Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you already work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).
MORTGAGE/LOAN RATE CHANGES
SBS Bank has cut fixed home loan rates for 6, 12 and 18 month terms. NBS (Nelson Building Society) has trimmed its two fixed rates. All rates are here.
TERM DEPOSIT/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES
SBS Bank has also cut some term deposit rates. All rates less than 1 year are here, for 1-5 years, they are here.
A SHARP SWOON IN JUNE
Xero says monthly small business sales fell by the most in June since May 2020 during the pandemic lockdown.
SWOON II
The latest mortgage figures from the Reserve Bank show that the 14,590 new mortgages in June 2024 was the lowest total for a June month since the detailed data began in 2015.
OVERSEAS HOUSE BUYERS VERY SCARCE
There were 33,609 property transfers involving a home in the June quarter (up +12% from the June 2023 quarter), according to updated data from Stats NZ today. Of these, 77% (25,989) were to at least one NZ citizen, 12% (3,978) were to at least one NZ-resident-visa holder (but no citizens), 11 (3,531) were to corporate entities only (these could have NZ or overseas owners), and 0.3% (114) were to no NZ citizens or resident-visa holders. 804 or 2.4% were to buyers who all stated an overseas tax residency, including: Australia with 306 home transfers, United States with 120, the UK with 87, and China with 48.
GOOD DEMAND, STABLE YIELD
Today's NZGB $500 mln bond tender got 97 bids worth $1.2 bln. The $300 mln April 2029 tranche went for 4.08% and unchanged from a week ago. The $200 mln May 2035 went for a yield of 4.48% and there has been no previous tender for this maturity.
HACKED
Squirrel said it has been hacked, with about up to 600 customers having had their licence, passport numbers compromised. The exposed clients are for Squirrel's peer-to-peer investment scheme who signed up recently, and the breach was in their "know your customer" systems. No ransom demand has been received yet, the company said.
WHEAT PRICE MANIPULATION ALLEGED, 34 TIMES
Beijing-headquartered China Oil and Foodstuffs Corporation (COFCO) is a giant state-owned food processing holding company, China's largest food processor, manufacturer and trader. In Australia, ASIC is suing them for market manipulation of Australian wheat futures contracts.
BOND PRICE MANIPULATION ALLEGED
ANZ Australia is embroiled in allegations it manipulated AU$14 bln of Australian government bond sales, probably 'the biggest scandal' in the ANZ Group’s 182-year history. The AOFM and ASIC are both involved. Update: ANZ Group issued this statement today.
SWAP RATES REMAIN WEAKISH
Wholesale swap rates are likely to be again influenced by low loan demand and downward receive-side pressure at the short end. (See this.) But may be holding or up at the long end. Our chart below will record the final positions. The 90 day bank bill rate is down -4 bps at 5.49% and a 110 day low. The Australian 10 year bond yield is down -4 bps from this time yesterday to 4.37%. The China 10 year bond rate is down -1 bp at 2.23% in what looks like a controlled easing. The NZ Government 10 year bond rate is little-changed at 4.47% and the earlier RBNZ fix was at 4.42% and up +1 bp from this time yesterday. The UST 10yr yield is up also +1 bp at 4.27%. Their 2yr is now at 4.41% is another notable fall, so that curve is now inverted by 'only' -14 bps.
EQUITIES MOSTLY LOWER
The NZX50 is down -0.5% in late trade in a global sea of retreats. The ASX200 is down -1.1% in afternoon trade. Tokyo has opened its Thursday trade down a sharp -2.5%. Hong Kong is down -1.7% at its open. Shanghai is down -0.8%. Singapore is down -0.7%. Wall Street ended its Wednesday trade with the S&P500 down a painful -2.3%.
OIL SLIPS SLIGHTLY
The oil price is down again to just under US$77/bbl in the US (down less than -50 USc), and now below US$80.50/bbl for the international Brent price.
CARBON PRICE HOLDS SOFT
Today the carbon price fell marginally again, now $50.25/NZU and down from $50.50/NZU at this time yesterday.
GOLD RETREATS
In early Asian trade, gold is down -US$42 from this time yesterday at US$2371/oz.
NZD SOFTISH
The Kiwi dollar is down -10 bps from this time yesterday, now at 59.2 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +½c at 90.4 AUc. Against the euro we are down slightly at 54.6 euro cents. This all means the TWI-5 is now at 68.4 and little-changed.
BITCOIN RETRACES FURTHER
The bitcoin price is down -2.1% from this this time yesterday, now at US$64,150. Volatility of the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.4%.
USE OF AI
No articles on this news service are produced with AI. Occasionally we use AI to derive images. They are always identified in the attribution.
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