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bnzeconomists

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Member for

11 years 6 months

Latest articles

Rate cut expectations in Australia will support the NZD which could see a new push to 98 AUc
23rd Mar 15, 8:44am
Rate cut expectations in Australia will support the NZD which could see a new push to 98 AUc
UST benchmark rates fall but NZ swap rates rise. RBA looking at 'sub-average growth'. Eyes on Fonterra board meeting
23rd Mar 15, 8:29am
UST benchmark rates fall but NZ swap rates rise. RBA looking at 'sub-average growth'. Eyes on Fonterra board meeting
USD fighting back; NZD/AUD making another run at 97c; speculation grows for a further RBA rate cut in April
20th Mar 15, 8:22am
USD fighting back; NZD/AUD making another run at 97c; speculation grows for a further RBA rate cut in April
NZ swap and bond yields fall sharply. Curve flattens creating corporate paying opportunity. More of same expected today
20th Mar 15, 8:18am
NZ swap and bond yields fall sharply. Curve flattens creating corporate paying opportunity. More of same expected today
FOMC delivers more dovish statement than expected and rules out April rate hike; US export growth weakened; median forecasts for interest rates lower
19th Mar 15, 7:52am
FOMC delivers more dovish statement than expected and rules out April rate hike; US export growth weakened; median forecasts for interest rates lower
US Fed signals push UST yields down. More downward pressure expected on NZ yields today. Eyes now on NZ Q4 GDP
19th Mar 15, 7:49am
US Fed signals push UST yields down. More downward pressure expected on NZ yields today. Eyes now on NZ Q4 GDP
Commodity currencies suffer. Local eyes on today's current account deficit with analysts expecting it to worsen to -3.3% of GDP
18th Mar 15, 8:20am
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Commodity currencies suffer. Local eyes on today's current account deficit with analysts expecting it to worsen to -3.3% of GDP
NZ rates will be under pressure from 'soft' GDT auction; everyone else awaiting FOMC
18th Mar 15, 8:13am
NZ rates will be under pressure from 'soft' GDT auction; everyone else awaiting FOMC
Soft US data, lower oil prices, stronger NZD, eyes on tomorrow's dairy auction where lower prices are expected
17th Mar 15, 8:03am
Soft US data, lower oil prices, stronger NZD, eyes on tomorrow's dairy auction where lower prices are expected
US 10-year yields drift lower. Bond markets wonder if June Fed hike may be delayed. Eyes on RBA minutes
17th Mar 15, 7:57am
US 10-year yields drift lower. Bond markets wonder if June Fed hike may be delayed. Eyes on RBA minutes
NZD rises to new record high against the EUR but falls back against a very strong USD; more oil price declines expected
16th Mar 15, 7:52am
NZD rises to new record high against the EUR but falls back against a very strong USD; more oil price declines expected
Rates rise in all markets; US confidence slips and inflation expectations rise to 3%. All eyes on US Fed's Thursday meeting
16th Mar 15, 7:41am
Rates rise in all markets; US confidence slips and inflation expectations rise to 3%. All eyes on US Fed's Thursday meeting
NZD's rise follows weak US retail sales data and market recalibration of RBNZ comments
13th Mar 15, 8:37am
NZD's rise follows weak US retail sales data and market recalibration of RBNZ comments
Markets give muted approval to RBNZ's settings which removes housing issues from OCR framework and shifts them to FSR for action
13th Mar 15, 8:13am
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Markets give muted approval to RBNZ's settings which removes housing issues from OCR framework and shifts them to FSR for action
NZD could suffer volatility as markets absorb RBNZ messages and key employment data in Australia is released
12th Mar 15, 7:37am
NZD could suffer volatility as markets absorb RBNZ messages and key employment data in Australia is released
NZGB bond yields shift lower. LGFA offer getting wider recognition, yields falling. Markets expecting longer 'hold' by RBNZ
12th Mar 15, 7:37am
NZGB bond yields shift lower. LGFA offer getting wider recognition, yields falling. Markets expecting longer 'hold' by RBNZ
A combination of USD strength and market expectation for RBNZ cuts appears to be weighing on the NZD; impact of threat to contaminate NZ infant formula passed
11th Mar 15, 8:26am
A combination of USD strength and market expectation for RBNZ cuts appears to be weighing on the NZD; impact of threat to contaminate NZ infant formula passed
Local swaps down, German yields fall, US yields followed. Flattening pressure on NZ curve today
11th Mar 15, 8:19am
Local swaps down, German yields fall, US yields followed. Flattening pressure on NZ curve today
Markets take time out to absorb impact of strong US payrolls. NZD falls on Key comments, RBNZ more likely to hold than cut
10th Mar 15, 7:56am
Markets take time out to absorb impact of strong US payrolls. NZD falls on Key comments, RBNZ more likely to hold than cut
Local markets price in higher yields following jump in benchmark US rates; markets price in rising US Fed rates
10th Mar 15, 7:48am
Local markets price in higher yields following jump in benchmark US rates; markets price in rising US Fed rates
A stronger US economy and rising US rates will see the NZD fall over the coming months, although hold above 90 AUc: BNZ
9th Mar 15, 7:44am
A stronger US economy and rising US rates will see the NZD fall over the coming months, although hold above 90 AUc: BNZ
Local markets expected to price in higher yields today following 'abrupt' jump in benchmark US rates
9th Mar 15, 7:36am
Local markets expected to price in higher yields today following 'abrupt' jump in benchmark US rates
Currency traders mark down the NZD on a new RBNZ focus on investor loans for housing, mark down the AUD on RBA comments, and await US data
6th Mar 15, 8:02am
Currency traders mark down the NZD on a new RBNZ focus on investor loans for housing, mark down the AUD on RBA comments, and await US data
By signaling concerns for an overheated housing market, RBNZ very unlikely to cut OCR; ECB QE arrives amid raised growth; eyes now on US non-farm payrolls
6th Mar 15, 7:56am
By signaling concerns for an overheated housing market, RBNZ very unlikely to cut OCR; ECB QE arrives amid raised growth; eyes now on US non-farm payrolls
Euro at its lowest level since 2003, and now at a new record low vs the NZD. NZD pushing higher against the AUD too
5th Mar 15, 7:59am
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Euro at its lowest level since 2003, and now at a new record low vs the NZD. NZD pushing higher against the AUD too