and the wealth transferred to the richest. Worth a watch. He's written a book here.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

 

10. Totally irrelevant video - The All Blacks show off their (video editing) skills.

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24 Comments

Here's one for YOU Bernard on the lastest  180 degree turn by the latest Australian government on reasons NOT to introduce a Carbon Tax

 

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2010/sep2010/carb-s22.shtml

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Here's the Fed's latest statement translated into English.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2010/09/20/129997552/federal-reserve

"We'll still let banks borrow money for free. If you're worried this is going increase inflation and destroy the dollar, please reread everything we've said to this point. We plan to keep rates near zero for as long as it takes, but we won't tell you how long that is.And remember how we created more than a trillion dollars out of thin air in the past few years?

We're going to leave that money sloshing around the economy. We'll keep an eye on things, and if we need to create trillions more dollars out of thin air to bring down unemployment and pump up inflation, that's what we'll do. Boom."

cheers Bernard

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http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=167203

 

This is why it can't work folks.

In a credit-driven monetary system, you can only get "inflation" (in the truest sense, where it flows through to wages and prices, thereby debasing - that is, helping - people pay down indebtedness) if there is credit expansion.

But when the limit of credit expansion is reached (which is known - when "QE" by whatever name is initiated, you've reached that point, as you are then artificially trying to create credit expansion that you are unable to stimulate otherwise) further machinations of this sort do nothing other than bankrupt the population.

That is, there is no flow-through to wages.  Price for essentials go up (energy, food, diapers, etc) but earnings capacity in real after-tax dollars decreases instead of increasing as occurs in a true inflationary environment.

You've all seen this.  The 2qt Ice Cream tub is now 1.5qts.  Price inflation.  But your paycheck hasn't gone up 25% to compensate.

The upper middle class and above is "unhurt" by this.  Oh sure, they feel the pinch too, but in the broader sense it doesn't do much damage to them, in that they still have surplus.  So long as you have surplus, you're "ok" in the general sense (you might not like it, but you at least can put gas in the car and food in your kid's mouth!)

The working person, and especially the lower-middle class and below, are decimated by these sorts of policies.

Because capital formation is destroyed by ZIRP, these people have no job opportunities.  Without capital formation there are no new businesses formed to create jobs.  Without that employment there is no income to spend.  The price-cram inflation that manufacturers try to hide with quantity games and similar doesn't matter, as your baby still poops the same number of diapers, so if you get six less in a package, you need to buy more packages.  The price-per is what matters, not the price on the wrapper, and your income goes down.

We can't stabilize the labor market until we shut off the ZIRP tap.  We cannot export our wage deflation to China, because it winds up reflecting here and destroys the capability for Americans to earn a decent wage.  At the same time despite claims of "zero inflation" food, energy and other essentials continue to skyrocket in price.

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I agree with everything you have said, so now....... reiterate for me what damage property and house price inflation has done in those same regards to also feed into the 'inflationary abyss'?

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Here's Martin Wolf at FT.com on China.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a1df57c0-c5b5-11df-ab48-00144feab49a.html#

China’s is the most impressive “catch-up” economy in history. That is partly because it is so unbalanced. The longer rebalancing is postponed, the more painful the adjustment will be. The Chinese economy of two decades from now will have to be vastly less investment-driven than the one of today. How smoothly and how soon will it get there? These are huge questions.

 

cheers

Bernard

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#1 - wow, seems like David Cunliffe and Labour are on a roll, and this yesterday:

http://blog.labour.org.nz/index.php/2010/09/21/mr-botherway-must-step-aside/

At last some opposition to the status quo. One can only hope they have at last turned their back on the 'old Labour' path of consenus and appeasement that meant NACT could win by being more consensual and appeasing than an MMP savvy party that prided herself on being consensus personified! (Screwed up on the light-bulbs and shower-heads, tho' eh.) 

Hopefully some politics of conviction will be forthcoming.

Hark, was that a penny dropping?

Nope, think that sounded like some testicles. We can only hope.

Cheers, Les.

www.mea.org.nz

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Actually, the media screwed up on the shower-heads and the light fittings - failed to report properly.

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Cunliffe said this

 

The Fendalton and Queen St methods are different from the Crafar one but they are even more dangerous and subversive: very polite circles of influence in the clubs and boardrooms - with massive flows of funds through anonymous trusts that violate the intent of the Electoral Finance Act. Prestigious law firms and lobbyists. This is up with the worst sort of influence peddling I saw in Washington D.C. - One dollar one vote: permanent plutocracy unless we fight back.

 

 

I want to ask what the difference is between the rick pricks in the National party, serving self interest and the Unions runing the Labor party. Both these parties could do with a funding shake up.

http://www.lewissociety.org/innerring.php

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The Labour party control is fragmented in effect....its really a special interests group....between old Unionism, the gay faction and god knows what other noisey minority you have to wonder just whats in it (voting) for the "normal" ppl who want to get on with their lives at all.

Then you take the Green's they seem to be forgetting their green roots and re-discovering loony left...

However this is nothing compared to the flow of funds and influence the right is using...I do agree with him...but really its just jealiousy....on his part IMHO.

regards

 

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David Cunliffe  has become so wise after the event . It was Labour , Michael Cullen particularly , who screwed up our tax system , and encouraged folk to pour billions into LAQCs and rental property . No problem with LAQC's per se . The problem was one prize fool who introduced a 39 % tax rate to punish " rich pricks " ............... Geez Cunny , you sure do have a short memory !

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hey GBH you must be thrilled about Cully being given the chair of The PostOffice eh?

(i heard he was offered solidenergy but he said he was more comfortable with things that were red and lacked a future) 

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Yes , I thought so too , when Cullen got the sinecure .............. Amazingly enough , the P.O. are still in business ........... and Cullen hasn't put up postal rates , ........... yet !

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Posting a standard letter goes up 20% on 1st Oct GBH. The joys of not having a 5c coin.  I am sure Cullen will claim any increase in profits this year will be because of his leadership.
 

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Yes, Its farcical really....Labour are no better.....

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.. Iain ............. if memory serves , you were very nearly banned from this site too , 2 or 3 years ago .............. a rather childish spat with Bernard , as I recall ......... he wasn't the childish one !

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Oh come on........thats a leftie nutcase site..........

Its interesting though that the  far loony left and the far rabid right both have so much common ground when it comes to AGW, ETS.....etc.

Both wear huge idealogocal blinkers.......both only see the negatives....both cant see this is a finite planet and we cant keep growing......both are in for a nasty shock, though i suspect they will go to their graves not understanding......such is fanatics.

 

regards

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Steven "both cant see this is a finite planet and we cant keep growing...."

As always Charles Hugh Smith has something useful to say on this;

"Already dependent on an impossible model of endlessly rising consumption and debt, the U.S. economy is also burdened by perverse incentives which lead to structurally disastrous unintended consequences.

 

The U.S. culture, economy and Empire are based on the unquestioned presumption that debt-based "prosperity"--more consumption, more growth, more of everything-- is naturally endless. Thus adding "overhead"--unproductive costs--is subconsciously viewed as painless because "prosperity" will inevitably rise enough to effortlessly pay for the additional expenses.

The status quo is thus incapable of functioning in an environment of structurally declining income, consumption, taxes, debt and "prosperity."

This is how you get public pension plans which are wildly beyond the ability of the local government to pay as tax receipts enter a long period of decline.

In response, the status quo (Central State/Empire, its fiefdoms and financial/cartel corporate partners) imposes increasingly pervasive (and onerous) regulations to force compliance, with the single goal being the maintenance of the status quo Elites."

http://www.oftwominds.com/blogsept10/unintended-consequences09-10.html

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It isnt just the US....

When Bush came out with the American way of life isnt negoitiable.....well thats a clear signal / warning.....conclusion nothing will change until it collapses....as some grossly fat American said when asked about gas at $4 as he blobbed out of his SUV...Im a big guy I need a big car....

The fix is obvious then....lose half your body weight, maybe 2/3rds....if you dont do it now....it will be done to you....A great watch on youtube is how Cuba faired on the collpase of the Soviet Union...no oil.....lots of thin Cubans...

regards

 

 

 

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After 9 years of Labour, now the complaints emerge...........pathetic.

Democracy is under threat? yes it is....but just as much from the left as the right, just the right has been more successful...

regards

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Does anyone realise how positive the rare metals battle is to our Cousins over the ditch. They could win big time.

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URL?

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some big numbers here andrew--if it come,s off---they have sth australian govt backing--they can smell the royalties no doubt

http://You can see this from the prices fetched. These minerals are not openly traded, but the most recent Chinese figures show the difference. Among the “heavy” rare earths, europium (which gives you red on your TV or computer screen) was bringing over $US475/kg; terbium (used in magnets) was worth at least $US340/kg; and dysprosium (magnets and lasers) could bring upwards of $US107/kg.

http://stephendowling.wordpress.com/2010/04/12/movers-and-shakers-of-rare-earths-meet-in-toronto/

and they,re talking production of 20000 tonnes a year--starting price 2  billion

 http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/Arafura-rare-earth-aap-3455847937.html?x=0

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