Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you already work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).
MORTGAGE/LOAN RATE CHANGES
The Cooperative Bank said it will be cutting rates tomorrow. All rates are here.
TERM DEPOSIT/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES
And the Coop Bank is cutting TD rates tomorrow too. Nelson Building Society dod so as well. All updated rates less than 1 year are here, for 1-5 years, they are here.
UNEMPLOYMENT RISES
The June unemployment rate climbed to 4.6%, although that was slightly less than most analysts had expected. But it is a three year high. Population growth outpaced employment in the quarter, pushing the jobless rate up with youth unemployment rising the most.
MORE PAY FOR LESS HOURS
Meanwhile, wage growth as measured by the labour cost index, rose +1.2% during the quarter which brought the annual change to +4.3%. This was driven by record growth in front-line public sector wages. Analysts noted that despite that, total hours worked retreated -0.9%. The QES data for average weekly earnings (for FTEs) rose to $1612. For the public service it was $1934. That is an increase in the private sector of +4.4% and the public sector of +7.5% from the same quarter a year ago. All this probably means productivity was under fierce pressure in Q2-2024.
DAIRY PRICES HOLD
The overnight full GDT dairy auction saw prices rise +0.5% overall with SMP down -2.7% but WMP up +2.4%. A lot more WMP was sold however.
NEW KIWIBANK CHIEF DIGITAL & TECHNOLOGY OFFICER JOINS FROM BNZ
Kiwibank has hired Paul Littlefair from BNZ to be its new Chief Digital and Technology Officer. Littlefair, who was BNZ's Executive, Technology until August 2, succeeds Hamish Rumbold at Kiwibank who left on June 28. Littlefair's Kiwibank appointment requires the standard Reserve Bank approval.
TRADING HALT
Manawa Energy (MNW, #23) is in a trading halt because it needs to reduce its earnings guidance. They say this is because of a combination of "adverse market conditions in the wholesale energy markets" and a large potential bad debt possibility.
FRAUD CASE PUSHED ON, OPENS UP
The ongoing action by the Serious Fraud Office has seen another defendant named. In this particular case, a total of 37 charges have been filed in relation to an alleged mortgage fraud scheme, against Christopher Peters, Robert Peters and two other people who have name suppression, for obtaining credit or property by deception and attempting to obtain credit by deception. One of the unnamed defendants has pleaded guilty to four charges having admitted to providing misleading information to their bank as part of a 2018 loan application and is due to be sentenced this month. Charges for an alleged investment fraud have also been filed against Christopher Peters, Robert Peters, Gerard Peters and Serene Peters for obtaining $1.8 mln by deception. Christopher and Robert Peters have also been charged with obtaining those funds by forgery as an alternative charge.
LIVING COST PRESSURE IN AUSTRALIA
Australia released its five Living Cost Indexes for Q2-2024 today, supplemental to their CPI. For 'pensioners & beneficiaries' they were up +4.1% for the year. For 'aged pensioners' up +3.7%. For 'self-funded retirees, up +3.6%. For other benefit recipients, up +4.6%. For 'employees', living costs were up +6.4%. The overall CPI was up 3.8% in the same period.
NOT WHAT WAS EXPECTED
China released its July trade data today. Their exports were up less than expected, a three month growth low. Their imports rose more than expected and its strongest rise since April. That meant their trade surplus shrank in July.
SWAP RATES JUMP
Wholesale swap rates are possibly sharply higher today with both the one and two year rates up more than +10 bps. The labour market data is driving the rethink. Our chart below will record the final positions. The 90 day bank bill rate is actually up +3 bps at 5.35%. The Australian 10 year bond yield is up +8 bps from this time yesterday to 4.08% reflecting the RBA guidance. The China 10 year bond rate is up +1 bp at 2.15% and off its all-time record low. The NZ Government 10 year bond rate is up +10 bps at 4.39% and the earlier RBNZ fix was at 4.29% and up +11 bps from yesterday. The "not-so-bad" labour market data has been noticed by markets. The UST 10yr yield is up +7 bps from this time yesterday at 3.90%. Their 2yr is now at 4.01%, so that curve is now inverted by just -11 bps.
EQUITIES TRY TO FORGET MONDAY
The NZX50 is up +0.5% in late trade today. The ASX200 is also up +0.5% in Wednesday afternoon trade. Tokyo has bounced back further in opening trade, up +2.3%. Hong Kong is up +1.2%. Shanghai however is only up +0.3% in its opening trade. Singapore is up +1.2%. Wall Street closed its Tuesday trade up a full +1.0% and a partial recovery.
OIL EASES
The oil price is down -US$1 from this time yesterday at US$72.50/bbl in the US, and at just underer US$76.50/bbl for the international Brent price.
CARBON PRICE HOLDS
Today the carbon price is essentially holding at $52.50/NZU today little-changed from yesterday's $53/NZU. See our new daily chart tracker of the NZU price for carbon, courtesy of emsTradepoint.
GOLD LOWER
In early Asian trade, gold is down another -US$24 from this time yesterday at US$2383/oz.
NZD SURGES
The Kiwi dollar has risen +½c from this time yesterday, now back up to 60 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +40 bps at 91.7 AUc. Against the euro we are more than +½c at 55 euro cents. This all means the TWI-5 is at 68.8 with a strong daily recovery.
BITCOIN ACTS MORE LIKE OLD SELF
The bitcoin price is back up +2.5% today from this time yesterday, now at US$57,162. Volatility of the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.6%.
USE OF AI
No articles on this news service are produced with AI. Occasionally we use AI to derive images. They are always identified in the attribution.
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