Latest poll has Opportunity just scraping into Parliament

Opportunity Party just gets into Parliament on 5.4% in latest poll, both major parties wallowing in the 20s

Public Policy / news

Opportunity Party just gets into Parliament on 5.4% in latest poll, both major parties wallowing in the 20s

20th Oct 26, 10:41am by Anna Whyte

Opportunity leader Qiulae Wong. Image source: Supplied

The latest political opinion poll puts the Opportunity Party on just 5.4%, meaning if replicated at the election, the party would only just pass the 5% threshold to get into Parliament.

Released a day before overseas voting begins and less than a week ahead of advanced voting, both Labour and National remain wallowing in the 20s in the latest Post-Freshwater Poll, funded by Infrastructure NZ.

Labour was on 28.7% and National on 27.6%. Both parties were up 1 percentage point since the last poll in September.

The Green Party was at 14.3%, NZ First at 11.8% and ACT on 9%. Te Pāti Māori was at 2%.

The poll surveyed 1,458 New Zealand adults between October 9-19, with a margin of error of +/- 3%.

It follows last week's 1News Verian Poll, which had Opportunity pushing up to 8%. Both National and Labour were again under 30%, both at 28%.

Earlier this month, the Taxpayer's Union-Curia Poll showed National at 28.5%, Labour on 28.2%, but with Opportunity below the 5% threshold at 4.8%.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins and National leader Christopher Luxon are both appearing on Tuesday evening for their final leaders' debate, hosted by Stuff's Paddy Gower and The Post's Luke Malpass.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

1 Comments

by Foxglove | 20th Oct 26, 11:12am 1792447957

Since its first government in 1949 the National Party has completed not less than three terms. If it is returned to government after this election it will largely be on the back of efforts by its coalition partners. In the 2020 election National was deservedly towelled after a series of unsavoury incidents and identities had been exposed. In 2023 Labour got the same treatment for similar reasons. Given the dismal polling by both these major parties it is abundantly clear that the electorate has had enough, more than enough likely, of both of them which in turn demonstrates a rejection of the complacency, apathy and hubris that has seen neither party being prepared to modernise, freshen and energise itself. As the world has become increasingly tumultuous, these two old farts of parties couldn’t be bothered to raise themselves up to meet the challenge.