We update our preliminary analysis of the raw numbers of the 2017 election votes counted, after the 'specials' are included

This is our promised update of our earlier analysis here.

In the end, another 422,094 votes were counted after the election night counts.

The election night counts, including the advance votes, favoured the National Party (46.0%) over the Labour (35.8%) / Greens (5.9%) alliance.

Kingmaker, NZ First gained 7.5% on the night.

But the late counted 'specials' favoured Labour (42.6% and the Greens (8.4%) while National gained only 36.3% and NZ First only 5.6%.

That shifted the seat counts by 2 to the left. However, the result is still 'hung'.

The only consistent thing about this is that NZ First lost support at every turn. Its leader lost his seat, it lost votes from 2014, and it lost share after the 'specials' are included. But despite all this, it has won the right to decide who forms the next government.

The turnout was 79.8% and that compares with 77.9% at the 2014 election. This is the highest turnout since 2005 when it was 80.9%.

The final enrolment rate was 92.4% of all eligible voters, almost the same as the 2014 rate of 92.6%.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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3 Comments

I want to know the breed of that shaky dog.

The coalition of parties holding a majority of seats won the right to be the next government.

NZFirst have simply positioned themselves with flexibility.

You clearly dislike Winston, but there is nothing wrong with our voting system in that regard.

If eligible it is compulsory to register on the voting roll in New Zealand
Section 82 of the Electoral Act 1993 provides fines of $100 for first breach and $200 subsequent breaches
http://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/1993/0087/latest/whole.html#DL...

It is an offence not to register. 20% of those registered didn't vote. How many didn't register?

Now, lets see how many fines are issued and how much is collected