sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

90 seconds at 9 am with BNZ: Swiss National Bank sets ceiling for franc vs euro; US stocks drop on Europe's banking fears; NZ$ down after Fonterra auction drop

90 seconds at 9 am with BNZ: Swiss National Bank sets ceiling for franc vs euro; US stocks drop on Europe's banking fears; NZ$ down after Fonterra auction drop

Bernard Hickey details the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am in association with Bank of New Zealand, including news the Swiss National Bank took the shock decision overnight to set a ceiling for its currency  vs the euro of  1.2 francs per euro.

Switzerland is desperate to weaken its currency to protect its flagging export sector. The franc has surged in recent months as panicked European investors have flooded into Switzerland in a hunt for a safe haven. See more here at BBC.

The Swiss National Bank said it would intervene in an unlimited way to sell francs and buy euros to drag the currency down to try to prevent deflationary pressures in its economy. A stronger franc reduces import prices and reduces export returns. The franc fell by the most in its history, going from 1.1 franc to the euro to 1.21 francs to the euro. See more here at Bloomberg.

Meanwhile, US stocks fell overnight as investors got their first chance to react to the 4% slump in European markets on Monday night. Fears the European Sovereign debt crisis is spiralling out of control triggered a slump European bank stocks on Monday night. An announcement late on Friday of a US$196 billion law suit against America's biggest banks also drove stocks lower. There was a holiday for US markets on Monday for Labor Day.

The Dow closed down around 100 points or 0.9%, having earlier fallen around 2%. See more here at Bloomberg.

The New Zealand dollar fell again overnight as appetites for risk globally continued to shrivel as the European fears worsened. The New Zealand dollar fell to 82 USc and also fell to 78 Australian cents.

There is renewed talk the Reserve Bank of Australia may not be able to cut its official cash rate quickly because of inflation pressures. That would keep Australian interest rates higher than New Zealand rates, making the Australian currency relatively more attractive. See more here at Sydney Morning Herald.

Fonterra's auction of milk powder overnight saw prices fall another 1.4%, bringing the fall since March 1 to 22.9% and taking prices to a nine month low. See full results here.

No chart with that title exists.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

36 Comments

  
The SNB should consistently aim at bringing the value of the franc to purchasing power parity, the Green Party urged.
The Swiss Business Federation, economiesuisse, and the Association of Small and Medium Enterprises also welcomed the SNB’s action.

 http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/specials/swiss_franc/SNB_toughens_stance_with_euro_rate_target.html?cid=31070180

Up
0

Great stuff Walter. Excellent to see also so many Swiss flags on cars around Auckland to support the Swiss rugby team when they play the All Blacks on Friday night.

Go Switzerland!

Or should that be Allez La Suisse?

cheers

Bernard

Up
0

Bernard- Tonga also has a red cross, but it looks different. Switzerland does have a national team mostly with player from the french part of Switzerland.

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland_national_rugby_union_team

look at the scores  - HOPELESS !!!  - tooo soft every second player seems to be a banker.

Up
0

Cheers Walter ;) (I'm pulling your leg a bit)

Swiss team has some big players that hit hard. Excellent supporters too!

Thousands went to watch the team practice.

cheers

Bernard

Up
0

 You pulled my legs quite a bit Bernard – Switzerland has a red flag with a white cross – different from what I said 9:45am - Tonga’s flag looks different.

Tonga– Switzerland 104 : 6  - with 2 Swiss players dead and 5 injured on the sideline - by hard hitting Tongans at least - they would  just roast them  - but no worries there are more bankers.

Tonga– NZ  4 : 32

Up
0

Quotes from the article about the Swiss action:

“Drawing a clear line in the sand is an easier position to defend than vague comments without benchmarks,” 

“China and Japan have demonstrated that book losses are no great problem for central banks.”

OK we are not that strong but a bit of brinkmanship by Bollard would not go amiss.
 

Up
0

I thought Swizerland was neutral , but that has not stopped it entering the CURRENCY WAR 

Up
0

The SNB did not sit on their hands while watching the Real Estate porfolio of the Swiss banks go belly up because some over leveraged folks think it is "safe" to hide in their currency ... well done SNB.

Up
0

Doesn't matter if there is a slight decline in price for Fonterra if our dollar continues to drop a bit against the US dollar, good also  for our exporters to Australia if we drop a bit against the aussy dollar.  Will be to our advantage, so long as ther is not a bigger drop that drives up costs of imports too much

Up
0

Until the exchange rate gets realistic NZ will not make any progress. There is little reason to keep imports cheaper for longer if we stuff ourselves through a me-me attitude.

Getting real with a 20% reduction in the exchange rate is likely to be better than any alternative - if one even exists.

Up
0

An interesting read, oil prices, inflation.

 http://www.johnmauldin.com/outsidethebox/things-that-make-you-go-hmmm

Up
0

Amanda looks smarter, Bernard always has his eyes half shut on the opening frame it lowers his IQ significantly ;-)

German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble has vowed to halt rescue payments to Greece unless the country complies totally with the EU-IMF demands, brushing aside warnings that a Greek collapse would set off a disastrous chain reaction and a global banking crisis.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/8745695/German-auste…

Up
0

Nice link.

Eyes wide open this time...

cheers

Bernard

Up
0

Righto class..here's some curious FACTS to lighten your load:

"China gets their oil from Libya. Why isn't China involved? They're going out spending billions of dollars a day on trying to take over the world economically. And we're spending billions and billions and billions of dollars on policing the world. Why isn't China involved with Libya?...we don't get oil from Libya, China does."

– Donald Trump

Pythagorean theorem: 24 words
Lord's prayer: 66 words
Archimedes' Principle: 67 words
Ten Commandments: 179 words
Gettysburg address: 286 words
US Declaration of Independence: 1,300 words
US Constitution with all 27 Amendments: 7,818 words
EU regulations on the sale of cabbage: 26,911 words

– Europe's Problems Summed Up

 

Up
0

And I did hear the US Tax law is 26 volumes. How many words is that?

Up
0

Here you go Basel BruIII ...............http://www.trygve.com/taxcode.html

2009 it was 3.7 million and counting ...the link will have a closer estimate...

Did you really want to know...?

Up
0

Living in godsown you lot don't realize how crucial cabbage is to the EU economy

Up
0

I didn't even know it was legal there......imagine the carry on with the prime buds...?

Up
0

ha ha...christ-ove , you ole dog...could be a budding futures market ?

Up
0

Europe gets oil from Libya...and the US wants to influence who is in power....in any oil nation as it might want oil from there soon....Its not that far across the Atlantic considering Mexico wont be sending oil tothe US for many more years....

I wonder.....I really do...is he really that dumb?

regards

 

Up
0

 "In a victory for homeowners and private insurers but a blow for the state, some properties are eligible for the $100,000 EQC payout more than once in a year because of multiple Christchurch earthquakes."  herald (110000 property owners have claimed twice)

This has a very strong stench about it....these property owners are expecting the rest of nz property owners and tax payers to foot the bill for their "victory"...

I don't doubt there are some who face a loss given Gerry's ballzup promise...but are we expected to accept that 110ooo can get another $100ooo....that's $11ooo,ooo,ooo........

Eleven billion dollars....are they serious?

Up
0

Long time Wolly, how is the mkt treating you, after a pause I have moved in again

Up
0

It's giving me heart burn michael ...me kiwi shares are sick...but I'm mostly in cash and expect the real fall to be some time away yet....then maybe I'll buy some stuff.

In the mean time doing some work on some land I bought at over 30% below the bubble peak price...deep rich topsoil..well drained...flood safe...lovely stuff.

Up
0

Im not sure why its a victory for the house owners? as their private insurer would have paid out anyway?   Victory for the private insurers yes I can see that.....which brings the idea of the EQC into question...

Now if the house was repaired in-between events and needed more repairs, form the subsquent, fair enough....if it didnt, or only suffered some more damage then, yes we are paying for the private insurers.....

regards

Up
0

try using the zero key , wally...it'll make more sense then...waaal, maybe????

Up
0

Try asking the staff to help you put your reading glasses on Rob...then it'll make more sense....maybe!

Up
0

i only allow my staff up into the office for important things...reading your stuff probably doesn't quailfy ?

Up
0

Your "staff" hah...I spose all resthome workers are used to being regarded as belonging to the old farts...take your zimmer for a walk Rob.

Up
0

Oh wolly, wollly, wolly...you've actually inflated your self-importance since i've been away from this site to a level where you think your cut'n'paste drivel actually has some importance to the wider world...but no...they're the same old burble including your obvious knowledge of the inner-workings of rest homes and the accoutrements required to remain upright.

but,in your case, living in Blenheim it 's understandable...

Up
0

I really wonder whether Bollard is awake.....

 "Unions representing the workers said it was the first time that F & P Healthcare workers have voted to go on strike in the company's 10-year history.

The Engineering, Printing and Manufacturing Union and the National Distribution Union are negotiating for a 5.7 per cent pay increase while Fisher & Paykel Healthcare is offering 3 per cent for 11 months, followed by a further 2 per cent for 11 months.

The consumers price index rose by 5.3 per cent over the June year and the unions said the escalating cost of living was behind their claims." herald

When govt policy leads to high inflation because govt plans on washing away debt with debasement..the outcome is disruption as workers demand increases in pay...which leads to export losses and likely higher unemployment...doh.

Up
0

Julia Gillard's popularity taking major slide - NZ Nats take note - this is what happens if you cosy up to the Greens...
Up
0

Gonzo -

Actually, this is what happens when someone with scruples gets lambased by paid spin-doctors, and a selfish/short/dumb populace go with what might keep their music going.

History regards Goebbels as criminal. Ever thought about your own epitaph?

How often do you come across Mr Baker?

Up
0

more problems for the warmist fundies !!

 

"SCIENCE GETTING SETTLED"


 

Aug 26, 2011 – FINANCIAL POST

New, convincing evidence indicates global warming is caused by cosmic rays and the sun — not humans

 

The science is now all-but-settled on global warming, convincing new evidence demonstrates, but Al Gore, the IPCC and other global warming doomsayers won’t be celebrating. The new findings point to cosmic rays and the sun — not human activities — as the dominant controller of climate on Earth.

The research, published with little fanfare this week in the prestigious journal Nature, comes from über-prestigious CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, one of the world’s largest centres for scientific research involving 60 countries and 8,000 scientists at more than 600 universities and national laboratories. CERN is the organization that invented the World Wide Web, that built the multi-billion dollar Large Hadron Collider, and that has now built a pristinely clean stainless steel chamber that precisely recreated the Earth’s atmosphere.

In this chamber, 63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done — demonstrate that cosmic rays promote the formation of molecules that in Earth’s atmosphere can grow and seed clouds, the cloudier and thus cooler it will be. Because the sun’s magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere (the stronger the sun’s magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the sun determines the temperature on Earth.

The hypothesis that cosmic rays and the sun hold the key to the global warming debate has been Enemy No. 1 to the global warming establishment ever since it was first proposed by two scientists from the Danish Space Research Institute, at a 1996 scientific conference in the U.K. Within one day, the chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Bert Bolin, denounced the theory, saying, “I find the move from this pair scientifically extremely naive and irresponsible.” He then set about discrediting the theory, any journalist that gave the theory cre dence, and most of all the Danes presenting the theory — they soon found themselves vilified, marginalized and starved of funding, despite their impeccable scientific credentials.

The mobilization to rally the press against the Danes worked brilliantly, with one notable exception. Nigel Calder, a former editor of The New Scientist who attended that 1996 conference, would not be cowed. Himself a physicist, Mr. Calder became convinced of the merits of the argument and a year later, following a lecture he gave at a CERN conference, so too did Jasper Kirkby, a CERN scientist in attendance. Mr. Kirkby then convinced the CERN bureaucracy of the theory’s importance and developed a plan to create a cloud chamber — he called it CLOUD, for “Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets.”

But Mr. Kirkby made the same tactical error that the Danes had — not realizing how politicized the global warming issue was, he candidly shared his views with the scientific community.

“The theory will probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole of the increase in the Earth’s temperature that we have seen in the last century,” Mr. Kirkby told the scientific press in 1998, explaining that global warming may be part of a natural cycle in the Earth’s temperature.

The global warming establishment sprang into action, pressured the Western governments that control CERN, and almost immediately succeeded in suspending CLOUD. It took Mr. Kirkby almost a decade of negotiation with his superiors, and who knows how many compromises and unspoken commitments, to convince the CERN bureaucracy to allow the project to proceed. And years more to create the cloud chamber and convincingly validate the Danes’ groundbreaking theory.

Yet this spectacular success will be largely unrecognized by the general public for years — this column will be the first that most readers have heard of it — because CERN remains too afraid of offending its government masters to admit its success. Weeks ago, CERN formerly decided to muzzle Mr. Kirby and other members of his team to avoid “the highly political arena of the climate change debate,” telling them “to present the results clearly but not interpret them” and to downplay the results by “mak[ing] clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters.” The CERN study and press release is written in bureaucratese and the version of Mr. Kirkby’s study that appears in the print edition of Nature censored the most eye-popping graph — only those who know where to look in an online supplement will see the striking potency of cosmic rays in creating the conditions for seeding clouds.

CERN, and the Danes, have in all likelihood found the path to the Holy Grail of climate science. But the religion of climate science won’t yet permit a celebration of the find.

Financial Post

LawrenceSolomon@nextcity.com

Up
0

You didn't answer my question.

Up
0

ummmmmmmmm ???

quote

 to avoid “the highly political arena of the climate change debate,” telling them “to present the results clearly but not interpret them” and to downplay the results by “mak[ing] clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters.”

....avoiding the politics, presenting results clearly and making it clear that cosmic radiation is only ONE of MANY parameters..

this doesn't make all other reasearch irrelevant

unless the world is flat after all

Up
0

It ain't April 1 for a few months yet.

Up
0