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‘Not simply a matter of publishing the existing CPI more often’: Statistics New Zealand to release monthly CPI inflation data from July 2027

Public Policy / news
‘Not simply a matter of publishing the existing CPI more often’: Statistics New Zealand to release monthly CPI inflation data from July 2027
[updated]
A composite image of grid paper overlayed with a dot plot, percentage icons, New Zealand coins and a basket of groceries.
A composite image of grid paper overlayed with a dot plot, percentage icons, New Zealand coins and a basket of groceries. Composite image source: Unsplash, 123rf.com and interest.co.nz

Statistics New Zealand will start publishing monthly Consumers Price Index (CPI) inflation data from July next year.

Currently, NZ is the only OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) country without a monthly CPI. The CPI only being reported quarterly has long frustrated Reserve Bank policymakers seeking the most up-to-date data for their monetary policy decisions. The Reserve Bank uses the CPI as the official measure of inflation in its inflation targeting.

The move to bolster its statistics reporting comes after the data agency received a funding boost from Budget 2025 to produce more economist statistic reporting. Alongside monthly inflation data, from late 2027, Statistics NZ will provide 25 new monthly industry indicators on economic activity as well as improvements to balance of payment statistics.

Speaking to interest.co.nz, Statistics NZ general manager of macroeconomics, Jason Attewell, said the data agency published nearly 600 price indexes as part of the quarterly CPI right now and these would be available monthly next year. 

Statistics NZ would continue to produce the CPI quarterly, Attewell said, with the monthly CPI "at the same level of detail."

Next June Statistics NZ will release a transitional report covering price changes in May. And from July, it will publish the first official release covering the June month and the June quarter, completing the first quarter of the monthly CPI under the new system. 

From August 2027 onwards, Statistics NZ will release ongoing monthly CPI releases. 

Asked whether he was confident about the timeline, Attewell said while it was a lot of work, they had some strong partnerships and had the support of the Australian Bureau of Statistics, which started producing a monthly CPI in November last year. 

"We work really closely with them at all levels of governance, so that they can share their experience."

In terms of the transitional reports in May and June, Attewell said it was about making sure users of the data were ready for the changes. 

"We know that people will need to update their forecasting models. They'll want to understand what the new parts of the monthly CPI look like so they they can get a feel for it."

"We're using the word 'transition' deliberately to highlight that it's about the work we have to do ... all the news systems and technology but it's also about making sure our customers are ready and we've done all the statistical quality assurance so that by the time we put it out, people can trust that is it good quality data," Attewell said.

Statistics NZ said the reports would include data produced through the new monthly process, along with monthly figures for the previous year so users can compare how prices have changed over time. 

Users would be able to test how the data works with their systems, how they access it, and how to interpret and use monthly price movements, the data agency said.

Government Statistician and Statistics NZ chief executive Colin Lynch said moving from quarterly to monthly information would provide a more timely view of price changes across the economy. 

He said it wasn't simply a matter of publishing the existing CPI more often. Statistics NZ had taken a digital-first approach and was changing how price information is collected, processed, checked and published so they could produce reliable information every month.

“CPI is closely watched and widely used, so maintaining the quality of the data and the trust people place in it is fundamental to how we are making this change,” Lynch said.

"The CPI is used to inform decisions that affect all New Zealanders, from interest rates and government policy to business planning, contracts, and household finances.”

“Providing a monthly CPI from 2027 represents a major change to one of New Zealand’s most important economic measures, so it is essential this is done with quality and trust at its heart," said Lynch.

A spokesperson for the Reserve Bank said more frequent inflation data would provide “a more timely read on price developments and complement the broad range of information we use to assess economic conditions.”

“It will improve the availability of information for all users of inflation data and bring New Zealand into closer alignment with other advanced economies," the Reserve Bank spokesperson said.

Statistics Minister Scott Simpson said these changes mean “better-informed household, business and government decisions.”

“The transition to monthly CPI data puts quality, trust and readiness first, while giving users advance access to the information they have asked for.”

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2 Comments

"We're using the word 'transition' deliberately to highlight that it's about the work we have to do ... all the news systems and technology but it's also about making sure our customers are ready and we've done all the statistical quality assurance so that by the time we put it out, people can trust that is it good quality data," 

Part of the tardiness is Gliding On syndrome and gatekeeping. Appalling that this siloed mindset exists in the public sector.  

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Either Stats NZ is incompetent of under-resourced. Aside from CPI data Stats NZ data is pretty poor compared with other countries, including shipping data. Stats NZ still measures in tonnes not in TEU.

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