
Here's my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 10 past 12 pm in association with NZ Mint.
I'll pop the extras into the comment stream. See all previous Top 10s here.
I welcome your additions in the comments below or via email to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz.
Keeping any eye on China again today. This is where the landmines are.
1. Chinese pork prices - Chinese inflation is one of the hot spots of the global economy.
It is no doubt one of the variables being watched closely by the Communist leadership in China as it tries to slow down the economy and prevent inflation getting so out of hand that it causes civil unrest.
Pork prices hit a three year high this week and are up 43.5% in the last year, Caijin reported.
Food is a much bigger share of spending for most in China.
Pork prices in China have been surging for four straight weeks to the highest level since 2008, adding to inflation woes that have afflicted the world’s second-largest economy for years.
Chinese pork market has been witnessed a string of upsurges since May 2010, and will continue rising, deputy secretary general of China’s meat institute Gao Guan was quoted by a local newspaper as saying.
Pork prices have nearly doubled from its lows, and surpassed the historical high in 2008, Gao said. A publicly available data shows that ending May, the country’s pork prices surged 43.5 percent from the same period of last year.
2. A tale of two cities - Jeff Stibel writes at the Harvard Business Review that the US economy has become schizophrenic with a dying middle class, an abandoned under class and an increasingly wealthy super rich.
At first glance, the combination of record corporate profits alongside anemic job growth seems contrary, but the two are directly connected. The primary reason corporate profits are at record highs is that large companies learned to be lean and highly productive during the worst years of the recession. The profits generated through a reduced but more productive headcount has induced many large companies to continue this lean approach even as we emerge from recession. The result: record profits despite weak revenue growth, which leads to a lack of hiring.
The job growth problem is even more nuanced than that. It turns out that the hiring we are seeing is at the extreme ends of the spectrum. To ensure strong profits, corporations are cutting out the middle layers of management — the middle-class. In their place, they are hiring at the very low end and promoting at the high end. Senior management compensation is up nearly 25% this year ($9M for the average S&P 500 CEO), to levels higher than in pre-recession days, according to executive compensation research firm Equilar.
On the other side, we have job growth coming in at the bottom of the pyramid, mostly minimum wage and temporary positions. Take last month's job creation, for example. Out of the 260,000 jobs created in April, a whopping 60,000 jobs came from one company: McDonald's. There is nothing wrong with flipping burgers for a living, but it will not pull us out of a recession.
3. Increasingly unhappy - ScienceDaily reports a new US study has found that increasing wealth inequality has made 60% of the population unhappier. The richest 20% are still happy.
The conclusions: That grim mood cannot be attributed to thinner pocketbooks during periods of greater inequality -- though those pocketbooks were thinner. Rather, the gap between people's own fortunes and those of people who are better off is correlated with feelings that other people are less fair and less trustworthy, and this results in a diminished sense of well-being in general.
Interestingly, the psychologists found, the inequality blues did not afflict Americans at the top.. For instance, for the richest 20 percent, income disparity or its absence did not affect their feelings about fairness and trust -- or their happiness -- one way or the other.
4. And here's one reason why - That increased inquality of wealth and incomes is at least partly because improvements in productivity have not translated into real wage growth in recent years. Where did that money go? Here's the chart for the US. An eye-opener.
5. Milking the (cash) cows - Korda Mentha has claimed fees worth more than NZ$4 million from the receivership of Crafar Farms and legal fees of NZ$5 million, Stuff's Andrea Fox reports.
6. Credit card fees attempt - There have been various attempts in the last year to pass on the credit card processing fees as an additional cost to credit card holders. Some service stations tried and failed. Air New Zealand has successfully started passing the fees on. See Emma Geraghty's story from last year on this subject.
Now an Auckland startup company wants to start an EFTPOS system that automatically surcharges people for credit card transactions. This looks sneaky. Essentially it is using card users to pay the EFTPOS charges for the retailer. Inflation anybody?
Claire Rogers at BusinessDay has the story.
John Hodgson, iPayments general manager, said its terminals added the surcharge at the point of sale and broke down the bill so customers could see the added fee.
Retailers could set their surcharge at 2 per cent of the transaction, or $2 if that was greater, or 3 per cent of the transaction or $2. Terminals cost $46 a month to rent but retailers averaging two credit transactions a day – or three a day for wireless terminals – would not have to pay the rental fee. IPayments would take a cut of each surcharge.
Retailers were paying as much as 5 per cent in fees on credit card transactions, he said. "Some credit-card holders will be disapproving but others will understand it's a fairness issue."
7. Nickel prices plunge - Bloomberg reports on a slump in nickel prices. It's worth watching these metal prices for an early sniff on what is happening in China.
While raw-material producers are failing to extract enough copper and oil and droughts threaten crops, nickel supply is expanding faster than demand. Prices reached a record $51,800 in 2007 and moved at least 63 percent a year since then, leading consumers to use more substitutes than in any other major commodity, Macquarie says. Ikea Group, the world’s largest home- furnishings retailer, is removing the metal from kitchen and bathroom products.
8. Dude where's my recovery - Aussie economist Steve Keen is in fine form again here on the problem with bankers and debt... HT Troy.
As Schumpeter argued decades ago, in a well-functioning capitalist system, the main recipients of credit are entrepreneurs who have an idea, but not the money needed to put it into action.
It becomes a bad thing when this additional credit goes, not to entrepreneurs, but to Ponzi merchants in the finance sector, who use it not to innovate or add to productive capacity, but to gamble on asset prices. This adds to debt levels without adding to the economy’s capacity to service them, leading to a blowout in the ratio of private debt to GDP.
Ultimately, this process leads to a crisis like the one we are now in, where so much debt has been taken on that the growth of debt comes to an end. The economy then enters not a recession, but a Depression.
9. US in worse position than Greece - So says PIMCO's Bill Gross via CNBC. Yet the bond vigilantes are still asleep...
Much of the public focus is on the nation's public debt, which is $14.3 trillion. But that doesn't include money guaranteed for Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, which comes to close to $50 trillion, according to government figures.
The government also is on the hook for other debts such as the programs related to the bailout of the financial system following the crisis of 2008 and 2009, government figures show.
Taken together, Gross puts the total at "nearly $100 trillion," that while perhaps a bit on the high side, places the country in a highly unenviable fiscal position that he said won't find a solution overnight.
"To think that we can reduce that within the space of a year or two is not a realistic assumption," Gross said in a live interview. "That's much more than Greece, that's much more than almost any other developed country. We've got a problem and we have to get after it quickly."
10. Debt ceiling doubts - Gross refers above to an FT report that US banks are preparing to pull back from buying US Treasuries because they're starting to worry about the US Congress lifting its debt ceiling before the August 2 deadline for a US default.
"We’re planning to lower our reliance on the use of Treasurys in early August and have more cash on hand as a contingency measure," said a U.S. bank chief.
Investors worldwide own large amounts of the $9.7 trillion of debt that has been sold by the U.S. government as part of their portfolios. But nearly 40 per cent of the existing U.S. Treasury debt — about $4 trillion — is used to back deals in the repurchase, futures and swaps markets, say JPMorgan Chase estimates.
It is this key role that Treasurys play as collateral for the wider financial system where turmoil could follow any missed payment resulting from the debt ceiling fight. The top quality and liquidity of Treasury debt means it can be used to back transactions relatively cheaply, with banks or clearing houses only requiring a small "haircut" or discount on the value of the debt to reflect credit risks.
In a letter to Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, Matthew Zames, a JPMorgan Chase executive and chairman of the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, wrote in April that "a default could trigger a wave of margin calls and widening of haircuts on collateral, which in turn could lead to deleveraging and a sharp drop in lending."
11. Totally all Greek to me - This Greek language video is a first and last for us. Apparently it shows an escape tunnel under the Greek parliament being cleared in case the MPs have to be make an ...er... urgent exit...on Wednesday during a key vote.
Covering Delta has the story/translation. The Google translation is hilarious. The video is fun. The presenter looks like Greece's answer to Paul Henry. He's not happy.
Apparently, a tunnel that leads from Lykavitos to the Greek parliament, and from there to the sea port of Piraeus, is being cleaned out by foreign workers in preparation for the possible evacuation of Greek MP’s in the event of a storming of parliament ahead of wednesday’s vote on the new memorandum.
The situation here is getting completely out of control. I really don’t know how much longer the people will be willing to wait this thing out. The mood here in Athens is one of intense disillusionment with a government that seems increasingly detached from its own people
24 Comments
FYI from Michael Hudson via Naked Capitalism
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/06/michael-hudson-the-financial-roa…
Financial strategists do not intend to let today’s debt crisis go to waste. Foreclosure time has arrived. That means revolution – or more accurately, a counter-revolution to roll back the 20th century’s gains made by social democracy: pensions and social security, public health care and other infrastructure providing essential services at subsidized prices or for free. The basic model follows the former Soviet Union’s post-1991 neoliberal reforms: privatization of public enterprises, a high flat tax on labor but only nominal taxes on real estate and finance, and deregulation of the economy’s prices, working conditions and credit terms.
What is to be reversed is the “modern” agenda. The aim a century ago was to mobilize the Industrial Revolution’s soaring productivity and technology to raise living standards and use progressive taxation, public regulation, central banking and financial reform to distribute wealth fairly and make societies more equal. Today’s financial aim is the opposite: to concentrate wealth at the top of the economic pyramid and lower labor’s returns. High finance loves low wages.
This new road to neoserfdom is an asset grab. But to achieve it, the financial sector needs a political grab to replace democracy with financial technocrats. Their job is to pretend that there is no revolution at all, merely an increase in “efficiency,” “creating wealth” by debt-leveraging the economy to the point where the entire surplus is paid out as interest to the financial managers who are emerging as Western civilization’s new central planners.
From same article:
'One commentator recently characterized the latter strategy of privatization as “tantamount to selling the family silver only to have to rent it back in order to eat dinner.”'
Or ... selling your generator and renting it back to power your house.
And an air of desperation is creeping in in America
Former White House aide Larry Summers on Sunday urged expanded tax cuts on U.S. workers' wages, warning that America's economy was at risk of years of Japan-style stagnation without a further boost.
In an opinion piece published by Reuters on Sunday, Summers -- a Harvard professor and former Treasury secretary under President Bill Clinton -- argued that it would be "premature" to withdraw fiscal support for the economy at the end of 2011.
And this from Larry Christof at the NYTimes on the use of antibiotics on US factory farms
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/12/opinion/12kristof.html?_r=1
While the terrorist attacks of 2001 led us to transform the way we approach national security, the deaths of almost twice as many people annually have still not generated basic food-safety initiatives. We have an industrial farming system that is a marvel for producing cheap food, but its lobbyists block initiatives to make food safer.
Perhaps the most disgraceful aspect of our agricultural system — I say this as an Oregon farmboy who once raised sheep, cattle and hogs — is the way antibiotics are recklessly stuffed into healthy animals to make them grow faster.
We would never think of trying to keep our children healthy by adding antibiotics to school water fountains, because we know this would breed antibiotic-resistant bacteria. It’s unconscionable that Big Ag does something similar for livestock.
Yah.
One of the great stupidities of this age is the way Farms are breeding anti biotic resistant bugs.
Yep the less things we copy from the US ag system the better. Federated farmers don't exactly fill me with confidence that they are resistant to such influence though...
Iain Parker, Roelaf and others. It looks like public credit might be getting more attention.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article28533.html
Note the mention of New Zealand as being one of the countries where publicly-owned banks have been successfully established and operated.
Interesting email in.
Sella.co.nz and Trade and Exchange are merging in an effort to take on online auction market leader Trademe.
With free fees versus Trademe's 7.5%+ I think they stand a good chance of knocking the greedy aussie off their perch. Good luck to them.
Trademe charges 7.5%?
wow! so why would they want to sell of part of the cash cow?
regards
Are you confusing Trademe with Trade & Exchange (t&e)?
And yes 7.5% wow. I think their greed through abusing their monopoly is going to be their undoing. I remember only a few years ago when it was only 2%. Plus now if you want to get noticed you have to pay all these extras.
Crikey! You're right - I just checked! I didn't believe you at first (sorry about that!)
Greedy pigs - 7.5% for an automated service.
I hope some genuine competition does get into the picture.
I hate these greedy Aussies ripping us off and laughing their heads off at us at they joyfully separate us from our meagre wages. And yes, I am looking at you, banks!
Cheers to all
Auckland David Henderson appears to have gone to Spain...
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10732186
The former rich-lister and Prince Wharf developer was declared bankrupt in the High Court at Auckland last Thursday, over debts of $3.7 million to the IRD.
Regional manager, Official Assignee David Harte said Henderson flew out of New Zealand last Friday, but had made no application for consent to the Official Assignee.
The Herald has been told he left the country bound for Spain.
Harte said Henderson would face questioning immediately upon his return into New Zealand to determine the circumstances of his departure and whether an offence had been committed.
A cynic might suspect that Henderson has goodies stashed away in foreign accounts and won't be voluntarily returning to NZ if he can avoid it.
A cynic might also say "good riddance", and mean it.
I think that might not be doing the cynics justice.
Heck I might go and squat in his house next door. Three houses including one for the caretaker, north facing, boat shed, private beach, 5 acres of peninsula, yeah I could get used to that.
There must be more to this Alex, his property next door would easily cover the $3.7M, even in this slow market.
Who else does he owe money to?
Who else does he owe money to?
Bill English, perhaps...?
(Yes Bernard, I know...I know...)
IRD seek $ 3.7 million from Henderson . That is their figure . But what amount does he actually owe them , before their plethora of late fees and penalties are added on , and compounded ?
Ah, sunny Spain.
"Christopher Skase died one of the most hated and maligned of all Australians, in a self-imposed exile, after he refused to return home from Spain to carry the can for one of the most expensive and spectacular financial crashes.... he fled to Spain, a country with no extradition treaty with Australia"
And when the previously athletic and robust Skase was seen in a wheelchair , and wearing an oxygen mask , all the Aussie newspapers went apoleptic that it was a con , and that he'd do anything to get out of returning to Australia ............
....... and then he died .......... and all of Australia thought ,.. " come on Skasie , nice try , but we're still not buying it ..... get home to face the music , ya mongrel . "
Well done Gummy, I was racking my brains trying to think of his name.
Was it the cigars, or did he do an Elvis?
Freedom good for you? seems too much may not be...
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/06/12/free-to-lose/
a study from the Mercatus Center (pdf) purporting to rank states by their levels of freedom.
One of Matt’s readers does the correlations, and finds that
The Mercatus Institute’s freedom score was significantly linked to (by state)- lower educational attainment (measured by percent of Bachelor degrees or higher), lower population density, lower per capita GDP, increased infant mortality, increased accident mortality, increased incidence of suicide, increased firearm mortality, decreased industrial R&D, and increased income inequality.
This suggests that New Hampshire, which Mercatus considers the freest state (with South Dakota just behind) has its state motto slightly off. It should be “Live free and die.”
LOL....sometimes I rewally think some on the right are REALLY stupid...talk about an own goal.
regards
So much for bothering to do a thing about CO2, its blindingly obvious that no country can be bothered or is bothered about it. The ppl making that choice today of course will be in their graves long before the real impacts are felt....
regards
Re #3 : The richest 20% are still happy.
Well, now that gives us all something to aspire to doesn't it?
If we all work hard, one day we might all be in the richest 20%
/sarcasm off.
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