Nick Tuffley
The Reserve Bank says it has growing confidence inflation will return to target without it lifting the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%
29th Feb 24, 5:00am
73
The Reserve Bank says it has growing confidence inflation will return to target without it lifting the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%
[updated]
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
12th Feb 24, 12:22pm
36
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
20th Dec 23, 9:51am
21
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
18th Dec 23, 2:28pm
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ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
We asked twenty economists how they would define a recession in New Zealand
After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August
24th Jul 23, 2:24pm
27
After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
12th Jun 23, 3:22pm
21
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
22nd May 23, 2:23pm
23
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
A new research paper suggests the Government and the Reserve Bank are responsible for half of inflation, as ASB economists forecast a deeper recession as a result
19th Apr 23, 7:55am
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A new research paper suggests the Government and the Reserve Bank are responsible for half of inflation, as ASB economists forecast a deeper recession as a result
The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
2nd Apr 23, 6:00am
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The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
Reserve Bank expected to keep its inflation fight going despite weaker than expected GDP, cyclone impact & global banking ructions
27th Mar 23, 3:15pm
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Reserve Bank expected to keep its inflation fight going despite weaker than expected GDP, cyclone impact & global banking ructions
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
23rd Nov 22, 2:10pm
301
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
15th Sep 22, 11:01am
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Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
ASB expects house prices to keep falling until mid-next year and interest rates to remain high until 2024
31st Aug 22, 5:00am
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ASB expects house prices to keep falling until mid-next year and interest rates to remain high until 2024
'It’s the biggest real house price downturn we’ve had since the 1970s'
Reserve Bank makes it three in a row for 50 point OCR hikes; says it is 'resolute' in commitment to getting inflation down
13th Jul 22, 2:05pm
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Reserve Bank makes it three in a row for 50 point OCR hikes; says it is 'resolute' in commitment to getting inflation down
ASB economists say short term fixed mortgage rate rises 'still have quite a way to go' this year
19th Apr 22, 2:44pm
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ASB economists say short term fixed mortgage rate rises 'still have quite a way to go' this year
BNZ economists say they are raising their inflation forecasts on an almost daily basis while ASB economists are seeing a 'Costpocalypse'
14th Mar 22, 2:48pm
50
BNZ economists say they are raising their inflation forecasts on an almost daily basis while ASB economists are seeing a 'Costpocalypse'
ASB economists now see NZ inflation driving up over 7% in the first half of this year, mainly on the back of surging oil prices
7th Mar 22, 3:45pm
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ASB economists now see NZ inflation driving up over 7% in the first half of this year, mainly on the back of surging oil prices
Softening house prices will 'cool urgency' for larger interest rate rises, Westpac economists believe
28th Feb 22, 2:37pm
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Softening house prices will 'cool urgency' for larger interest rate rises, Westpac economists believe
Reserve Bank sees OCR of 3.4% in 2025; plans to reduce its $54 bln holding of Govt bonds
23rd Feb 22, 2:08pm
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Reserve Bank sees OCR of 3.4% in 2025; plans to reduce its $54 bln holding of Govt bonds
Reserve Bank lifts Official Cash Rate for first time in 7 years to 0.50% as widely expected
6th Oct 21, 2:05pm
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Reserve Bank lifts Official Cash Rate for first time in 7 years to 0.50% as widely expected
NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows the building sector has gone from being the most optimistic to the most pessimistic sectors surveyed
5th Oct 21, 10:55am
4
NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows the building sector has gone from being the most optimistic to the most pessimistic sectors surveyed
The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
16th Sep 21, 11:01am
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The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March