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A new poll shows even the Government's own supporters have mixed feelings about its economic reforms and efforts to cut spending

Public Policy / news
A new poll shows even the Government's own supporters have mixed feelings about its economic reforms and efforts to cut spending
National Party leader Christopher Luxon gives a speech
National Party leader Christopher Luxon pitched his policies as a way to get the economy "back on track".

A plurality of National and New Zealand First voters say the Coalition Government is doing a poor job of reducing household costs, a Taxpayers’ Union–Curia poll shows.

The survey, released Tuesday, found a net negative rating for the Government across five areas of economic management, with even party supporters unconvinced on some measures.

Only 30% of the National Party’s own voters rated its performance on household costs as good, while 31% said it had done a poor job and 35% were unsure.

Among NZ First supporters, 48% said the Coalition had done a poor job and just 20% backed its record on costs.

The high cost of living has been voters’ top concern since before the election, and the Government appears to be struggling to persuade even its own base that it is addressing the issue.

Only Act Party voters rated the Government well, with 42% in support and 15% saying it was doing a poor job — another 37% were neutral.

More than 80% of opposition supporters said it had performed poorly, pushing the Coalition’s rating on the issue down to a net -39%, with negative views easily outweighing positive ones.

Job creation was another weak spot. A net 33% of respondents said the Government had done a poor job of creating jobs (unemployment rose to 5.2% in the June quarter).

Even National supporters were split, with 32% saying it was doing well on jobs and 28% saying it was doing poorly.

Just 16% of NZ First voters said the Government had done a good job creating employment, compared with 48% who said it had done badly. Act Party voters were most positive, with only 17% saying it was doing poorly on jobs.

Around 70% of governing party supporters said the Coalition was doing a good job of growing the economy. But a similar share of opposition supporters said it was doing poorly, leaving an overall net score of -3%.

More or less? 

The Taxpayers’ Union–Curia poll also asked about reducing wasteful spending and returning the Crown accounts to surplus. These measures are subjective, as voters will have different views on what good or poor performance means.

For example, 54% of Labour voters and 19% of Act voters both said the Government had done a poor job of managing the Crown accounts — likely for opposite reasons.

NZ First voters were evenly split on the Government’s efforts to reduce waste, though the poll did not show whether they wanted more or fewer cuts. A plurality of Act voters were unsure, while most National voters said it had done a good job.

Overall, the Coalition recorded a net -1% rating for managing the Crown accounts and -4% for reducing wasteful spending.

Women had a more negative view of the Government than men. Only 26% of women said it was doing a good job of growing the economy, compared with 42% of men.

Two-thirds of women — often responsible for household budgets — said it was doing a poor job of reducing costs, compared with 47% of men.

Older people were more positive about the Coalition’s performance than younger people across all five metrics, with only job creation and cost reductions in net negative territory.

Auckland and Wellington gave the most negative assessments of economic growth, while small towns and rural areas were net positive.

James Ross, a Taxpayers' Union spokesperson, said this was a failing grade for the Government which had not been bold enough on economic or spending reforms. 

“Poll after poll show the cost of living and the economy are top of voters’ minds. These results suggest they are losing faith in the Government’s economic management. With the Coalition’s numbers on a knife-edge, the link is clear,” he said. 

The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research. It surveyed a random sample of 1,000 adults, weighted to the overall adult population. Interviews were conducted by phone and online between 3 and 5 August 2025. The maximum margin of error is 3.1%.

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8 Comments

But they're hitting the KPIs they set for themselves! 

The KPIs! 

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100 things in 100days...  now we want only 1

FIX THE ECONOMY

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Google Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen. The graphic - a box within a circle - is why they're in trouble. Doesn't matter which Party is in the hot seat - physics trumps economics. 

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The only way to improve the cost of living is to take GST off food. Its not a policy I personally like, and we will just end up paying for it in a different way, but to the average person it will feel like it makes a proper difference, and NZ will no longer be more expensive for food than AU and GB. 

Also the RONs will help too, as petrol will become very cheap at the pump. Again you just end up paying for it a different way, but people are pretty fixated on the price at the checkout and the price at the pump. 

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Taking gst off food would be a windfall gain to supermarkets - and not impact household prices.   Two problems: 1. food will get bid up to the price of its competition (eg coffee out vs wine out) which just means supermarkets will sell for largely the same price but keep the difference; 2. How do you claim back the gst on the truck that bought food and soap powder; and how do you differentiate between packaging of food and food (canned mushrooms vs fresh mushrooms)

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1: I don't agree it will be a windfall to supermarkets, I think the vast majority will be passed on. 

2: There is no VAT on supermarket food in the UK, and no GST on basic food items in AU. So it must be possible. 

Agree it is not my preferred solution, but if people are leaving NZ for places that seem cheaper because they don't charge GST on food, then don't we have to do something?  

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False hope there. It's akin to when you could get duty free pouches of tobacco for peanuts back when it was the thing. Everyone who went overseas would buy the limit, then sell them on to their smoker mates at $4-5 less than in the shops. Your mate would say "but you got it so cheap, that's stupid to only give me a little discount!" for which you'd always reply "no worries then, back tot he shop for you". The sale always proceeded the exchange.

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The high cost of living has been voters’ top concern since before the election, and the Government appears to be struggling to persuade even its own base that it is addressing the issue.

And what did they do last week? Announce a new road user system which on average will cost road users more. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot. Who's idea was it to bring that out into the open in the face of waning popularity and an election in the not too distant future. 🤔 

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