Nick Smyth

15 Feb 19, 8:34am
Global rates fell overnight after a much weaker than expected US retail sales; NZD has outperformed amidst further short-covering in the wake of Wednesday’s RBNZ MPS while NZ swap rates rose again yesterday; S&P500 is close to flat on the day
14 Feb 19, 7:53am
Global equity markets have moved higher again, although US indices are now only slightly up on the day; NZD is the top performing currency over the past 24 hours; NZ rates were higher across the curve yesterday
13 Feb 19, 7:48am
Hopes grow for an extension to the trade war ceasefire between the US and China; global equities and bond yields have moved higher; USD has fallen back from its year-to-date highs overnight
12 Feb 19, 8:17am
Equity markets moved higher across Asia and Europe overnight; USD has again strengthened overnight; NZD is down slightly on the day against the USD; NZ rates bounced modestly yesterday on profit-taking ahead of the RBNZ meeting
11 Feb 19, 8:24am
Equity markets fell across Asia and Europe, although a late bounce in US equities left them marginally higher on the day; NZD was little changed on the day, but NZ rates experienced another sizable fall
1 Feb 19, 7:49am
US equities have extended gains made in the aftermath of the dovish FOMC meeting yesterday morning, helped by better corporate earnings results; US Treasury yields have continued to move lower; NZD has increased to its highest level since early December
31 Jan 19, 7:50am
AUD has outperformed after a marginally better than expected CPI release; NZDAUD drifted back to 0.9500; NZD is again broadly unchanged against the USD; 10 year Treasury yield is 1bp higher than this time yesterday, at 2.73%
30 Jan 19, 8:02am
Currency moves have been reasonably modest, but the NZDAUD has pushed up to near 18 month highs after a disappointing NAB business survey; NZD is little changed against the USD; US Treasury yields are modestly lower overnight
29 Jan 19, 8:00am
US Treasury yields fell modestly and the Japanese yen outperforming; NZD is unchanged this week, and continues to hover close to its year-to-date highs; USD indices are broadly flat on the day
23 Jan 19, 7:44am
Global equities and bond yields lower; most major currencies haven’t showed a lot of movement; commodity currencies are slightly weaker, except the NZD which has managed to hold its ground, while GBP is the strongest of the majors
22 Jan 19, 8:21am
NZD has tracked sideways overnight after drifting lower during the Wellington public holiday; IMF downgraded its growth forecasts for 2019 to 3.5%; GBP has been the strongest major overnight
18 Jan 19, 8:10am
US equities have managed to inch a little higher overnight; NZD has underperformed again, as the market awaits CPI data next week; domestic rates ticked up yesterday, led by the front-end of the curve
17 Jan 19, 7:46am
Better than expected earnings from US banks helping to support equity markets; GBP has bounced strongly from yesterday morning’s lows; NZD has underperformed overnight and the NZ 2 year swap rate made a fresh low yesterday
16 Jan 19, 8:15am
Currency eyes are on the UK parliamentary Brexit vote and the expected failure. But China policy moves and tax cuts are driving the improved risk sentiment, even overshadowing negative ECB comments
15 Jan 19, 8:06am
Equities modestly lower after weak Chinese trade data. Little movement in currencies or global rates. NZ 2y swap makes a record low
14 Jan 19, 8:09am
Positive vibes from expectations of a US-China trade deal, and a more dovish Fed have overshadowed the US shutdown impacts keeping markets positive. US inflation data helped as well. Eyes on Brexit vote
11 Jan 19, 8:22am
Fed’s Powell reiterates “patience” message. Market movements modest. NZD little changed
21 Dec 18, 7:54am
Global equity markets are sinking deeper into the red, the US yield curve flattens further and the USD has weakened overnight, reversing some of its post-Fed gains yesterday; NZD is higher in overnight trading but still 1% down since this time yesterday
20 Dec 18, 8:03am
USD has drifted a little lower ahead of the FOMC announcement as has the US 10-year rate; NZD is little changed; AUD is little changed as well, seeing NZD/AUD steady around 0.9550; NZ 5 and 10-year swap rates fell by 2bps to 2.32% and 2.74% respectively
19 Dec 18, 4:48pm
BNZ interest rate strategist Nick Smyth has a crunch of the detail of the RBNZ's new bank capital proposals; says bank funding costs will increase but the RBNZ may offset future increases in lending rates with delays to OCR rises, or even cuts


19 Dec 18, 7:50am
18 Dec 18, 8:21am
17 Dec 18, 7:52am
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13 Dec 18, 8:12am
12 Dec 18, 7:53am
11 Dec 18, 7:54am
10 Dec 18, 8:07am
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5 Dec 18, 8:21am
4 Dec 18, 7:49am
29 Nov 18, 8:33am
26 Nov 18, 8:09am
23 Nov 18, 8:09am
22 Nov 18, 7:54am
20 Nov 18, 8:07am
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14 Nov 18, 7:59am
13 Nov 18, 8:16am