sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

Thursday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Modern wheat a 'chronic poison'; The Pope of indignant billionaires; Finding peace with honour in the currency wars; Brash vs Doyle on the high NZ$; Riots and a bank run in Iran; Dilbert

Thursday's Top 10 with NZ Mint: Modern wheat a 'chronic poison'; The Pope of indignant billionaires; Finding peace with honour in the currency wars; Brash vs Doyle on the high NZ$; Riots and a bank run in Iran; Dilbert

Here's my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 11 am today in association with NZ Mint.

As always, we welcome your additions in the comments below or via email tobernard.hickey@interest.co.nz.

See all previous Top 10s here.

My must read story is #1. I am continually stunned at the way the emperors still think they have clothes on.

1. The outrage of the super-rich - Chrystia Freeland has written a detailed piece at the New Yorker about a hedge fund billionaire who is angry with Barack Obama for stoking class warfare.

Leon Cooperman, who is described as the Pope of a movement of hedge fund managers sick of being demonised, is demanding more respect.

He wants Obama and the poor to stop complaining all the time about how rich the rich are.

He is not interested in paying more taxes.

This outbreak of grumpiness is despite the super-rich doing the best out of anyone during the Obama years as bank bailouts and central bank money printing inflated stock and bond values. See #4 below.

Here's Freeland. It's well worth a read to understand how power in America works.

The growing antagonism of the super-wealthy toward Obama can seem mystifying, since Obama has served the rich quite well. His Administration supported the seven-hundred-billion-dollar TARP rescue package for Wall Street, and resisted calls from the Nobel Prize winners Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman, and others on the left, to nationalize the big banks in exchange for that largesse. At the end of September, the S. & P. 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, had rebounded to just 6.9 per cent below its all-time pre-crisis high, on October 9, 2007. The economists Emmanuel Saez and Thomas Piketty have found that ninety-three per cent of the gains during the 2009-10 recovery went to the top one per cent of earners. Those seated around the table at dinner with Al Gore had done even better: the top 0.01 per cent captured thirty-seven per cent of the total recovery pie, with a rebound in their incomes of more than twenty per cent, which amounted to an additional $4.2 million each.

Evident throughout the letter is a sense of victimization prevalent among so many of America’s wealthiest people. In an extreme version of this, the rich feel that they have become the new, vilified underclass. T. J. Rodgers, a libertarian and a Silicon Valley entrepreneur, has taken to comparing Barack Obama’s treatment of the rich to the oppression of ethnic minorities—an approach, he says, that the President, as an African-American, should be particularly sensitive to. Clifford S. Asness, the founding partner of the hedge fund AQR Capital Management, wrote an open letter to the President in 2009, after Obama blamed “a small group of speculators” for Chrysler’s bankruptcy.

Asness suggested that “hedge funds really need a community organizer,” and accused the White House of “bullying” the financial sector. Dan Loeb, a hedge-fund manager who supported Obama in 2008, has compared his Wall Street peers who still support the President to “battered wives.” “He really loves us and when he beats us, he doesn’t mean it; he just gets a little angry,” Loeb wrote in an e-mail in December, 2010, to a group of Wall Street financiers.

2. Economics after the crisis - This is a book written by British civil servant Adair Turner. Looks like one I need to read.

Here's a review by Robert Skidelsky at The Times Literary Supplement.

Adair Turner is the jewel in the crown of British public servants. He is one of a tiny minority in public life today capable of thinking and acting at the highest level. Economics after the Crisis, based on three lectures he delivered at the London School of Economics in 2010, is a thinking person’s delight, not least for the clear and lucid way in which Turner sets out his arguments. His book challenges the three main planks of what he calls the “instrumental conventional wisdom”. The first is that the object of policy should be to maximize Gross Domestic Product per head; the second, that the primary means of doing this is to create freer markets; the third, that increased inequality is acceptable as long as it delivers superior growth. The attack is devastating, leaving little of the policy edifice of the past thirty years standing.

3. Peace with honour in the currency wars - Bloomberg has written an editorial here on how to end the currency wars. By the way, it also says currency controls are defensible.

Let’s be a bit more precise about who is a currency manipulator. The charge is best limited to countries that stop their currencies from appreciating even though they have big current-account surpluses -- that is, countries that block the movement of currencies toward levels that would help balance global trade. That isn’t what the U.S. is doing with QE3. It is precisely what many other countries are doing, however, hurting the U.S. and Brazil alike.

If currency manipulation is defined this way, the leading offender is China. One measure is a country’s growth in foreign- exchange reserves: Manipulators hold their currencies down by using domestic money to buy foreign assets. Recently, and especially over the past year, China has eased this policy, but its foreign-exchange reserves still stand at a colossal $3.2 trillion.

By no means is China alone. Joseph Gagnon, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, recently posted a list of 20 currency manipulators, ranked by foreign- exchange reserves. China tops the list, followed by Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Taiwan, Korea, Hong Kong and Switzerland.

We favor adding currency oversight (and the sanctions that might go with it) to the duties of the World Trade Organization or the International Monetary Fund. This makes excellent sense because currency manipulation can add to trade-policy friction and vice versa, in a cycle of mutually assured disadvantage. Currency manipulation already violates WTO and IMF rules, but there is no enforcement. This should change.

4. Top 1% got 93% of the income gains - Again, Bloomberg (the news service of the 1%) has written how the top 1% of income earners gained 93% of the income growth in 2010.

This is well reported piece that lays out the problems in the global economy. Wealth is being hoarded by the wealthiest, rather than invested. Middle income earners are not increasing spending. Economic growth is grinding to a halt. There has to be redistribution of income and wealth for the global economy to really get going again.

Here's an excellent graphic to go with it.

The earnings gap between rich and poor Americans was the widest in more than four decades in 2011, Census data show, surpassing income inequality previously reported in Uganda and Kazakhstan. The notion that each generation does better than the last -- one aspect of the American Dream -- has been challenged by evidence that average family incomes fell last decade for the first time since World War II.

In this recovery it’s proved better to own stock than a house. For stockholders like Hemsley, the value of all outstanding shares has soared $6 trillion to $17 trillion since June 2009, the recession’s end. Even after a recent rebound, the value of owner-occupied housing, the chief asset of most middle- income families, has dropped $41 billion in the same period, part of a $5.8 trillion loss in home values since 2006.

“Income inequality of the scale we have today is destroying our democracy,” retired American Airlines CEO Bob Crandall said in an interview. Crandall, 76, says he became so frustrated at what he sees as selfishness among his peers that he started writing a blog on his Lenovo laptop. “Anyone else willing?” he titled his first entry in August 2011, which argued that people should pay higher taxes.

5. A useful debate - JB Were's Bernard Doyle and Don Brash debate the merits of currency intervention and the high New Zealand dollar in this useful NZ Herald debate piece.

Both make good points:

Here's Doyle:

However, these can only do so much, and may make it more difficult for people to borrow and build a home - a perverse outcome if we are concerned about a shortage of affordable housing. Thus there is also an onus on other policymakers. The 2012 Productivity Commission inquiry into Housing Affordability made a broad range of recommendations that encompassed state and local government, industry bodies and the private sector.

This underlines a key message for currency intervention. Yes, there is probably a greater role for the Reserve Bank to play. But ultimately, a mispriced NZD is an issue for all New Zealanders.

Here's Brash:

Our growth is unbalanced, and we're failing to close the gap between our income and that in countries we like to compare ourselves with, such as Australia.

But make no mistake: reducing the value of the New Zealand dollar means making exporters and those who compete with imports better off while making the rest of us poorer. In the short-term, a lower New Zealand dollar would reduce the real wages of New Zealand workers and it's important to remind those calling for a lower dollar that that's what they are advocating.

6. The problem with modern wheat - This is a bit off the Top 10 beaten track, but interesting nonetheless. A US cardiologist has written a book saying modern varieties of wheat are a "chronic poison".

This interests me personally. The rest of my family have gone gluten free and the benefits have been amazing.

Here's CBS news:

Modern wheat is a "perfect, chronic poison," according to Dr. William Davis, a cardiologist who has published a book all about the world's most popular grain.

Davis said that the wheat we eat these days isn't the wheat your grandma had: "It's an 18-inch tall plant created by genetic research in the '60s and '70s," he said on "CBS This Morning." "This thing has many new features nobody told you about, such as there's a new protein in this thing called gliadin. It's not gluten. I'm not addressing people with gluten sensitivities and celiac disease. I'm talking about everybody else because everybody else is susceptible to the gliadin protein that is an opiate. This thing binds into the opiate receptors in your brain and in most people stimulates appetite, such that we consume 440 more calories per day, 365 days per year."

7. This won't end well - The austerity-driven train smash in Southern Europe is at full steam ahead in Portugal.

The Guardian reports it announced big tax increases overnight to try to fill a budget hole created by its imploding economy. This is madness.

Portugal set out sweeping tax rises on Wednesday to meet conditions for it to receive its international bailout cash, to offset falling revenues caused by a continuing recession that is set to push unemployment to further record highs.

The country's worst recession since the 1970s could deepen further if the tax rises further undermine consumer confidence. There is also a danger that raising taxes could spark more opposition to austerity measures that have already included salary cuts and spending cuts.

"We are confronting a critical moment," finance minister Vitor Gaspar said as he detailed the tax rises, which the government came up with after it abandoned a previous tax plan in the face of mass protests.

Gaspar outlined tax rises across the board for 2013, including income and property taxes, plus a new tax on financial transactions. The average income tax rate will rise to 11.8% from 9.8% currently and an additional 4% tax surcharge will be levied on incomes in 2013. The government said the measures, which will also include spending cuts, will amount to 3% of gross domestic product next year, and raised its estimate for unemployment to 16.4% from its current record level of 15%.

8. Keep an eye on these Middle Eastern events - Riots broke out in Tehran overnight after Iran's rial currency fell 40% in a week and Turkey launched military strikes on Syria after mortar attacks killed Turks in a border town.

The rial has hit record lows against the U.S. dollar almost daily as Western economic sanctions imposed over Iran’s disputed nuclear programme have cut Iran’s export earnings from oil, undermining the central bank’s ability to support the currency.

Panicking Iranians have scrambled to buy hard currency, pushing down the rial whose increasing weakness is hurting living standards and threatening jobs.

“Everyone wants to buy dollars and it’s clear there’s a bit of a bank run,” said a Western diplomat based in Tehran.

9. Unbundle the banks - The Bank of England's director of financial stability Andrew Haldane writes at the FT.com that Britain should go much further in unbundling the dangerous investment banks from the 'boring' retail banks.

Once a value-creation machine, banks have become a value-destruction machine; in response, bank investors are seeking shelter and bank balance sheets have begun a crash diet. So what has gone wrong, and what can be done? Lowly bank valuations are in part a legacy of the past and in part a prophecy about the future. The legacy is the overhang of overvalued bank assets. There are several reasons for this. One is forbearance on past loans, which appears to be both large and latent.

Quite how large and latent is unclear. Near-zero global interest rates, actually and prospectively, have encouraged forbearance by lowering the costs of prevarication. Global accounting rules have also contributed to an overvaluation of legacy assets, as they prevent banks adequately provisioning for future loan losses. International efforts to rectify this are at risk of stalling. There is a strong case for regulators stepping in to lessen the uncertainties over valuations. That might mean calculating prudent valuations across banks’ balance sheets, as the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee recently suggested with respect to UK banks.

10. Totally Ricky Gervais as a guinea pig having a bad hair day. This is the new face of advertising.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

33 Comments

Don Brash still doesn't get it , we don't wanna be a clone of Australia ...... closing the GDP per capita gap with them is not an issue for the Kiwis who have chosen to stay in New Zealand .

 

....... as a country we earn plenty from our exports .... extra GDP growth will only lead to more borrowing from Aussie banks to buy investment properites , and to more spending by this government ...

Up
0

Yes : We don't have them ..... yet we do need them under the current government of the Gnats . To operate a socialist system one requires massive reserves , to gift " freebies " to the plebian masses , and to rig the currency rate to suit a mercantilist approach to trade .

 

.... if we had a properly functioning capitalist system , we would not need huge reserves ..... the government would be 25 % or less of the nation's GDP ... the marketplace would rule . And no one would be bailed out of their folly at someone else's expense ......

 

Dreams ... .. sigh  !

Up
0

Yeah got to agree with you there, but a socialist system is not incompatible with the build up of capital nationally. We don't really build real capital but fictional capital gains in housing, bid up on lower interest rates, easier lending standards, longer terms.....

The building of real productive capital.....yeah dreams.

Cheers

 

Up
0

I don't think the Good Doctor has ever been quite able to let the subject go GBH, his outsourced inquiry papers on it were decommissioned, then usurped by a shifty crook... this is the human side of the man where you get to see Quixotic Syndrome as it trickles away.

 Good for him though...still finding reasons to get up in the morning speaks volumes about him after all that public humiliation. 

Up
0

Good to see somebody finally recognise this fact, trying to force NZ to be capitalist is fundamentally un-democratic.

 

Up
0

#6 Please don't take this at face value. As a professional baker I have a very open mind about the nutritional quality of highly bred wheat strains. Yet even this short quote contains a glaring scientific mistake which makes me wary of believing the whole piece.

 

The gluten protein does not exist in any flour. Wheat, spelt, rye, barley and possibly oats contain two proteins: glutenin and gliadin. In the presence of water the two proteins combine to form gluten in wheat and spelt. Gliadin is not a new protein. The simple medical test for "gluten" sensitivity tests reactions to the glutenin protein. This is why you can be gluten sensitive to rye even though gluten nevers forms in 100% rye bread.

 

One Italian study tested diagnosed coeliacs with pure sourdough bread. In almost all cases the subjects showed no coeliac reaction when challenged with just sourdough. The issue of gluten sensitivity and allergy is way more complicated than most people think. My anecdotal observation is that some of my customers go off a pure gluten free diet when they get access to sourdough wheat breads or spelt breads.

 

Having said that wheat breeding generally aims at meeting the needs of growers and processors rather than consumers so anything is possible.

Up
0

Have you got some links there Kumbel. As part of a Weston Price diet (successful in circumventing the dentist to repair my teeth) I have largely eliminated wheat. From what I have read the problem is Phytates, which are also killed off in slow fermentation or sour dough processes. Fermentation changed around the second world war with the introduction of rapid rise yeasts, which is something I am sure you know plenty about. Phytates bind up minerals that then pass through the small intestines rather than being absorbed. This probably accounts for the claims that flour simply turns to glue in the small intestine. Phytates interestingly are mainly in the bran.

 

I also have a father that is a coeliac so have an interest in gluten issues. It seems there may be some crossover with the phytate issue. I craft brew beer and my father has no problem with drinking it, even my wheat beers. Although I have received some advice that gluten intolerance symptoms can sometimes be sub clinical and I wonder how that relates to that Italian study.

Up
0

One of the links to the study (scientific papers are paywalled so I have only read the abstract) is here.

 

Haven't heard of phytates but what you say fits with my views on the subject. You are right that commercial yeast is a modern phenomenon but probably 150 years old or so. The real turning point was 1962 when the blessed Poms invented the Chorleywood Bread Process. In essence they doubled the amount of yeast used in a bread dough and fermented the dough at higher temperatures than the traditional method. This allowed bakers to cut down the processing time for making bread by over 50%. Such quick processing is a bit of a fight against nature so they had to add things like dough conditioners to allow them to divide and shape the immature dough.

 

The famous French baking academic, Professor Calvel, in his "The Taste of Bread" states that the various acids and other elements that contribute to taste in bread are only produced after an hours fermentation. In the CBP bread is already out of the oven by that time. Almost all bread in New Zealand is produced using these accelerated methods. So when I produce any bread that is fully fermented not only does it not need additives but there are probably lots of extra, beneficial acids etc that are not present in supermarket bread. You have got to assume that we are not necessarily adapted to eating bread made the modern way.

Up
0

My GF is currently on a no phytates diet in an effort to combat acne. Her problem isn't related to gluten, but to Phytates in most grains that bind to various minerals etc and retard their absorption by the body. She had tried various medical approaches, other diets etc. The only thing that has cleared up her skin has been the switch away from phytates.

You are right, phytates are reduced by fermentation. Traditionally alot of our food was fermented which destroyed the phytates, making the food more diegestable and more nutritous.  Even now, if we have a pulse, like chickpeas they are soaked for 18 hrs in luke warm water in an effort to break down the phytates.

I have not issues with bread or gluten but since she has been on her diet my intake of grains in general has dropped to almost zero. I feel much better for it. If we ever do buy bread its sourdough from a local producer.

Up
0

Thanks, scarfie and noponies. It's great to have something to hang my prejudices on :-)

 

A couple of final points before I head away to start today's bake:

 

1. The earliest evidence for processing and consumption of grains goes back to 100,000 BC so it is safe to assume that, by now, we are properly adapted to eating them

 

2. The earliest evidence of serious farming and grinding of cereal grains is around 10,000BC (on the Syrian-Turkish border) but there is no technical reason why breadmaking should not date back into the hunter-gatherer era just on a very small scale compared to later.

 

3. Occasionally you will hear people saying that cereal and bread consumption are unnatural. For the reasons given above I don't buy that.

 

4. Wild yeast cultures don't just include wild versions of yeast but also lactobacillus so sourdough breads have a lot more going on than breads made with commercial yeast.

 

This is so much more fun than the usual "world's about to end" conversations here

 

Have a good day

Up
0

Here's some discussion on that article I linked to from a NZ nutritional doctor

http://gluten-freeplanet.blogspot.co.nz/2012/09/wheat-belly-controversy…

cheers

Bernard

Up
0

Thanks, Bernard

 

Wouldn't it be wonderful if the research community around the world could be mobilised into a 'Manhattan Project' to get to the bottom of this issue. Digestion issues are impacting the quality of life for tens (hundreds?) of millions of people and there just does not seem to be any urgency in undertanding why.

 

BTW consider that, if global warming continues unabated then we are likely to see major increases in wheat production in Russia, Poland, Canada, Scandinavia (maybe China) at the expense primarily of the USA and mid or southern Europe. The shift north in Europe, Poland, Scandinavia and Russia will likely also mean a decline in rye production in those areas as wheat is way more productive. Even more white bread all round.

Up
0

Private equity swooping on foreclosed US homes, the WSJ reports.

Blackstone Group LP has become the biggest U.S. investor in single-family rental homes by spending more than $1 billion since the start of 2012 to acquire more than 6,500 foreclosed houses in eight metropolitan areas, according to people briefed by Blackstone.

The firm also is finalizing a loan for at least $300 million from Deutsche Bank to support this business, these people said.

Numerous private-equity firms have crowded into the business, some as early as last year, looking for a way to bet on the recovery of the housing market. Blackstone's growing commitment to this strategy offers fresh evidence that ..

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100008723963904437688045780348216589019…

Up
0

#8. heck if our currency dropped %40in a month you would all be running around celebrating, not rioting, that would come some months later.

Up
0

Not if we wer'nt moving enough product at the same time A.J.

Up
0

And the %69 inflation is a bit of a bummer

 I estimate that Iran’s monthly inflation rate has reached 69.6%. With a monthly inflation rate this high (over 50%), Iran is undoubtedly experiencing hyperinflation.

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-03/guest-post-hyperinflation-has-…

Up
0

Christchurch's truly unique heritage getting bulldozed for absolutely no gain.

 

http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/christchurch-earthquake-2011/7766…

 

This is absolutely outrageous that Category 1 heritage buildings are crunched in this way.  This building was an icon of Christchurch for tourists.  The loss to the economy from this kind of destruction can not be measured in today's dollars but will be felt for generations.

 

Such short sighted destruction benefits no one.  It had had over $1m spent to make the building safe since Feb 22.  CERA instead are going in with bulldozers blazing.

 

The bunch of lunatics in charge need to be sacked.

 

Would they do this to a Maori pa?? I think not.

Up
0

Outlook for Tehran, 3000 degrees and cloudy. Could happen if the yids struck their nuc plants and started a chain reaction. Take your factor 5000 sun screen and watch out for dodgy mushrooms.

Great result for Romney last night, shows how much the tele prompter is worth to the POTUS. He is naked without it! It is clear his economic policy is dreadful as he had no answers.

Up
0

Re #7 Portugal Austerity.

Bernard, why is austerity "madness"? The Portuguese government seems to think it needs to pay its bills. This is fiscal responsibility. They are making an effort to turn back years of irresponsible borrowing and spending. This sounds reasonable to me, certainly not the work of madmen.

What I would call "madness" is the Keynesian way, which is what got them into trouble in the first place. I hope that Key and English try some serious austerity to save us from the fate of the PIIGS, but on present performance I would say they are too timid to do much good.

Up
0

Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

Albert Einstein

Since the PIIGS are all running severe Austerity programs, how many years before they have recovered? is it 2015, 2020, 2030, never?

 

 

Up
0

never....

regards

Up
0

Hey Stevo....Obama not doing himself any favours is he, looked like he might have popped a prozac before the debate.......honestly mate , doesn't look like he really wants it.

Mutton head's little sesh  has given him a lift , or more a case of what I suspect will be a lowered Democrat turnout......I mean he only needs 28% of the actual vote because the other 47% will be down at the dole office filling out new applications....wont they..?

Up
0

I think Obama went into that debate expecting to lose it. I think the strategy for him was to tie Mitt to some policy, what you can expect to happen now is that the democratic media will be explaining in great detail how Mitt has revised his policy choices from about a month ago, when he was running for the Republican nomination. They will also be explaining/spinning/ripping into any policy documents Mitt has released. If that works then he will already have the points scored for the next debate, just needs to deliver the necessary one liners and the public will understand the point he is about to make.

Unfortunately getting his point across during the debate would have been rather difficult, or impossible. Thats why he kept goading Romney to actually suggest an alternative in addition to whatever he was against.

 

Up
0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dkrwUU_YApE&feature=g-logo-xit

I have not had a chance to watch/listen this yet...this evening I expect.

Some write ups suggest Romney did un-expectedly well.

Lets face it maybe Obama doesnt...

regards

 

 

 

Up
0

Austerity? OMG, you can see the mess that makes right from the 1930s to today in the UK, Greece spain etc.  There is enough real world evidence its a disaterious tactic let alone the fact that there is sound economic theory behind why.

NB There is a difference between household spending and Govn/economic spending, which it seems you cannot grasp.

Keynes has been out of favour since the 1970s when quasi-keynes f*cked up....this time its the turn of the neo-cons to make a similar if not worse mess of "economics".

Both were not real economics but voodoo political rubbish.

JK etc timid, yeah sure petrified that they will cause a Depression and with good reason....which is fortunate for us.  Waybe if you looked at how our GDP has not tanked in the last 4 years v everyone who's gone belt tightening.  Also look at our un-employemnt stats...v say the USA, which by real accounts is around 3 times worse.

regards

 

Up
0

#6 Easy to say with a full stomach isn't it?

Up
0

So you are all for adding opiates to food to make you eat more?  Like ppl with full stomachs need that right?

GM, well sure you can have an over-filled stomach if you can afford to pay....

As far as GM goes the only reason GM crops produce more per acre is the fertilizers and pesticides, if you cant afford to use those in the right quantities despite the cost fine, otherwise the output usually falls dramatically.  Not to mention suicide seeds, if that gene ever gets out into the wild we are screwed....big time. Or the high costs these GM crap demands because of monopolistic practices employed by Monsato etc...

regards

Up
0

Who was the brightspark suggesting NZ follow the French on economic matters!....was it not one of Shearer's front seat mob.

"the French economy has started to implode.........Looking for who or what to blame? Look no further than inane work rules and regulations made worse by the socialist government of president François Hollande"

Read more at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.co.nz/2012/10/french-economy-implodes.html#JYOB71BqDOqqZJCm.99

Up
0

Wolly, the EU economies were already in a bad way....Hollande has been in power to short a time to matter.  What matters is the global financial ponzi scheme, Mish is really just banging a political drum, he just forgets the US true un-employemnt rate is over 15%...and that fallout hasnt finished yet.  Or the US state debt is as bad as the EU debt, california is a mess....its GDP is bigger than many countries...

Whats stopping americans starving or rioting? socialist food stamps and extended un-employment benefit.

Really it strikes me that the right whingers seem to be crawling out of the woodwork looking to blame someone else as the economics model they said would work implodes around us.

regards

 

Up
0

Where we are heading...fast...a "sort of a rogues’ gallery of debtors".
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9581682/PIMCO-America-could-resemble-Greece-before-2020.html

Up
0

Steven, your view that austerity from the 1930s till today has got us into a mess is a most unusual view. Keynesian economics has reigned supreme over all of that time, and as a result you would be hard pressed to find any government in the world that has not run up large deficits as they have embarked on a spending spree that has got faster and faster. If this has been the era of austerity, as you say, the mind boggles at what you think the ideal level of government spending should be.

Your comment :-"NB There is a difference between household spending and Govn/economic spending, which it seems you cannot grasp."  is instructive. I first came across this view when a PhD in economics told my business partner that the rules concerning personal finance and business finance do not apply to government finance. This is why the average bloke is amazed at the govt view that you can spend your way out of recession, but the economists say "trust us, we know what we are doing because we are very clever university-trained economists". Well, as the train-crash proceeds, we will be able to see just how clever they really are.

Up
0

#5 - Alex and Russell Norman get it, but not Don Brash, Bruce Wills, Matthew Hooton and the others they have much in common with:

 

http://www.interest.co.nz/currencies/61380/labours-parker-monetary-policy-says-rbnz-should-consider-nz-employment-growth-infla#comment-708497
Up
0