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We compare the KiwiSaver returns of all conservative funds, including default funds, using our unique 'regular savings' method of assessing performance

Investing
We compare the KiwiSaver returns of all conservative funds, including default funds, using our unique 'regular savings' method of assessing performance
Regular contributions change the way you should look at your KiwiSaver returns. <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/">Image sourced from Shutterstock.com</a>

In November last year, we launched a new way of assessing KiwiSaver returns.

It differs from the official way which is to report on a fund of $10,000 and work out the after-tax, after fee returns over a stated period.

But we believe that misses a crucial component of KiwiSaver - it is a regular savings scheme where members add payroll contributions monthly over time.

Most KiwiSavers are adding to their funds on a regular way every pay period, and these monies are collected through the tax system and paid to the funds by the IRD every month.

And as the years roll by, most people get increases to their pay, which also raises the contributions they, and their employers pay.

In this way, your KiwiSaver grows incrementally every month, building from both your contributions, your employer (and government) contributions, plus (hopefully) growth in the fund unit values.

Therefore your investment is a growing contribution and the importance of the dollar returns - rather than the % returns - is amplified as that nest-egg builds.

The 'real' return to you is a balance-weighted return, favouring earnings in the periods when your fund balance is the largest.

'Real' returns are after all fees and taxes.

We set out how we do this in our earlier article.

The differences in approach can be seen best graphically:

Today, we are updating and extending our coverage.

On our KiwiSaver database we will continue to report both methods. But our unique method much more accurately reflects how most KiwiSavers save, and by focusing on $ returns, rather than % returns it is much easier for you to get a sense of the value your fund manager is adding.

Here is the update to March of the five default funds using the new perspective:

Default Funds Cumulative $ Cum net gains Effective* = Ending value Effective
since April 2008 contributions after all tax, fees  cum return in your account last 3 yr
to March 2014 (EE, ER, Govt) $ % p.a. $ return % pa
           
AMP** 17,885 3,166 5.02 21,051 4.88
ANZ Investments 17,885 3,424 5.39 21,309 5.15
ASB 17,885 3,491 5.49 21,376 5.25
Mercer (r) 17,885 3,647 5.70 21,532 5.14
Fisher Funds TWO 17,885 3,261 5.16 21,146 5.01

(* This is the equivalent cumulative annual average return to achieve the after-tax and after-fees gain between the total contributions to the account and the current value of the fund for our benchmark KiwiSaver.)
(** Note for the members of the old AXA default fund. Your account has now been transferred into AMP, but the numbers above don't actually apply to you; they are just for the original AMP default fund members.)

Obviously, we do not know your personal income and earnings, so the results above aren't your's.

We have modeled a benchmark KiwiSaver individual like this:

- a full-time worker,
- on a median income,
- who was about the 500,000th signup to KiwiSaver (that is, at the end of March 2008),
- who was aged 28 on March 31, 2008,
- who has contributed 2%/2% until March 2012, and then 3%/3% (less ESCT) since,

Full details of our method is here.

(Please note that our new analysis can only be done for funds that supply unit prices. A small handful however won't supply them.)

Back to our Default funds. We now have a six year period of regular saving and investment returns under review.

We believe long term performance is a key way to assess how a fund performs. But there is always a concern that a fund may be resting of earlier laurels, and long term results don't show recent under-performance.

To keep an eye on that aspect, we are adding an additional metric - the return over the last three years. Any shorter can encourage you to consider switching in a way that is neither healthy for your returns, nor recognising of long-term gains. Don't use your KiwiSaver account as a sharetrader would. It is a long-term commitment. (If you are keen to chase high returns, choose an aggressive fund and leave the research and trading to their experts.)

Adding the extra perspective gives this revised table:

Default Funds Cumulative $ Cum net gains Effective* = Ending value Effective
since April 2008 contributions after all tax, fees  cum return in your account last 3 yr
to March 2014 (EE, ER, Govt) $ % p.a. $ return % pa
           
AMP** 17,885 3,166 5.02 21,051 4.88
ANZ Investments 17,885 3,424 5.39 21,309 5.15
ASB 17,885 3,491 5.49 21,376 5.25
Mercer (r) 17,885 3,647 5.70 21,532 5.14
Fisher Funds TWO 17,885 3,261 5.16 21,146 5.01

For most default funds, the last three year returns are lower than the lifetime returns. This is because from 2008 to 2012 conservative investments did well on rising bond gains during the GFC. But from 2012 many of these gains have been rolled back as the global economies have improved. The really big gains have been in equities.

KiwiSaver default funds are only part a broader range of Conservative funds available, some of which have better returns. Here is the full list:

Conservative Funds Cumulative $ Cum net gains Effective* = Ending value Effective
since April 2008 contributions after all tax, fees cum return in your account last 3 yr
to March 2014 (EE, ER, Govt) $ % p.a. $ return % pa
           
Milford Conservative 4,024 314 9.11 4,338 n.a.
BNZ Conservative 3,113 144 6.98 3,257 n.a.
Mercer Conservative [D]  (r) 17,885 3,647 5.70 21,532 5.14
ASB Conservative [D] 17,885 3,491 5.49 21,376 5.25
ANZ OnePath Conservative [D] 17,885 3,424 5.39 21,309 5.15
Fisher Funds TWO Cash Enhanced [D] 17,885 3,261 5.16 21,146 5.01
Fidelity AC Conservative 3,477 131 5.11 3,608 n.a.
AMP Default [D] 17,885 3,166 5.02 21,051 4.88
BNZ Cash 3,113 102 4.97 3,215 n.a.
Mercer SuperTrust Fixed Interest (r) 17,885 3,079 4.90 20,964 3.59
Fidelity Capital Guaranteed 17,885 2,646 4.27 20,531 4.01
ANZ OneAnswer NZ Fixed Interest 17,885 2,549 4.12 20,434 3.21
ANZ OneAnswer Int'l Fixed Interest 17,885 2,526 4.09 20,411 3.90
Lifestages Capital Stable 17,885 2,212 3.62 20,097 3.40
AMP Cash 17,885 2,145 3.51 20,030 3.10
Aon Tyndall NZ Cash 17,885 1,932 3.19 19,817 2.95
FirstChoice NZ Cash 17,885 1,895 3.13 19,780 3.05
ASB NZ Cash 17,885 1,860 3.07 19,745 2.96
Grosvenor Enhanced Income 17,885 1,773 2.94 19,658 2.39
Brook Professional Conservative 17,885 1,761 2.92 19,646 3.82
Mercer Cash (r) 17,885 1,736 2.88 19,620 2.07
Craigs Fixed Interest 12,952 908 2.84 13,860 2.10
Fisher Funds TWO Preservation 17,885 1,667 2.77 19,552 2.32
Mercer SuperTrust Cash (r) 17,885 1,643 2.73 19,528 1.89
ANZ Cash 17,885 1,552 2.59 19,437 2.78
ANZ OnePath Cash 17,885 1,546 2.58 19,431 2.22
Staples Rodway Conservative 17,885 1,489 2.49 19,374 2.15
Westpac Cash 17,885 1,469 2.46 19,354 2.05
ANZ OneAnswer Cash 17,885 1,398 2.35 19,283 2.07
Aon ANZ OnePath Cash 17,885 1,335 2.24 19,220 2.09
           
[D] = Default fund          
This list includes funds which started later than March 31, 2008 which is why cumulative contributions can be less than $17,885. The list is sorted by effective cumulative return since 2008.

In addition, savers interested in risk-protected returns should consider Westpac's capital 'guaranteed' funds.

These funds invest in equities but have a Capital Protection Plan is designed to give you the opportunity to earn the higher returns normally associated with growth assets without the risk of losing your initial contributed capital (other than through the insolvency of the Capital Protection Provider or a "tax change event"). The goal of generating higher returns is implemented by having as much of the CPP Fund as possible invested in growth assets.

However, the Manager is also required to preserve the capital value of the Fund. It does this by reducing the amount invested in growth assets if the value of the assets of the CPP Fund falls below certain predetermined levels. Instead, some (or, if there is a very dramatic fall in the value of the growth assets, all) of the assets of the CPP Fund are placed in a form of deposit with the Capital Protection Provider that is designed to recover part of the value of the assets over time but does not produce a positive investment return (these are sometimes called zero coupon bonds or deposits).

Westpac has five such plans, all starting at different times:

Capital protected Cumulative $ Cum net gains Effective* = Ending value Effective
since April 2008 contributions after all tax, fees  cum return in your account last 3 yr
to March 2014 (EE, ER, Govt) $ % p.a. $ return % pa
           
Westpac CP Plan No. 1 15,867 5,101 9.48 20,968 8.84
Westpac CP Plan No. 2 12,781 3,484 10.03 16,265 9.20
Westpac CP Plan No. 3 9,853 2,269 12.05 21,376 9.86
Westpac CP Plan No. 4 6,708 1,275 15.40 20,685 n.a.
Westpac CP Plan No. 5 3,659 277 3.10 21,146 n.a.

Don't jump into these types of funds unless you understand fully how they work in good times, and bad.

Our next review will be of 'moderate' funds.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

1 Comments

Sticking to the Cash Fund, which hasnt done too bad since 2008 - 4 or 5% - as I am not so interested in 'returns' as the actual 'Return' of the fund.

An equity crash can easily wipe out most gains, especially with the unit pricing structure.

 

 

 

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