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Bonds

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rates changes, housing softness deepens, building consents weak, consumer sentiment holds, swaps hold lower, NZD on hold, & more
1st Mar 24, 3:59pm
50
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rates changes, housing softness deepens, building consents weak, consumer sentiment holds, swaps hold lower, NZD on hold, & more
Market relieved that US PCE deflators were bang in line with expectations; US 10-year rate well down from its overnight high. BoJ board member sows the seed for exit strategy from current ultra-easy policy stance, supporting JPY
1st Mar 24, 7:59am
Market relieved that US PCE deflators were bang in line with expectations; US 10-year rate well down from its overnight high. BoJ board member sows the seed for exit strategy from current ultra-easy policy stance, supporting JPY
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; RBNZ pokes at bank competition, FHB house prices fall, mortgage lending growth low, business sentiment holds, swaps uncertain, NZD eases, & more
29th Feb 24, 3:59pm
44
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; RBNZ pokes at bank competition, FHB house prices fall, mortgage lending growth low, business sentiment holds, swaps uncertain, NZD eases, & more
Limited moves across global asset markets. The RBNZ’s decision to leave rates on hold at 5.5% and soften its hawkish bias sent bond yields and the NZD/USD sharply lower as the market priced out the residual risk the Bank would hike again
29th Feb 24, 8:04am
Limited moves across global asset markets. The RBNZ’s decision to leave rates on hold at 5.5% and soften its hawkish bias sent bond yields and the NZD/USD sharply lower as the market priced out the residual risk the Bank would hike again
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; OCR unchanged with dovish spin; KiwiSaver balances swell; FHBs topped out, labour market holds, swaps drop, NZD drops, & more
28th Feb 24, 3:59pm
114
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; OCR unchanged with dovish spin; KiwiSaver balances swell; FHBs topped out, labour market holds, swaps drop, NZD drops, & more
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
104
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
Market ignores chunky downside misses to US consumer confidence and durable goods orders data. Pricing of rate hike chance fades leading into RBNZ MPS today, now just priced at a 20% chance; strong analyst consensus for no-change
28th Feb 24, 7:43am
1
Market ignores chunky downside misses to US consumer confidence and durable goods orders data. Pricing of rate hike chance fades leading into RBNZ MPS today, now just priced at a 20% chance; strong analyst consensus for no-change
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; ASB cuts one key home loan rate, rents level off, household pressures rise, Key to move on, intervention capacity up, swaps up, NZD retreats, & more
27th Feb 24, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; ASB cuts one key home loan rate, rents level off, household pressures rise, Key to move on, intervention capacity up, swaps up, NZD retreats, & more
Latest monthly figures from the Reserve Bank reveal it boosted its 'foreign currency intervention capacity' by a further NZ$810 million last month - and it doesn't look to be finished
27th Feb 24, 3:49pm
9
Latest monthly figures from the Reserve Bank reveal it boosted its 'foreign currency intervention capacity' by a further NZ$810 million last month - and it doesn't look to be finished
Global rates push higher, driven by Europe and heavy US bond supply; US 10-year rate up 6bps from NZ close. Long NZD positions pared ahead of RBNZ MPS; market pricing for near-term rate hikes eased back a little
27th Feb 24, 7:36am
Global rates push higher, driven by Europe and heavy US bond supply; US 10-year rate up 6bps from NZ close. Long NZD positions pared ahead of RBNZ MPS; market pricing for near-term rate hikes eased back a little
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; an eye-catching 6m TD rate, strong demand for some personal loans, costs stymie Suncorp, SFO probes failed crypto exchange, swaps on hold, NZD slips, & more
26th Feb 24, 3:59pm
104
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; an eye-catching 6m TD rate, strong demand for some personal loans, costs stymie Suncorp, SFO probes failed crypto exchange, swaps on hold, NZD slips, & more
Equity markets consolidated after a week where major indices in Japan, Europe and North America reached record highs. Data dependency and inflation sustainability the key policy drivers before lower rates
26th Feb 24, 7:20am
Equity markets consolidated after a week where major indices in Japan, Europe and North America reached record highs. Data dependency and inflation sustainability the key policy drivers before lower rates
The Reserve Bank could easily hike the Official Cash Rate again in the coming week. But should it?
25th Feb 24, 6:00am
155
The Reserve Bank could easily hike the Official Cash Rate again in the coming week. But should it?
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, awful retail trade results, FHB affordability improves, WIA borrows big, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
23rd Feb 24, 3:59pm
44
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, awful retail trade results, FHB affordability improves, WIA borrows big, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
Record breaking equity markets across Japan, euro area and US; Nvidia's blockbuster earnings report propels the stock higher and drives S&P500 up 2%. Market continues to pare back expectations of Fed easing
23rd Feb 24, 7:41am
2
Record breaking equity markets across Japan, euro area and US; Nvidia's blockbuster earnings report propels the stock higher and drives S&P500 up 2%. Market continues to pare back expectations of Fed easing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims mortgage rates, trade deficit falls, credit cards out of favour, inflation expectations stinger, poverty progress?, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
22nd Feb 24, 3:59pm
71
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims mortgage rates, trade deficit falls, credit cards out of favour, inflation expectations stinger, poverty progress?, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
Householders' views of future inflation have risen sharply in a development that goes very much against what the Reserve Bank is looking for as it seeks to dampen down inflation
22nd Feb 24, 3:34pm
61
Householders' views of future inflation have risen sharply in a development that goes very much against what the Reserve Bank is looking for as it seeks to dampen down inflation
There were limited catalysts for global asset markets overnight in the absence of first-tier economic data or fresh guidance from policy makers. But eyes are on both the Fed minutes, and the keenly awaited Nvidia corporate results
22nd Feb 24, 8:31am
There were limited catalysts for global asset markets overnight in the absence of first-tier economic data or fresh guidance from policy makers. But eyes are on both the Fed minutes, and the keenly awaited Nvidia corporate results
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy outlook brighten, PPI rises modest, massive bond demand, monopolies duke it out, swaps stable, NZD firms again, & more
21st Feb 24, 3:59pm
41
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy outlook brighten, PPI rises modest, massive bond demand, monopolies duke it out, swaps stable, NZD firms again, & more
US equities lower, led by tech, US Treasury yields lower and USD broadly weaker. Market unperturbed by surprise cut to China's 5-year prime loan rate, scepticism that it will achieve much. NZD outperforms
21st Feb 24, 7:49am
US equities lower, led by tech, US Treasury yields lower and USD broadly weaker. Market unperturbed by surprise cut to China's 5-year prime loan rate, scepticism that it will achieve much. NZD outperforms
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; again no retail rate changes, Robertson quits, office consents unusually low, MPI critiqued, few tractors sold, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
20th Feb 24, 4:00pm
57
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; again no retail rate changes, Robertson quits, office consents unusually low, MPI critiqued, few tractors sold, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
China reopens after LNY holiday with positive economic snippets on travel and spending. European gas and carbon markets continue show much weaker pricing
20th Feb 24, 7:43am
China reopens after LNY holiday with positive economic snippets on travel and spending. European gas and carbon markets continue show much weaker pricing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; services PMI expanding, some big corporate stumbles, Fonterra consolidates, Rio Tinto on back foot, swaps gold, NZD firm, & more
19th Feb 24, 3:59pm
60
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; services PMI expanding, some big corporate stumbles, Fonterra consolidates, Rio Tinto on back foot, swaps gold, NZD firm, & more
US producer price inflation was higher than expected and contributed to a weak tone across bond and equity markets. US treasury yields reached the highest level in 2024
19th Feb 24, 7:53am
US producer price inflation was higher than expected and contributed to a weak tone across bond and equity markets. US treasury yields reached the highest level in 2024
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Resimac ups rates, PMI 'less weak', IAG NZ profits jump, Orr solely inflation-focussed, population soars, swaps little-changed, NZD on hold, & more
16th Feb 24, 3:59pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Resimac ups rates, PMI 'less weak', IAG NZ profits jump, Orr solely inflation-focussed, population soars, swaps little-changed, NZD on hold, & more