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MPS

The Reserve Bank could easily hike the Official Cash Rate again in the coming week. But should it?
25th Feb 24, 6:00am
135
The Reserve Bank could easily hike the Official Cash Rate again in the coming week. But should it?
[updated]
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
29th Nov 23, 2:20pm
93
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
David Hargreaves says in contrast to the position it was in a year ago, the Reserve Bank will need to make a 'do nothing' Official Cash Rate decision in the coming week in a sufficiently 'hawkish' way that keeps pressure on inflation over summer
26th Nov 23, 6:00am
64
David Hargreaves says in contrast to the position it was in a year ago, the Reserve Bank will need to make a 'do nothing' Official Cash Rate decision in the coming week in a sufficiently 'hawkish' way that keeps pressure on inflation over summer
Inflation has fallen by far more than anybody expected, despite surging fuel costs, which suggests the Reserve Bank's interest rate rises of the recent past are working
17th Oct 23, 11:22am
83
Inflation has fallen by far more than anybody expected, despite surging fuel costs, which suggests the Reserve Bank's interest rate rises of the recent past are working
David Hargreaves says inflation data due to be released within two weeks will absolutely be crucial in deciding whether the Reserve Bank hikes interest rates again before Christmas
5th Oct 23, 9:21am
22
David Hargreaves says inflation data due to be released within two weeks will absolutely be crucial in deciding whether the Reserve Bank hikes interest rates again before Christmas
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming Official Cash Rate review and says observers will be looking very hard for any clues at all as to whether the central bank is moving from its current 'on hold' stance with interest rates
1st Oct 23, 6:00am
48
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming Official Cash Rate review and says observers will be looking very hard for any clues at all as to whether the central bank is moving from its current 'on hold' stance with interest rates
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
16th Aug 23, 2:18pm
99
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
14th Aug 23, 11:37am
17
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming OCR review, saying all eyes will be on its updated economic forecasts & whether it has changed its opinion on the path of inflation & interest rates
13th Aug 23, 6:00am
54
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming OCR review, saying all eyes will be on its updated economic forecasts & whether it has changed its opinion on the path of inflation & interest rates
Westpac economists say there are signs the labour market 'has not cracked yet', which raises the likelihood the RBNZ will need to upgrade its economic growth forecasts - adding upside risk to the inflation outlook
17th Jul 23, 1:53pm
47
Westpac economists say there are signs the labour market 'has not cracked yet', which raises the likelihood the RBNZ will need to upgrade its economic growth forecasts - adding upside risk to the inflation outlook
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate review and highlights the wild ride we've been on for the past two years that has seen the OCR hiked on 12 consecutive occasions
9th Jul 23, 6:01am
163
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate review and highlights the wild ride we've been on for the past two years that has seen the OCR hiked on 12 consecutive occasions
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
150
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
Mortgage broker boss urges Reserve Bank to hold fire on another Official Cash Rate hike
23rd May 23, 2:55pm
145
Mortgage broker boss urges Reserve Bank to hold fire on another Official Cash Rate hike
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
22nd May 23, 2:23pm
23
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank OCR review and says much attention will be on whatever the RBNZ indicates it might do next - rather than what it actually does on the day. Will there be surprises? Oh, probably
21st May 23, 6:00am
106
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank OCR review and says much attention will be on whatever the RBNZ indicates it might do next - rather than what it actually does on the day. Will there be surprises? Oh, probably
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
65
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
7th Mar 23, 11:43am
78
ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
6th Mar 23, 10:05am
16
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
Reserve Bank still has 'expectations' the country's banks will increase their term deposit rates - despite no moves from any of the major banks to date since last week's Official Cash Rate hike
3rd Mar 23, 9:26am
29
Reserve Bank still has 'expectations' the country's banks will increase their term deposit rates - despite no moves from any of the major banks to date since last week's Official Cash Rate hike
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
71
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'