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Doug Steel

Global yields decline, led by Europe, post ECB forum. German annual inflation eases, Spain hits 10%. US dollar firmer; EUR, commodity currencies underperform
30th Jun 22, 7:55am
Global yields decline, led by Europe, post ECB forum. German annual inflation eases, Spain hits 10%. US dollar firmer; EUR, commodity currencies underperform
Fed hikes 75bps, at least 150bps more hikes projected in 2022. But not as hawkish as it might have been. ECB emergency meeting promises new instrument
16th Jun 22, 8:02am
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Fed hikes 75bps, at least 150bps more hikes projected in 2022. But not as hawkish as it might have been. ECB emergency meeting promises new instrument
OECD cuts global growth forecasts. Higher oil prices add to inflation worries. Equities retreat. USD/JPY blasts through 134. Global rates higher; US 10s above 3%
9th Jun 22, 7:56am
OECD cuts global growth forecasts. Higher oil prices add to inflation worries. Equities retreat. USD/JPY blasts through 134. Global rates higher; US 10s above 3%
The Westpac economists now see a milk price of $8.50 this season, based on expected lower production
6th Oct 21, 11:58am
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The Westpac economists now see a milk price of $8.50 this season, based on expected lower production
Encouraged by a strong global dairy auction this week, BNZ economists have raised their milk price pick by 50c to $8.30
9th Sep 21, 9:49am
Encouraged by a strong global dairy auction this week, BNZ economists have raised their milk price pick by 50c to $8.30
BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
10th Jun 21, 11:27am
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BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
Risk off dominates ahead of FOMC this morning. Equities, yields lower; USD higher. NZD dips back below 0.72
28th Jan 21, 7:55am
Risk off dominates ahead of FOMC this morning. Equities, yields lower; USD higher. NZD dips back below 0.72
Markets subdued ahead of FOMC. IMF revised global growth forecast higher. NZD, AUD push higher
27th Jan 21, 7:47am
Markets subdued ahead of FOMC. IMF revised global growth forecast higher. NZD, AUD push higher
Mild risk off tone on COVID, US stimulus timing. US equities and bond yields generally lower. NZD still hovering around 0.72
26th Jan 21, 7:56am
Mild risk off tone on COVID, US stimulus timing. US equities and bond yields generally lower. NZD still hovering around 0.72
NZ's current account deficit for the year to September was just 0.8% of GDP, the lowest in about 19 years
16th Dec 20, 11:14am
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NZ's current account deficit for the year to September was just 0.8% of GDP, the lowest in about 19 years
US equities higher on data, travel advisory. BoE unchanged as expected. AUD, NZD push higher
7th Aug 20, 7:52am
US equities higher on data, travel advisory. BoE unchanged as expected. AUD, NZD push higher
Economists see inflation possibly dropping below the minimum target of 1% this year, but say it's going to be difficult to even accurately measure it after the disruption of the lockdown
17th Apr 20, 8:58am
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Economists see inflation possibly dropping below the minimum target of 1% this year, but say it's going to be difficult to even accurately measure it after the disruption of the lockdown
Fed delivers emergency 50bp cut. US bond yields plunge; USD slips further. Equities pop then drop
4th Mar 20, 8:00am
Fed delivers emergency 50bp cut. US bond yields plunge; USD slips further. Equities pop then drop
Further gains in global dairy prices are prompting economists to push up their milk price forecasts higher and higher - with a $7.50 per kilogram of milk solids price now looking eminently achievable
20th Nov 19, 2:02pm
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Further gains in global dairy prices are prompting economists to push up their milk price forecasts higher and higher - with a $7.50 per kilogram of milk solids price now looking eminently achievable
ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
4th Nov 19, 1:42pm
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ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
Prospect of a Brexit deal lifts sentiment. GBP surges; NZD/GBP drops under 0.50. Equities, global bond yields higher
16th Oct 19, 8:00am
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Prospect of a Brexit deal lifts sentiment. GBP surges; NZD/GBP drops under 0.50. Equities, global bond yields higher
Global bond markets meaningfully extended last week’s sell-off, safe haven currencies slightly underperformed, while commodity prices edged higher. Not so for equity markets which marked time
10th Sep 19, 8:17am
Global bond markets meaningfully extended last week’s sell-off, safe haven currencies slightly underperformed, while commodity prices edged higher. Not so for equity markets which marked time
US equity markets have lifted, while bond yields have consolidated yesterday’s drop after testing even lower levels; US dollar has recovered with major indices back to where they were pre-Fed; NZD pushed above 0.6900
22nd Mar 19, 8:10am
US equity markets have lifted, while bond yields have consolidated yesterday’s drop after testing even lower levels; US dollar has recovered with major indices back to where they were pre-Fed; NZD pushed above 0.6900
Rising global dairy prices are increasing Fonterra's chances of being able to pay a farmgate milk price at the top end of its current forecast range
20th Mar 19, 3:50pm
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Rising global dairy prices are increasing Fonterra's chances of being able to pay a farmgate milk price at the top end of its current forecast range
Markets optimistic on positive signs in US-China trade discussions, further policy tweaks by China, more positive Brexit smoke signals, and Trump signing bill to reopen the US government
28th Jan 19, 7:51am
Markets optimistic on positive signs in US-China trade discussions, further policy tweaks by China, more positive Brexit smoke signals, and Trump signing bill to reopen the US government
BNZ economists are the latest to lower their milk price forecast for the current season - to $6, which is below Fonterra's forecast range of $6.25 to $6.50
3rd Dec 18, 3:01pm
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BNZ economists are the latest to lower their milk price forecast for the current season - to $6, which is below Fonterra's forecast range of $6.25 to $6.50
US dollar has pushed higher across the board, arresting its slide over the past week; plunge in oil prices continues; NZD opens this morning close to its overnight lows around 0.6810; US interest rates traded a narrow range
21st Nov 18, 7:43am
US dollar has pushed higher across the board, arresting its slide over the past week; plunge in oil prices continues; NZD opens this morning close to its overnight lows around 0.6810; US interest rates traded a narrow range
Equity markets oscillated around flat before pressing lower, likewise US yields; oil prices have recovered a small amount of recent heavy losses; NZD is at the top of the G10 leader board
15th Nov 18, 7:54am
Equity markets oscillated around flat before pressing lower, likewise US yields; oil prices have recovered a small amount of recent heavy losses; NZD is at the top of the G10 leader board
ASB economists now see a milk price for this season of $6.25 per kilogram of milk solids, down from a previous forecast of $6.50; see farmer net earnings as about $240 million lower
17th Oct 18, 2:10pm
ASB economists now see a milk price for this season of $6.25 per kilogram of milk solids, down from a previous forecast of $6.50; see farmer net earnings as about $240 million lower
Economists say milk production levels this season will be crucial, with the strong start already putting pressure on prices
3rd Oct 18, 4:40pm
Economists say milk production levels this season will be crucial, with the strong start already putting pressure on prices