Key benefits from sanguine economy

Jump in support has the National Party with poll numbers near its record high; Government Confidence rating highest since 2010

24th Jan 15, 8:46am by David Chaston

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National Party support up strongly.

It has surged to 52%, which is up 6% since early December and its highest level of support since June 2014.

If a national election were held now the poll shows that National would win in a landslide and be able to govern in its own right.

However, support for the Coalition partners has fallen with the Maori Party 1.5% (down 0.5%), Act NZ 1% (down 0.5%) although United Future is still on 0% (unchanged).

Support for the Labour Party is at 26% (down 1%) with a similar fall for the Greens who are on 11%. NZ First is down 1% to 6%.

For the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 2% (down 0.5%) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (down 1%) and support for Independent/ Others is 0.5% (down 0.5%).

Coinciding with the increase in support for the Government the latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen significantly to 144 pts (up 6pts). This is the highest the NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has been since July 2010.

There are 67% (up 4.5%) of NZ electors saying NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 23% (down 1.5%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Electors were asked: "If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?"

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 883 electors from January 5-18, 2015. Of all electors surveyed 5.5% (up 1.5%) didn’t name a party.

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4 Comments

by Stephen Hulme | 24th Jan 15, 9:35am 1422045319

There are 67% (up 4.5%) of NZ electors saying NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 23% (down 1.5%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Yes, the same supporters who don't or can't save for a better future - they look to someone else to do it on their behalf. Why wouldn't they vote for the party representing the needy and entitled debtors of the world.

by Boatman | 24th Jan 15, 12:00pm 1422054032

The only thing we know is that things will change , and if anything John Key needs to avoid hubris or arrogance.

Although he does not come accross as arrogant , there is a certain cockiness to him .

Our econmic boom and current confidence is not premised on anything new and it could all change quite quickly

Nouriel Roubini said yesterday that China is at a tipping point , and we could see the fragile word economy really come apart if China fails or goes into recession .

We dont live in a state of Autarky , we are an integral part of the world and what hapens elsewhere affects us richt here in in our back yard

by Dave2 | 25th Jan 15, 8:48am 1422128908

A certain cockiness boatman? For sure, and isn't it great?

Economic growth is reliant on confidence, and the more poll driven politicians appear the less confidence you can have in long term stability. Key comes across as knowing what he is about and able to stick to his course. that course is clearly quite center-right Stephen Hulme, witness maintaining benefits and govt. superannuation in times when a Ruth Richardson mother of all budgets could have been justified.

I vote for national because I believe a growing economy is the best way to support equality and opportunity, not reasons of some selfish advantage that the left seem to assign to me and other national voters. Without economic credibility and confidence it is pretty hard to achieve. Events demonstrate this all over the world, in country after country.

I like Labours new leader and greater pragmatism, rather than the deceitful shambles that preceded it, but they still remain a party wedded to the 1950s to 1970s. They will become a credible political party to me the day they renounce this, and decide their reason for existence is to do the best they can for the majority of NZers and work with anyone else they can to archieve it I.e. Coalition or support for National isnt ruled out . That way they will join National, NZ first! Maori party, conservatives etc and not live in the class war mentality they share with the greens.

Looks like the polls indicate the majority of NZers agree with me. They are supporting national to keep Labour and Greens hands off he tiller. Because both these parties live for their ideology they'll probably never do it, but maybe Little could, given his leftist background and support

by cowboy | 26th Jan 15, 8:33am 1422214409

your last part sums it up.

Most Nzer's recognise the hard fact that ideology won't pay their (or the country's) bills.