
I'm back from five days off. Haven't looked at a computer screen for days on end. A record.
Here's my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 12 midday in association with NZ Mint.
I'll pop the extras into the comment stream. See all previous Top 10s here.
I welcome your additions in the comments below or via email to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz.
1. One reason for America's budget crisis - Large corporates don't pay much tax in America. In many cases they actually get rebates and subsidies.
Here's a report from Citizens for Tax Justice in America.
I worry that New Zealand's largest companies, particularly foreign owned ones, don't pay their fair share.
The banks have already been forced into paying their fair share.
Fonterra pays hardly any tax.
Google routes its revenues from New Zealand through a tax haven in Ireland.
Anyone know of others not paying their fair share?
Here's the American situation.
CTJ looked at a sample of a dozen major corporations and analyzed both their profits and their effective federal corporate income tax rates between 2008 and 2010. CTJ found that from 2008 to 2010, these major corporations earned $173 billion in profits put together.
Yet these major corporations paid an average federal corporate income tax rate during this period of -1.5 percent, meaning they actually got money back from the Treasury in the form of tax benefits.
2. The bailouts have started in China too - This Reuters story from last week is proving very influential.
It detailed plans for China's government to essentially bail out bankrupt local governments and bolster the banking system that lent huge amounts to these local governments for 'bridges to nowhere' type infrastructure spending.
It's another sign that the giant debt shuffle has started there.
America and Europe have been doing it for three years. The transfer of private debt to public balance sheets has been the main tactic in developed countries, along with moves to 'extend and pretend' the terms of the debt to avoid crystallising losses on unsustainable debt in haircuts that would destroy banks.
There is just too much debt in the world.
China's regulators plan to shift 2-3 trillion yuan ($308-463 billion) of debt off local governments, sources said, reducing the risk of a wave of defaults that would threaten the stability of the world's second-biggest economy.
As part of Beijing's overhaul of the finances of heavily-indebted local governments, the central government will pay off some of their loans and state banks including some of the "Big Four" will be forced to take some losses on the bad debt, said the sources, both of whom have direct knowledge of the plans.
Part of the debt will also be shifted to newly created companies, while private investors would be welcomed in projects previously off-limits to them, sources said.
3. Another view - Ryan Avent from Economist has just returned from a visit to China and is more positive about the outlook there than some.
I came away from China a bit less worried about property issues than I'd been going in. Don't get me wrong, China is building an enormous amount of new housing, and quite a lot of that new housing is standing empty, even as prices rise. But this isn't necessarily the problem many people suspect, for a few reasons. For one thing, the flow of new demand for housing seems sure. Millions of Chinese remain underhoused while real incomes are soaring.
In some cases, the Chinese government is coordinating the construction of several years' worth of demand for new homes all at once, justifiably confident that new units will ultimately be occupied. In other cases, Chinese workers are buying up new units as investment vehicles—but are using savings, rather than debt, to fund the purchases. It's not impossible, or even that unlikely, that prices in the main cities may fall, but it would be wrong to assume that China's property markets operate in the way American markets do and share the same vulnerabilities.
4. Falling house prices - The Telegraph reports UK house prices fell 4.2% in the three months to May, the biggest fall since October 2009. HT Hugh
Britain's housing market has been slowing since the middle of last year and recent data show mortgage approvals - a leading indicator of house prices - fell in April to just half their long-run average before the financial crisis of 90,000 per month.
Halifax economist Martin Ellis said the housing market was coming under pressure from low earnings growth, higher taxes, rising inflation and concerns about the outlook for jobs and growth.
5. Weak US consumer confidence - US consumer confidence is now weaker than it was just after the Lehman crisis, Hurrican Katrina and the 9-11 attacks. HT Zerohedge.
6. Accusing the Fed of counterfeiting - An American citizen is suing the Atlanta Federal Reserve, arguing it is counterfeiting money because it has no intention to make good on the notes it's printing. HT Washington's blog.
The complaint alleges that all of the Federal Reserve Banks (including Atlanta) stopped allowing Federal Reserve Notes to be redeemed in the early 2000's and that - because 12 United States Code Section 411 requires the notes to be redeemable - continuing to issue notes without allowing redemption amounts to counterfeiting.
7. 'On the verge of a great depression' - Yastrow Origer strategist Peter Yastrow told CNBC a few days ago that America was on the verge of a great depression.
The Bernanke knows this and admitted he didn't have a solution this morning.
"Interest rates are amazingly low and that, thanks to Ben Bernanke, is driving everything," Yastrow said. "We’re on the verge of a great, great depression. The [Federal Reserve] knows it.
"We have many, many homeowners that are totally underwater here and cannot get out from under. The technology frontier is limited right now. We definitely have an innovation slowdown and the economy’s gonna suffer."
8. We need pollution taxes - So does America. This chart below explains why. Brad Plumer at the Washington Post has the story.
New Zealand is right down the bottom left next to America in the chart in terms of the portion of tax revenue collected from pollution taxes.
9. How broken Wall St is - Jesse Eisinger at ProPublica writes about a whistleblower analyst who exposed an accounting fraud at a company called Biovail but was still fired by his investment bank bosses.
For his success, he was sued, fired and stripped of compensation. He also lost access to the world of bulge-bracket Wall Street, was shunned by some institutional investors, and because of the settlement for which he said he felt he had no choice than to enter, he couldn’t sue Biovail to seek vindication.
It’s well known that analysts rarely put sell ratings on the stocks they cover. Typically, the explanation for this is that banks don’t want to jeopardize their investment banking business.
The reality is much more complicated. Skeptics and whistle-blowers risk huge career costs that go beyond conflicts of interest. Investors think they want unvarnished advice, but many don’t truly appreciate it. Most banks don’t want employees to play detective. Regulators abandon whistle-blowers, acting tardily and ineffectually.
10. Totally Clarke and Dawe video - It seems a diversity of views is a good thing and so is unity....
30 Comments
This site is either uninformed, or is prepared to ignore the facts in order to push its big State, tax everything agenda. Fonterra is a Co-op: that means it passes the majority of it's profit to it's suppliers, ie, farmers, hence, its low tax.
That's a bit tame , Mark ...... Bernie's back , let rip , have a decent go ! ...
.... Ever since his " aha " moment ( coincidentally soon after alot of interviews with boy wonder , David Cunliffe ) , Bernard has been flapping on aboot all of us paying " our fair share " , and about increased central controls over the economy .....
Now , I wanna spit into my custard , Mark , really I do ....... this idiocy of more bureaucratic controls will simply nail the coffin lid down upon the Kiwi economy once and for all .
..... Getcha big guns out mate , and start blazing away !
And then farmers pay their fair share of tax?
Maybe not...
Discuss.
cheers
Bernard
When the Backbone becomes the Bane.....eh.
Touche mon pussycat.
Your article specifically mentioned Fonterra Bernard, nothing about the suppliers. Or are facts 'near enough', now 'near enough' for business journalism. Nothing should get in the way of the pogram for big state and big taxes.
And the farmer figures are spurious, regardless - Nash was being either incompetent or underhanded. 2009 was a very bad year for dairy. I know dairy farmers who'll be paying half a milion and a million dollars tax from the 2011 year payout.
and farmers in turn load up debt so they pay little taxes....and cash out at the end, uh tax free.
End result, little tax...
regards
Pollution taxes....Turkey....14%....oh yeah that's gotta be accurate honest and not a load of BS
Right up there with the Neanderthals & Israel .......... and it's a bad thing that we're not in their company , Bernard ?
Must be all those Hookah pipes Wolly
Oh...... I hadn't thought of that.....I wonder if they are taxed by the puff!
http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/06/piracy-and-counterfeiting-…
Piracy and Counterfeiting - The U.S. Trade Representative is very unhappy!
http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011_06_01_archive.html
As an aside, let's take a really quick look at a recent news item from New Zealand. It seems that the government of New Zealand has become quite zealous about illegal downloading on the Internet. In April 2011, the government pushed through a bill, the Copyright (Infringing File Sharing) Amendment Bill, which targets Internet users that illegally download or upload copyrighted material. Under the law, ISPs will send warning letters to infringing downloaders and uploaders at the behest of copyright holders.
Repeat offenders will be disconnected from the Internet for a period of 6 months and could be assessed a fine of up to $15,000.
Ironically enough, a tweet sent out by a National MP set off a firestorm in the local media when she tweeted that she was listening to a compilation of music given to her by a friend, a potential infraction of the Copyright legislation. Apparently the legislation puts the onus on the accused to prove their innocence.
As well, if the complexity of the legislation and the concept of filesharing (as shown here) are barely understood by those who impose these laws upon us, how can the sweaty masses be expected to understand what is legal and what is not when there appear to be so many grey areas?
I thought a pretty lame attempt by Viable opposition...to what exactly..?
Deny piracy and theft of intellectual property rights...?
Condone...it..?
Sanction it....?
Or make light of the USTR inability to even scratch the surface of dealing with the problem..?
Fonterra is a co operative and they have the option of the members paying the tax or they can pay it Again how can companies in general not pay their FAIR share of tax. What is left for them to use? This isnt the USA. Historically Corporations in the USA effectively pay tax on a voluntary basis. Thats the USA. In NZ there might be distortions between ""accounting or reporting income"" and ""tax income" but they tend to even out over time. Accounting or reporting income requires bringing in unrealised or potential gains which may or may not eventuate. In general taxable income tax is based on real gains as the taxpayer needs the funds to pay the tax. A company might be compelled by the law The Financial Reporting Act and the accounting standards to report a potential gain, but that is not taxable and hopefully things stay that way otherwise businesses will not work, without major issues and it will only be the general public who pay for that
At 2pm Lockwood will face his toughest test in the House...will the female members be in "businesswomenlike" garments whatever the hell that means...or will they test Lockwood to the dummy spitting end of his tether!
Lockwood you old goat, I strongly suggest you dictate they all hoof it and return in clown suits and here are some examples for you to offer them.
I agree Wolly - the entire women in the hole parliament should screw him off his close - down to his pans and hit his cheeky bottom with a stick.
There are countless ways for business owners to avoid tax, the company owned bach, the company owned boat, the company cars and fuel cards for the family, business trips, the private box at stadiums...
#8 - That chart absolutely does not show that NZ needs higher pollution tax levels.
The fact that other countries do something that NZ doesn't is not in itself proof that they are right and NZ wrong.
The fact that NZ raises a lower proportion of its tax revenue through pollution tax might be because pollution tax levels are low, or it might be because pollution levels are low. Whatever you think is the case, you can't tell from that chart and therefore you cannot draw the conclusion from it that pollution tax levels should be raised.
Presumably other charts show that NZ raises a higher proportion of its tax revenue from other sources. Is that "proof" that those tax levels are too high and should be reduced?
MdM - bollocks.
Try being responsible for your actions.
This country, per head, pollutes more than any country. (There aren't many of us, and we do big dirty things like dairying)
How else is it costed, perchance? Does another tax cover the pollution? Is it costed in up-front in the product price?
It isn't, and it isn't.
Any time it looks like being costed properly, we get 'fart tax' type obfuscations/evasions.
We don't value Natural Capital properly at either end, the extraction-of-the-finite end, or the dispose-of-it-as-cheaply-as-possible end.
Obviously, to cost those things properly, will impact your precious standard of living. So it has to be denied - goes without saying.
It's as ridiculous as the Grant Thornton survey that found "Just 28% of NZ businesses (down 9% on last survey) thought saving the planet was important. Makes you wonder where the other idiots think they're going to do business?
Selfishness always drives denial. The mature approach is "mea cupla, what's the bill?"
Please look at what I actually said, which was that the chart does not, in itself, prove the proposition that NZ's pollution tax should be higher.
You have put forward other arguments which support that proposition far better. That's fine, but it does not invalidate my comment, which - again - is that the chart, in itself, does not prove the proposition.
A strong argument is made weaker, not stronger, if weak and spuriously interpreted evidence is used to support it, and that's what the use of that chart is doing to your case.
I'm always suspect of folk who shoot the messenger. Techically, you have a point. In real terms, the graph parallels the problem - we don't account properly.
I was raising this as an issue as a County Councillor - which dates it - and have long argued that direct taxation on pollution is the only 'education' which works. Otherwise, it's a permanent case of 'not I, said the Little Red Hen'.
http://www.scribd.com/doc/239242/Pollution-Tax
http://www.ilsr.org/columns/1995/12Sep95.html
www.unb.ca/courses/econ3755/ECON3755-Nov4-TaxesSubsidies-10.pdf
http://water.epa.gov/scitech/swguidance/standards/economics/table41.cfm
www.parliament.nz/NR/rdonlyres/.../BP14_GreenTaxes1.pdf -
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800901001641
http://ohioepa.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/122/~/tax-incentive…
www.un.org/esa/sustdev/documents/10schl.PDF
www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/feb/04/china-green-tax-polluters -
wms-soros.mngt.waikato.ac.nz/NR/rdonlyres/.../ConceptualIssues.doc
www.motu.org.nz/files/docs/MEL0266.pdf
http://www.ird.govt.nz/technical-tax/op-statements/os-income-tax-treatm…
(note DO 3).
There's two reasons to attack a messenger:
1) that you don't like the message; or
2) that he is making a hash of giving a message that needs to be given clearly and convincingly
- and I believe that those who agree with the message should be in there with fists flying, in the second instance.
Or perhaps you'd feel obliged to agree with and defend me against all argument, if I said "The Government is not doing enough to prepare for the impact of Peak Oil, this is proven by the fact that 2 + 2 = 5 and by the way I'm a little teapot"?
Absolutely agree, a quick drive around the Manawatu (or any other dairy farming district) tells us that NZ needs higher pollution tax levels. Who needs a chart?
FYI from a reader:
Hi Bernard, Following is an extract from an article about the state of the US economy. Pretty much sums up whats happening here too in 'lil 'ole kiwiland. Regards Zane Consumers are still deleveraging from the losses they sustained during the financial crisis, so they've cut back on their borrowing and spending. This creates a problem, because consumer spending represents 70% of GDP. So if consumers don't load up on debt again, there will be no recovery. (Every recovery since WW2 has been the result of a credit expansion.) This is why Fed chairman Bernanke has tried to induce more borrowing by lowering rates to zero and buying US Treasuries from the banks (which, in effect, creates negative interest rates) But it hasn't worked. Negative rates have not sparked another credit expansion because there are times when people will not borrow regardless of the rates or the inducements. John Maynard Keynes figured this out more than 80 years ago, but Bernanke has "unlearned" the lessons of the past. As a result, we are headed for another slump.Consumers aren't spending, businesses aren't investing, and credit is not expanding. At the same time, state and federal governments are trimming budgets and laying off workers. So, all the main players are cutting, cutting, cutting. Naturally, the economy has responded in kind; housing prices are falling, unemployment is rising, manufacturing is stalling and consumer confidence is dropping.
There's nothing here that should surprise us. We are headed into a Depression because policymakers have made another Depression unavoidable. A policy-driven Depression is different than a financial crisis. It is a matter of choice. It means that the objectives of the people who control the system are different than our own. There are those who will benefit from another severe downturn, but most of us will only needlessly suffer.
More at: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article28244.htmFascinating insights on the ground in this Reuters report from China
As China enters its ninth month of monetary tightening, small- and mid-sized private businesses increasingly find themselves in a bind, caught between stubbornly high inflation and a lack of financing stemming from the government's effort to combat those same price rises.
Everything from property to raw materials is getting more expensive. At the same time, interest rate rises and lending curbs since October that force banks to ration loans have deprived many of funding. That relegates them to an underground lending market where rates spiral as high as 120 percent.
One Wenzhou leather maker went bust last month after its owner gambled with company funds, and lost. Another factory owner told Reuters that his brother-in-law had gone into hiding to avoid creditors. No one in his family knows where he is.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/06/03/uk-china-economy-factory-idUKT…
And why do they have such a major problem with inflation Bernard?
Couldn't be the manipulation of the yuan by the "invisible hand" could it ? Thats good for exporters, and really what we should be doing eh?
FYI
This radiation storm did not squarely blow to Earth, but it should deliver "a glancing blow" to Earth's magnetic field during the late hours of June 8th or June 9th.
well said :)
One of my best, I thought! I was trying to remove the post entirely - I'd put into a new message, words which I'd meant to be a reply to your point re pollution taxes above
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