sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

90 seconds at 9 am with BNZ: NZ$ drops as US interest rates rise in wake of US tax cut deal; Chinese tightening expected this weekend

90 seconds at 9 am with BNZ: NZ$ drops as US interest rates rise in wake of US tax cut deal; Chinese tightening expected this weekend

Bernard Hickey details the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am in association with Bank of New Zealand, including news the New Zealand dollar fell more than 1 USc to 74.7 USc overnight after the US dollar strengthened.

US longer term interest rates have surged in the last two days in the wake of US President Barack Obama's deal to extend tax cuts to America's rich and its middle income earners.

This makes the US dollar more attractive.

The US 10 year treasury bond yield rose to3.27% overnight after its biggest rise in almost 2 years. Investors are worried Obama's moves not to reduce the deficit make it more risky to hold the bonds in the long term.

Meanwhile, there is also talk that China will tighten monetary policy with an interest rate hike this weekend to control inflation.

The Dow was flat despite the fears of a Chinese rate hike.

The Australian dollar also strengthened against the New Zealand dollar after firmer than expected mortgage approvals and expectations of a lower unemployment rate reignited talk of an earlier hike in Australian interest rates.

Our Reserve Bank is expected to leave interest rates on hold at 3% when it announces its decision at 9 am today.

No chart with that title exists.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

15 Comments

Sorry Bolly I can't make that meeting....gotta see the Gunners in action!

Up
0

An Arsenal supporter?! Ye Gads man, you poor thing. Oh well, each to their own.

Up
0

Copper production is expected to reach 450,000 tonnes (500,000 short tons) annually. Financing for the project has come in part from the Rio Tinto Group and an investment agreement between Ivanhoe Mines and the government of Mongolia.

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oyu_Tolgoi_mine

 http://www.midasletter.com/index.php/jp-morgan-behind-mysterious-1-billion-copper-buy-on-lme/

 Hmm- I guess our “Cooper Wire Man” was right.  Wally are some members of the small Mongolian government part of your family ?

Up
0

Heres Ambrose http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/8187476/Iceland-offers-risky-temptation-for-Ireland-as-recession-ends.html on the differing experiences of Iceland and Ireland. Iceland that didn't bail out the banks at taxpayer expense is doing much better.

Up
0

 "Jim Rogers expects interest rates in the US to go much higher over the next few years"

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/8187875/Jim-Rogers-US-governments-inflation-data-is-a-sham.html

What will that do to rates in NZ?

" 'US government's inflation data is a sham"..........are we also being lied to here in NZ?

Up
0

 

"The couple are credited by some as pioneers who helped to create the financial advice industry in New Zealand.

In 1988, Bradley, then known as Jackie O'Neill, published a book called The Winning Woman, which focused on financial advice for women." herald

yep...they sure did!

Up
0

Hey Gummy, just got a letter from Timmy the Rat...he needs help sorting out some crook $100s and I thought of you straight away...you need good eyesight and a feel for new bills with no flaws...you have to promise to destroy the bad ones and send back the good. You in?

Up
0

OK , I'm in ......... Having a problem getting the patina right on my last batch of $NZ 37 notes .............. Bloody cheap Fairfax 60 gsm paper wot I stole ....... I reckon I hate cheats and cheapskates ! .......

....... Where's these $US 100's hanging out , Wolly........... In Timmy's garage ,  or in Bennie's ?

Up
0

I'll let Timmy the Rat know..expect a few bundles in the post....hey I just got this email from a friend:

 This  has happened on
Barrett Road

in New 
Plymouth..    

               Sad, especially if you are inclined to 'help'  people...

                      While driving on a rural end of the roadway on  Thursday
                      morning, I saw an infant car seat on the side of  the
                      road with a blanket draped over it.  For  whatever
                      reason, I did not stop, even though I had all  kinds of
                      thoughts running through my head.  But when  I got to my
                      destination, I called the  Police and they  were going
                      to check it out. But, this is what the Police  advised
                      even before they went out there to check....

                      "There are several things to be aware of ...  gangs and
                      thieves are now plotting different ways to get a  person
                      (mostly women)to stop their vehicle and get out  of the
                      car.

                      "There is a gang initiation reported by the  local
                      Police  where  gangs are placing a car  seat by the
                      road...with a fake baby in
                      it...waiting for a woman, of course, to stop and  check
                      on the abandoned baby.

                      "Note that the location of this car seat is  usually
                      beside a wooded or grassy (field) area and the  person
                      -- woman  -- will be dragged into the woods,  beaten and
                      raped, and usually left for dead.  If it's a  man,
                      they're usually beaten and robbed and maybe left  for
                      dead, too.

                      DO NOT STOP FOR ANY  REASON!!!

                   IF  you can.....  DIAL 1 1 1
                    AND REPORT WHAT YOU SAW, BUT DON'T EVEN SLOW DOWN.

                      "IF YOU  ARE DRIVING AT NIGHT AND EGGS ARE  THROWN AT
                      YOUR WINDSCREEN, DO NOT STOP TO CHECK THE  CAR,  DO NOT
                      OPERATE THE WIPER  AND DO NOT SPRAY ANY  WATER BECAUSE
                      EGGS MIXED
                      WITH WATER BECOME MILKY AND BLOCK YOUR VISION UP  TO
                      92.5%,  AND  YOU ARE THEN FORCED TO  STOP BESIDE THE
                      ROAD AND BECOME A VICTIM OF THESE CRIMINALS.

                       THIS IS A NEW TECHNIQUE USED BY GANGS,  SO PLEASE
                       INFORM YOUR FRIENDS AND  RELATIVES.

                      THESE ARE DESPERATE TIMES AND THESE ARE  UNSAVOURY
                      INDIVIDUALS WHO WILL TAKE DESPERATE MEASURES TO  GET
                      WHAT THEY WANT."

Up
0

 "The Government says it will introduce reviewable tenancies for new State tenants and ask community organisations to help with providing more housing, as it struggles with waiting lists for state houses." nbr

This problem would be a good deal less serious had the govt moved two years ago to bring an end to the bubbles...sadly the latest statements from Bollard promise more cheap credit will flow into the bubble for longer...while he expresses a wish that property become affordable, his policies promise the exact opposite because the population remains dead keen on buying and selling property at a time when deposit rates are crap and the NZX listed companies are paying out poor divs.

On top of the ocr damage, we have govt policy feeding a rent subsidy to landlords and allowing landlords to deduct interest on property mortgages as a cost of doing business. The home owner next door does not get this sort of benefit.......and they pay the tax that goes to the landlord.

Up
0

Man -use your 4WD and other smart guzzler's as much as you can - now.  In January/ February 2011 driving for fun is over - rude Crude could be over US$ 110.-

Drive twice to work now, so you compensate and don't have to after New Year  and take a taxi going shopping, so he's paying for the price increase - be clever man !

 Some infos:

http://www.parliament.nz/en-NZ/ParlSupport/ResearchPapers/4/6/a/00PLEco10041-The-next-oil-shock.htm

http://www.caltex.com/nz/en/fuel_prices.asp

Up
0

the firsat one I'd posted here before, but it's a goodie.

Thanks for the Caltex one :

  1. Relentless demand pressure from China and India, fuelling the diesel-powered machinery of economic growth

Ain't that a fact....

Up
0

Yes pdk - plus the winter cold in the developed world of northern hemisphere countries plus- no I better not say it.

Up
0

Yep - those who tend to be tribeless may also be speechless, to say nothing of transportless.

I think something else will happen - Clint Smith touched on it - that every time oil gets to a certain price, we get an instant recession, followed by an attempt to restart, etc etc.

How long that one goes on before the penny drops (ha) is anyone's guess, but I think at some point, there will be a general realisation that debt can't be repaid.

Then it gets interesting.

Up
0

 Wake up John Key...the banks are giving you the big finger...time to kick the chair out from beneath them John...time to be a Prime Minister and not a wee toad...smash their bloody property bubbles and do it now.

 

"The Government has introduced legislation to establish a $1 billion package to fix leaky homes – but has not reached a deal with banks to fund the loans.

Under the bailout scheme the Government and local authorities will finance 50 per cent of repair costs. But the package is dependent on homeowners being able to borrow the rest from their banks.

However, the Government and the Building and Housing Department have yet to agree a deal with the eight main retail banks, which are reluctant to lend against damaged properties without a 100 per cent guarantee from the Government.

"The current proposal falls short of how a guarantee is commonly perceived, in that what's being proposed would not cover 100 per cent of any loss, so it would be more like a loss-sharing arrangement between government and banks," a spokesman for the Bankers Association said."

herald.

Up
0