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bnzeconomists

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14 years 2 months

Latest articles

NZD falls after FOMC statement. Attention now turns to RBNZ, and later to data on currency intervention signals
30th Oct 14, 8:25am
NZD falls after FOMC statement. Attention now turns to RBNZ, and later to data on currency intervention signals
Strong local receiving demand blunts NZ swap rates; eyes on RBNZ tone as no-one expects a rate hike signal
30th Oct 14, 8:15am
Strong local receiving demand blunts NZ swap rates; eyes on RBNZ tone as no-one expects a rate hike signal
Risk aversion eases noticeably, benefiting 'risk-sensitive' currencies like the NZD; local eyes on business confidence data today, then FOMC tomorrow
29th Oct 14, 8:00am
Risk aversion eases noticeably, benefiting 'risk-sensitive' currencies like the NZD; local eyes on business confidence data today, then FOMC tomorrow
BNZ says it is hard to see short end swaps falling further; US yields volatile on surprise lower, then higher data; local eyes today on business confidence survey
29th Oct 14, 7:34am
BNZ says it is hard to see short end swaps falling further; US yields volatile on surprise lower, then higher data; local eyes today on business confidence survey
Euro sentiment sags despite ECB's bank stress test results; minor international data draws minor market disappointments; NZD gains against most
28th Oct 14, 8:30am
Euro sentiment sags despite ECB's bank stress test results; minor international data draws minor market disappointments; NZD gains against most
Markets ignore big trade deficit and push local rates higher with a steepening bias; curve close to cycle trough?
28th Oct 14, 8:18am
Markets ignore big trade deficit and push local rates higher with a steepening bias; curve close to cycle trough?
NZDUSD down 1.4% following Q3 CPI release; OCR expectations reduce; Global PMI readings above expectations
24th Oct 14, 8:27am
NZDUSD down 1.4% following Q3 CPI release; OCR expectations reduce; Global PMI readings above expectations
Market sentiment rises as Eurozone manufacturing expanding again. Yields rise worldwide and NZ expected to follow
24th Oct 14, 8:15am
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Market sentiment rises as Eurozone manufacturing expanding again. Yields rise worldwide and NZ expected to follow
Both the CAD and AUD in focus with volatile moves but no new trends, markets await NZ CPI and US PMI
23rd Oct 14, 8:16am
Both the CAD and AUD in focus with volatile moves but no new trends, markets await NZ CPI and US PMI
NZ swaps up, UST 10yr yields up, markets see an RBA cut by year end, eyes on NZ CPI today
23rd Oct 14, 7:56am
NZ swaps up, UST 10yr yields up, markets see an RBA cut by year end, eyes on NZ CPI today
Immigration net annualised gain of 56,000 exceeds previous highs in 2002/03; EUR weaker as ECB commences asset purchase program; AUD surges on Chinese data
22nd Oct 14, 8:19am
Immigration net annualised gain of 56,000 exceeds previous highs in 2002/03; EUR weaker as ECB commences asset purchase program; AUD surges on Chinese data
International equities push higher and bond yields rise; RBNZ seen as 'flexible' in use of policy tools
22nd Oct 14, 8:16am
International equities push higher and bond yields rise; RBNZ seen as 'flexible' in use of policy tools
Recent data shows 'NZ economy is on a very sound footing' says BNZ, expects NZD to hold its value better than the AUD
21st Oct 14, 8:05am
Recent data shows 'NZ economy is on a very sound footing' says BNZ, expects NZD to hold its value better than the AUD
BNZ pushes back its expectation of RBNZ rate hikes to September 2015 on a lower CPI track
21st Oct 14, 7:53am
BNZ pushes back its expectation of RBNZ rate hikes to September 2015 on a lower CPI track
Yellen's inequality speech provides little guidance for markets; locally, eyes will be on Q3 CPI this week
20th Oct 14, 8:12am
Yellen's inequality speech provides little guidance for markets; locally, eyes will be on Q3 CPI this week
Markets bracing for a period of increased volatility; better US data sees a sell-off in US Treasuries and yields rise
20th Oct 14, 8:00am
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Markets bracing for a period of increased volatility; better US data sees a sell-off in US Treasuries and yields rise
Equity market carnage; volatility the winner as VIX hits highest point since 2011; NZD rally bizarre as it is trumping JPY & CHF in a skittish market
16th Oct 14, 8:34am
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Equity market carnage; volatility the winner as VIX hits highest point since 2011; NZD rally bizarre as it is trumping JPY & CHF in a skittish market
US 10-year Treasury yields plunge to 1.88% before snapping back to 2.09%, and a major fall for the day
16th Oct 14, 8:26am
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US 10-year Treasury yields plunge to 1.88% before snapping back to 2.09%, and a major fall for the day
Fears Germany will experience negative growth in Q3 signalling a technical recession; Euro-zone industrial production contracts by 1.8%; oil price collapse sends CAD to its weakest level since GFC
15th Oct 14, 8:42am
Fears Germany will experience negative growth in Q3 signalling a technical recession; Euro-zone industrial production contracts by 1.8%; oil price collapse sends CAD to its weakest level since GFC
NZ interest rates grind lower as global growth concerns weigh on international interest rate markets
15th Oct 14, 8:28am
NZ interest rates grind lower as global growth concerns weigh on international interest rate markets
Food price index fall creates downside risk to Q3 CPI forecasts; anticipated US policy tightening sends NZDUSD sharply higher; Chinese trade figures stronger
14th Oct 14, 8:33am
Food price index fall creates downside risk to Q3 CPI forecasts; anticipated US policy tightening sends NZDUSD sharply higher; Chinese trade figures stronger
NZ swaps fall in sympathy with US rates as markets push out expectations of Fed Funds Rate hikes
14th Oct 14, 8:24am
NZ swaps fall in sympathy with US rates as markets push out expectations of Fed Funds Rate hikes
The immediate direction for the NZD could be determined by the upcoming GDT auction, especially if prices fall again
13th Oct 14, 8:42am
The immediate direction for the NZD could be determined by the upcoming GDT auction, especially if prices fall again
US 10-year yields fall again to 2.28%, their lowest levels since mid-June 2013
13th Oct 14, 8:18am
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US 10-year yields fall again to 2.28%, their lowest levels since mid-June 2013
Gauge of market fear (VIX) jumps 18% on continued concerns around global growth; NZDUSD down 0.7%; safe haven currencies JPY & CHF star performers
10th Oct 14, 8:53am
Gauge of market fear (VIX) jumps 18% on continued concerns around global growth; NZDUSD down 0.7%; safe haven currencies JPY & CHF star performers