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bnzeconomists

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Latest articles

NZ swap and bond yields move sharply higher across the curve. US payrolls and services expanding. Eyes on US non-farm payrolls
5th Mar 15, 7:52am
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NZ swap and bond yields move sharply higher across the curve. US payrolls and services expanding. Eyes on US non-farm payrolls
Canada records good growth, awaits rate decision. Aussie Q4 growth data to be released today. US jobs back in focus
4th Mar 15, 8:18am
Canada records good growth, awaits rate decision. Aussie Q4 growth data to be released today. US jobs back in focus
BNZ sees our rate curve biased to steepen into the second half of 2015; more issuance announced including LGFA as local yields appeal
4th Mar 15, 8:10am
BNZ sees our rate curve biased to steepen into the second half of 2015; more issuance announced including LGFA as local yields appeal
Markets confused over likely RBA signal; will react whatever outcome. Markets see RBNZ needing to react to whatever RBA recides
3rd Mar 15, 10:29am
Markets confused over likely RBA signal; will react whatever outcome. Markets see RBNZ needing to react to whatever RBA recides
NZD awaits some major data, poised to react. First it is the RBA, then the dairy auction, then US interest rate policy
3rd Mar 15, 8:13am
NZD awaits some major data, poised to react. First it is the RBA, then the dairy auction, then US interest rate policy
China's rate cuts to put pressure on AUD; oil prices stir; eyes on NZ terms of trade data
2nd Mar 15, 8:06am
China's rate cuts to put pressure on AUD; oil prices stir; eyes on NZ terms of trade data
NZ swaps push higher and steeper. UST 10yr yields rise, should push up following first Fed hike mid-year. RBA decision tomorrow
2nd Mar 15, 7:46am
NZ swaps push higher and steeper. UST 10yr yields rise, should push up following first Fed hike mid-year. RBA decision tomorrow
Core US inflation higher than expected, as were US durable goods orders. Both will impress the Fed. NZ data positive too
27th Feb 15, 8:13am
Core US inflation higher than expected, as were US durable goods orders. Both will impress the Fed. NZ data positive too
Aussie capex weakness and chunky long-end flow drives narrowing of NZ-AU spreads markedly
27th Feb 15, 8:07am
Aussie capex weakness and chunky long-end flow drives narrowing of NZ-AU spreads markedly
German 10-year yields fall back to historic lows; unexpected weakness in Aussie data likely to have contagion effect for NZ
26th Feb 15, 8:47am
German 10-year yields fall back to historic lows; unexpected weakness in Aussie data likely to have contagion effect for NZ
Canadian rate cut an "insurance" measure; Wheeler comments on Auckland property market; NZD tracking higher ahead of Fonterra announcement
26th Feb 15, 8:41am
Canadian rate cut an "insurance" measure; Wheeler comments on Auckland property market; NZD tracking higher ahead of Fonterra announcement
Currency markets take a different view on Yellen testimony to bond markets, seeing early US rate rises as more likely. Wheeler's turn to speak today
25th Feb 15, 8:40am
Currency markets take a different view on Yellen testimony to bond markets, seeing early US rate rises as more likely. Wheeler's turn to speak today
Yellen concerned about weak US wage growth, inflation too low. NZ swaps take lead from Wall Street
25th Feb 15, 8:18am
Yellen concerned about weak US wage growth, inflation too low. NZ swaps take lead from Wall Street
Markets await Yellen testimony, the Greek Plan, and Fonterra's payout guidance. Could be positive for both the USD and NZD
24th Feb 15, 8:11am
Markets await Yellen testimony, the Greek Plan, and Fonterra's payout guidance. Could be positive for both the USD and NZD
US data disappoints and US Treasury yields lower today; markets await Yellen testimony; local swap markets active
24th Feb 15, 8:03am
US data disappoints and US Treasury yields lower today; markets await Yellen testimony; local swap markets active
NZD consolidates its new lofty position against the AUD; NZD may get a new spurt if Yellen airs the risks to policy in testimony
23rd Feb 15, 8:25am
NZD consolidates its new lofty position against the AUD; NZD may get a new spurt if Yellen airs the risks to policy in testimony
Markets held back by Greek news, unsure of what it means. PMIs offered a positive surprise but failed to move markets
23rd Feb 15, 8:16am
Markets held back by Greek news, unsure of what it means. PMIs offered a positive surprise but failed to move markets
Jobs growth in US hits new heights; mixed messages about outlook for Greece; hints Australia's prized AAA credit rating at risk sends NZD/AUD over 97c
20th Feb 15, 8:40am
Jobs growth in US hits new heights; mixed messages about outlook for Greece; hints Australia's prized AAA credit rating at risk sends NZD/AUD over 97c
Market impervious to US data disappointments, sanguine over difficult Greece-EU talks. FOMC caution did move them, although recovered now
20th Feb 15, 8:27am
Market impervious to US data disappointments, sanguine over difficult Greece-EU talks. FOMC caution did move them, although recovered now
BoJ says inflationary target oil price dependent; BoE notes labour-cost pressure starting to build in UK; Greek tragedy being fueled by inflammatory headlines
19th Feb 15, 8:30am
BoJ says inflationary target oil price dependent; BoE notes labour-cost pressure starting to build in UK; Greek tragedy being fueled by inflammatory headlines
Market pricing in 50bps of cuts from RBA; standoff between Greece and its official creditors continues; 15bps climb in US treasury yields
18th Feb 15, 8:46am
Market pricing in 50bps of cuts from RBA; standoff between Greece and its official creditors continues; 15bps climb in US treasury yields
RBA debating when it should cut rates; dairy prices rose at their fastest rate since early 2013; Europe optimistic Greece will request a deal
18th Feb 15, 8:38am
RBA debating when it should cut rates; dairy prices rose at their fastest rate since early 2013; Europe optimistic Greece will request a deal
NZD/AUD breaks through previous resistance levels; Japan GDP report terrible; Greece’s talks with creditors collapse
17th Feb 15, 8:36am
NZD/AUD breaks through previous resistance levels; Japan GDP report terrible; Greece’s talks with creditors collapse
BNZ picks the 2yr swap rate to push on up to 4% "at least"; Greek negotiations off to a rocky start
17th Feb 15, 8:34am
BNZ picks the 2yr swap rate to push on up to 4% "at least"; Greek negotiations off to a rocky start
German GDP surprises positively, US consumer confidence surprise fall, AU jobless picked to rise, no expectation of a Greek resolution
16th Feb 15, 8:29am
German GDP surprises positively, US consumer confidence surprise fall, AU jobless picked to rise, no expectation of a Greek resolution