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Monday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Russians to buy A$; Australians give up on quarter acre paradise dream; Google's tax dodging; A Greek tragedy; Cartoons galore; Dilberts

Monday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Russians to buy A$; Australians give up on quarter acre paradise dream; Google's tax dodging; A Greek tragedy; Cartoons galore; Dilberts

Here's my Top 10 links from around the Internet at midday  in association with NZ Mint.

I'll pop the extras into the comment stream. See all previous Top 10s here.

I welcome your additions in the comments below or via email to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz.

Muchos Cartoons today.

1. The Russians are coming - The Australian reports Russia's central bank has announced plans to invest US$5 billion in Australian dollar assets to help diversify its foreign reserves away from the US dollar.

Sound familiar?

The Chinese are doing this too, but seem keener on little old New Zealand.

This is what happens when the US Federal Reserve tries to print its way out from under its debt mountain and undermines the value of the world's reserve currency in the process.

It destabilises the global system of capital and currency movements.

And we pay for it with fall in the competitiveness of our exports.

The hypocrisy of the Americans is stunning. They complain about China's mercantilist approach to global trade and then procede to try to print their way to freedom.

None of this will end well.

Meanwhile, our currency remains above 81 USc despite us being in recession for more than 3 years... Does anyone (apart from John Key) really trust these high commodity prices.

A top economic aide to President Dmitry Medvedev, Arkady Dvorkovich, said Russia would continue to lower its US debt holdings. Its stock of US Treasuries has already gone down from $US176bn last October to $US125bn in April.

The comments by Russian officials come as Australian economists report increasing interest in the Australian currency by other central banks and sovereign wealth funds, amid uncertainty about the economic outlook in the US and Europe.

Increasing foreign interest has powered the Australian dollar's rise from parity with the US dollar earlier this year to around $US1.06 today.

2. Quarter acre paradise? - The Australian reports a new survey has found Australians still want to live in a stand alone house near the centre of Sydney or Melbourne.

But when pushed to decide on where they'd prefer to live given the outrageous cost of such housing, they often opt for apartments on the fringes, simply because of the cost.

It surprises those who always argue for sprawling suburbs. Maybe we actually want apartments on the fringes?

The study finds a 400,000-plus shortage of semi-detached homes and apartments in the middle suburbs and on the fringes of Sydney and a shortage of 200,000-plus for Melbourne, compared with the overall level of interest in living in them.

Yet the construction industry, hamstrung by government and local authority restrictions, isn't catering for these real-world choices, the paper finds.

"Construction of new dwellings in the last 10 years has not reduced the gap between the housing people say they want and the housing we have," it says.

"In Sydney, the volume of construction has contracted sharply. In Melbourne, detached homes in outer and fringe areas have predominated, a construction pattern that moves us further away from the city structure residents say they want."

3. Just Google tax haven - Stuff reports Google paid just NZ$230,000 of tax in New Zealand last year despite taking in well over NZ$150 million in revenues. I reckon Google's NZ revenues are actually closer to NZ$200 million.

When is the government going to crack down on Google's use of an Irish tax haven? It also doesn't pay GST.

This raises questions about the shift of many services into the 'cloud'. Where is it taxed? Is this a whole new part of the economy (accounting, legal services, advertising, media) that is about to be internationalised and taken out of the non-tradeable economy?

Google's income tax expense for 2009 before the extra payment was $40,000, but that falls to $7726 once a deferred tax deduction for the year is factored in. The subsidiary has total deferred tax assets, which can be used to offset future tax bills, of $103,801.

Google's commission model was criticised last year, after Bloomberg reported it was paying a tax rate of just 2.4 per cent on billions of dollars of profits earned outside the United States.

Inland Revenue hinted it might take action, saying its "general anti-avoidance provision" could apply to "treaty shopping situations, where transactions were merely routed through a particular jurisdiction by way of a conduit entity and lack commercial substance".  

4. Debt limit hike? - Republicans have begun talking about a temporary (!?) hike in the US debt ceiling, Reuters reports.

Who are these guys kidding? A massive can-kicking exercise.

Congress and the White House could raise the debt limit for a few months while they seek a comprehensive, long-term budget deal, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell said on Sunday.

The Obama administration has warned it will run out of money to pay the nation's bills if Congress does not raise the $14.3 trillion debt limit by August 2 -- a prospect that could push the country back into recession and upend global financial markets.

5. That ghastly US$2 trillion problem - Bloomberg reports on the scale of the losses possible if Greece was to default.

While European lenders reduced their risk tied to Greece by 30 percent to $136.3 billion last year by not renewing loans, writing down the value of debt and shifting it off their books, they still have almost $2 trillion linked to Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Italy, figures from the Bank for International Settlements show, leaving them vulnerable if the crisis spreads.

“The Greek debt situation certainly has the potential to create havoc with the European banking system,” said Neil Phillips, a fund managerat BlueBay Asset Management Plc in London, which oversees about $45 billion. “A Greek default and the ramifications of that would be too ghastly for Europe and the European banking system to contemplate right now.”

6. It's not working yet - China's attempts to cool down the red-hot apartment development markets in Beijing and Shanhai isn't working yet, although it is slowing down existing home sales.

Bloomberg reports prices rose in 67 of 70 cities, although existing home prices fell in 23 of those 70 cities.

“Government measures work better in the existing home market because the strict home purchase restrictions effectively restrain some purchasing power,” Jeffrey Gao, a Shanghai-based property analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, said in a phone interview. “Developers on the other hand are not in a rush to cut home prices as they watch the direction of government policies.”

The slowing home price growth in the market for existing homes may force more property agencies out of business, said Gao. Midland Realty Ltd. said it will close all of its branches that broker existing homes sales and rentals in Shanghai, because the company “isn’t optimistic” about the market in the city, China Business News reported on May 9, citing Ding Wei, a company official.

7. 'Up in flames' - The Guardian's Aditya Chakrabortty reports from on the ground in Athens with the mood of the people. It's ugly. It is today's must-read, if just for the colour and flavour of how real Greek people feel.

Tassos doesn't just support the protesters of Syntagma; he thinks they will go further. "Don't be surprised if Athens goes up in flames," the 50-year old says. "And don't be sad, either." His words initially sound melodramatic, but the anger keeps coming up.

"Politicians now walk around with bodyguards," says Aris Chatzistefanou, the co-director of Debtocracy, a film about the Greek crisis that has become a sensation.

He quotes a newspaper report of how restaurateurs are taking down those cheesy framed photos of dining politicians, of how one government spokesman went to dinner a few weeks ago only for the rest of the restaurant to start shouting "You are eating the blood of the people".

8. Fast Helicopters - I'm a bit of a boy when it comes to planes and copters. There's a new breed of fast helicopters about to debut at the Paris air show.

Here's the Wall St Journal video with the two best looking ones.

9. Not good value for money - Gretchen Morgenson at the NYTimes points to a study of executive pay at the S&P 500 showing these companies paid 2,591 executives US$14.3 billion in 2010, up 13.9% from a year ago. Meanwhile, the study found that shareholder value at 179 of these firms fell from 2008 to 2010.

That’s some pile of pay, right? But Mr. Ciesielski puts it into perspective by noting that the total is almost equal to the gross domestic product of Tajikistan, which has a population of more than 7 million.

Warming to his subject, Mr. Ciesielski also determined that 158 companies paid more in cash compensation to their top guys and gals last year than they paid in audit fees to their accounting firms. Thirty-two companies paid their top executives more in 2010 than they paid in cash income taxes.

10. Totally appropriate video - One of my favourites from REM. It's the end of the world as we know, and I feel fine...HT Gareth

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19 Comments

Latest on the Greek tragedy. The europeans have delayed a decision on the next payment in Greece's bailout plan. Ie they couldn't agree. What a mess. Buckle up.

The europeans are essentially saying they won't give any more money until the Greeks pass a new austerity plan through parliament.

Markets are now hostage to politicians on both sides of the Atlantic. Comfy?

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/20/us-eurozone-idUSTRE75J04R20110620?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&dlvrit=56943

Euro zone finance ministers postponed a final decision on extending a further 12 billion euros ($17 billion) in emergency loans to Greece, saying Athens would first have to introduce harsh austerity measures.

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Nice title page on Monday's Der Spiegel (translates as "Suddenly and expected. Obituary to a common currency")

http://www.spiegel.de/spiegel/print/index-2011-25.html

 

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Arh yes that R.E.M. track takes me back to Varsity Days.

So apt.

Video shoot location actually looks like some of my flats as well.

I wonder if the one of the Greek Colonel's will rise up and take control of Greece with a military dictatorship, we could see a repeat of the blood letting there like what happened in the mid to late 1940's

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Only if Greek military spending is cut...!

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Aye, Wally, that's their Achilles Heel.....

 

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First order of the new regime...raise all military salaries...and pensions...the Germans are paying!

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FYI it seems the Muddy Waters report on the Sino-Forest debacle may have been accurate...

During two weeks of on-the-ground reporting that included interviews with Chinese government officials, forestry experts, local business operators and brokers, The Globe and Mail uncovered a number of glaring inconsistencies that raise doubts about the company’s public statements regarding the value of the assets that lie at the centre of the company’s core business  of buying and selling Chinese timber rights.

Once a stock market favourite, Sino-Forest has had a spectacular fall since a short seller’s report, published June 2, alleged that the company engaged in large-scale fraud and is inflating the value of its timber assets.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/key-partner-casts-doubt-on-sino-forest-claim/article2066110/singlepage/

 

Oh and BTW Sino-Forest owns a forest in Northland.

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/4535521/Foreign-companies-buy-NZ-forest…

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The study finds a 400,000-plus shortage of semi-detached homes and apartments in the middle suburbs and on the fringes of Sydney and a shortage of 200,000-plus for Melbourne, compared with the overall level of interest in living in them.

Yet the construction industry, hamstrung by government and local authority restrictions, isn't catering for these real-world choices, the paper finds.

And if the developer scum are permitted to build all these semi-detached homes and apartments, the fringes will become a whole lot further from downtown Sydney and Melbourne.

All those people in the new houses so distant from the "vibrant and dynamic city centres" will long to be in old houses closer to the exciting and glamourous nightlife.

In other words, this is all just yet more bullsh*t from developer scum desperate to be excused from adhering to environmental-protection regulations.

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It's also a stunning example of people addressing an exponential issue using linear thought processes.

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I'd much rather live in affordable apartment buildings than in houses in far away suburbs.   With my current budget I'm required to live in the burbs and its an inconvenience.  Traffic jams, far away super markets, unreliable public transport.

 I spent last year living in a suburb of Paris and I'm 100% sold on the idea.  I had excellent public transport, supermarkets, takeaways, all within 5 minutes walk.  It's much more environmentally friendly and efficient too.

Town planning in this country is atrocious and lacks any vision.   Jon

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FYI from the world's biggest bond fund PIMCO on Europe's can kicking exercise. It won't work.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/19/us-greece-pimco-idUSTRE75I0Q920110619

"After a year, every indicator has unfortunately worsened, despite the incredible quantity of financial assistance," Mohammed El-Erian told Italy's Corriere della Sera daily,

"All of this has terrible human consequences and it's associated with a transfer of liabilities from private creditors to European taxpayers. Why? Very little is being done to deal with the excess of public debt, and the conditions for higher growth are not being put in place," he said.

"Further on, if this approach is kept up, more money will be wasted to save private creditors and the risk of a disorderly restructuring of the debt will be greater."

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The new game ......take one 'tin can'...place on ground and kick hard to cause can to roll and clatter as far as possible...then do the 'Jackson Walk' while singing 'happy days are here again....'

With each kick the can will double in size.....!

How large is it now?

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Good roundup on the latest in the Greek crisis here at WSJ

Tuesday night's confidence vote in the Greek parliament looks crucial.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303936704576395314159080624.html?mod=wsj_share_twitter

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Charles Hugh Smith on the Greek crises and default in general. Superb thinking - as we have come to expect.

"The Eurozone debt "crisis" is nothing but another credit cycle, in which debt expands beyond the carrying capacity of consumers and economies. Debt then contracts as uncollectable debt is written down; borrowers go bankrupt and their remaining assets are auctioned off (if they put up collateral; if not, then tough luck, lenders, you blew it and will have to suck the entire loss). Insolvent lenders are also declared bankrupt and dissolved.

There is absolutely nothing unusual about this cycle. Impaired debt is renounced and the system is purged of bad debt. Once the economy has been cleared of garbage, so to speak, then everyone can stop pretending and start dealing with reality. Businesses will be able to start up in a transparent and open market.

The world does not end. Life goes on. We were threatened and bullied in 2008 that the insolvency of the U.S. financial sector would trigger the end of civilization, but it was just another lie: life goes on."

http://www.oftwominds.com/blogjune11/accept-reality-EU6-11.html

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 "There is absolutely nothing unusual about this cycle. Impaired debt is renounced and the system is purged of bad debt. Once the economy has been cleared of garbage, so to speak, then everyone can stop pretending and start dealing with reality."

Sounds logical and reasonable.  Question would be when is this going to happen on a global scale or do we need Greece to start the ball rolling?

Shouldn't this have been allowed to happen in the first place in the US when the subprime debacle first came to light?

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Greece Is About To Get Hit With Widespread Blackouts, As Power Workers Go On Strike Monday

http://www.businessinsider.com/rolling-blackouts-in-greece-2011-6

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DebtOcracy - video here.

 

 

 

DEBTOCRACY // ΧΡΕΟΚΡΑΤΙΑ

"For the first time in Greece a documentary produced by the audience. “Debtocracy” seeks the causes of the debt crisis and proposes solutions, hidden by the government and the dominant media. The documentary will be distributed free by the end of March without usage rights and broadcasted and subtitled in at least three languages.

http://www.debtocracy.gr/indexen.html

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Eurocopter  fans ...

Don't get too excited. This design is identical to the Flettner 185 of 1936

Here it is in action     http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo8_C5J3F3o

 

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This will resonate with a lot of you here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-geWu-E9ys&feature=player_embedded

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