Economy

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has cleared French company Lactalis to buy Fonterra's up-for-sale consumer business

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has cleared French company Lactalis to buy Fonterra's up-for-sale consumer business

The country's largest bank says overall spending is probably flat in the past year after inflation, but it is starting to recover, slowly

The country's largest bank says overall spending is probably flat in the past year after inflation, but it is starting to recover, slowly

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

BNZ's chief economist Mike Jones finds a mid-year economic wobble with no respite for the retail sector. With inflation's outlook uncertain and no rate cut expected this week, future rate cuts are still likely

BNZ's chief economist Mike Jones finds a mid-year economic wobble with no respite for the retail sector. With inflation's outlook uncertain and no rate cut expected this week, future rate cuts are still likely

As the economy stumbles, it is vital that reporting on what is happening stays comprehensive, open and free. We need our Supporters now more than ever. If you can support us you can go ad-free too

As the economy stumbles, it is vital that reporting on what is happening stays comprehensive, open and free. We need our Supporters now more than ever. If you can support us you can go ad-free too

Monthly filled jobs data shows a slight rise in May, but figures for the previous two months have been revised down; the primary sector is a ray of sunshine in a gloomy labour market

Monthly filled jobs data shows a slight rise in May, but figures for the previous two months have been revised down; the primary sector is a ray of sunshine in a gloomy labour market

Roger J Kerr says the erratic Trump directly interfering in the workings of the independent Federal Reserve was just another reason for foreign investors to further reduce their confidence in the US Government and the US economy

Roger J Kerr says the erratic Trump directly interfering in the workings of the independent Federal Reserve was just another reason for foreign investors to further reduce their confidence in the US Government and the US economy

Forsyth Barr's conducted what it believes to be NZ's largest business survey and says it paints a clear picture of businesses seeing improvement in demand and expecting the year ahead to be better than the past one

Forsyth Barr's conducted what it believes to be NZ's largest business survey and says it paints a clear picture of businesses seeing improvement in demand and expecting the year ahead to be better than the past one

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

Roger J Kerr suggests the US Fed should be providing alternative scenarios to the markets, with likely monetary responses to each scenario

Roger J Kerr suggests the US Fed should be providing alternative scenarios to the markets, with likely monetary responses to each scenario

Roger J Kerr says the lack of buying interest in the US dollar on the Middle East shock underscores just how much the attitude and sentiment of investors has changed over the last six months since Trump came to power and upended the world order

Roger J Kerr says the lack of buying interest in the US dollar on the Middle East shock underscores just how much the attitude and sentiment of investors has changed over the last six months since Trump came to power and upended the world order

Roger J Kerr says the US is now seriously lagging behind in monetary easing cycles

Roger J Kerr says the US is now seriously lagging behind in monetary easing cycles

BNZ economists note Fonterra's new season milk price forecast has the widest range ever, reflecting 'considerable uncertainty around the outlook'

BNZ economists note Fonterra's new season milk price forecast has the widest range ever, reflecting 'considerable uncertainty around the outlook'