economic forecasting

Mohamed El-Erian offers his predictions for the new year while acknowledging that the range of possible outcomes is widening

Mohamed El-Erian offers his predictions for the new year while acknowledging that the range of possible outcomes is widening

Mohamed El-Erian considers why economic forecasters have been responding so dramatically to each data release

Mohamed El-Erian considers why economic forecasters have been responding so dramatically to each data release

Cheaper mortgages, tamed inflation and even higher home prices: how 29 forecasters see Australia’s economic recovery in 2024-25

Cheaper mortgages, tamed inflation and even higher home prices: how 29 forecasters see Australia’s economic recovery in 2024-25

ANZ's economists cut their house price forecast but admit no one can forecast the housing market with a high degree of precision

ANZ's economists cut their house price forecast but admit no one can forecast the housing market with a high degree of precision

Mohamed El-Erian explains how to recalibrate expectations in the face of yet another forecasting failure

Mohamed El-Erian explains how to recalibrate expectations in the face of yet another forecasting failure

Nouriel Roubini considers what might derail markets' positive baseline scenario for growth, inflation, and monetary policy

Nouriel Roubini considers what might derail markets' positive baseline scenario for growth, inflation, and monetary policy

Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm

Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm

Economist Brian Easton offers some insights into how the forecasters think

Economist Brian Easton offers some insights into how the forecasters think

Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality

Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality

Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term

Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term

Economist Brian Easton says behavioural economics challenges our assumptions about the relevance of rational economic man

Economist Brian Easton says behavioural economics challenges our assumptions about the relevance of rational economic man

Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data

Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data

Economist Brian Easton says the outlook does not look that promising

Economist Brian Easton says the outlook does not look that promising

Treasury 'meaningfully' revamps house price forecast methodology, putting more weight on the impact of interest rates

Treasury 'meaningfully' revamps house price forecast methodology, putting more weight on the impact of interest rates

Brian Easton notes that journalists' misunderstandings about what makes a useful economic forecast results in entertaining commentary, and ignores the few forecasts that have been done rigorously

Brian Easton notes that journalists' misunderstandings about what makes a useful economic forecast results in entertaining commentary, and ignores the few forecasts that have been done rigorously