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Economy

As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand
24th Feb 24, 9:50am
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As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand
Our national airline says it is 'leaning into the reality of a worsening revenue and cost environment'
22nd Feb 24, 9:34am
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Our national airline says it is 'leaning into the reality of a worsening revenue and cost environment'
The National-led government has been left with a right royal migration mess to clean up. But what happens after the immediate salvage job?
21st Feb 24, 3:49pm
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The National-led government has been left with a right royal migration mess to clean up. But what happens after the immediate salvage job?
Our national airline announces profit guidance suggesting the second half of the current financial year is proving to be a very bumpy one
19th Feb 24, 11:49am
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Our national airline announces profit guidance suggesting the second half of the current financial year is proving to be a very bumpy one
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar does appear to have more opportunity for upside over coming weeks and break above the temporary shackle at 0.6150
19th Feb 24, 8:05am
2
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar does appear to have more opportunity for upside over coming weeks and break above the temporary shackle at 0.6150
Shane Jones says weaponisation of Maori culture, unelected judges and irrational politicians are blocking essential development
15th Feb 24, 11:23am
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Shane Jones says weaponisation of Maori culture, unelected judges and irrational politicians are blocking essential development
Dairy co-operative Fonterra raises its milk price for farmers by an implied 30 cents to $7.80 per kilogram of milk solids - meaning the early season slump in prices has been almost completely reversed
12th Feb 24, 9:13am
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Dairy co-operative Fonterra raises its milk price for farmers by an implied 30 cents to $7.80 per kilogram of milk solids - meaning the early season slump in prices has been almost completely reversed
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ, it appears, are now belatedly recognising the difficulty in reducing the sticky/wage-push domestic inflation that has been running close to 4.00% for many years
12th Feb 24, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ, it appears, are now belatedly recognising the difficulty in reducing the sticky/wage-push domestic inflation that has been running close to 4.00% for many years
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
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With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
Westpac economists react to the latest dairy prices surge by raising their forecast for the milk price to $7.90 - which is close to the top end of Fonterra's forecast guidance range to farmers
7th Feb 24, 2:11pm
Westpac economists react to the latest dairy prices surge by raising their forecast for the milk price to $7.90 - which is close to the top end of Fonterra's forecast guidance range to farmers
Roger J Kerr says the view and outlook that the US dollar will weaken against all currencies this year is now under some scrutiny and pressure
5th Feb 24, 8:02am
4
Roger J Kerr says the view and outlook that the US dollar will weaken against all currencies this year is now under some scrutiny and pressure
Treasury releases its briefing to incoming ministers but with minimal information or policy advice
1st Feb 24, 3:59pm
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Treasury releases its briefing to incoming ministers but with minimal information or policy advice
Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
1st Feb 24, 11:16am
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Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
29th Jan 24, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
22nd Jan 24, 1:53pm
by Guest
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Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
22nd Jan 24, 7:55am
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Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 2.0% in December
17th Jan 24, 12:23pm
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Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 2.0% in December
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
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Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
8th Jan 24, 8:51am
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Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
18th Dec 23, 8:23am
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Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
The Reserve Bank finds itself stuck in the middle of still-high inflation and an economy that is buckling under far more quickly than had been believed
14th Dec 23, 2:38pm
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The Reserve Bank finds itself stuck in the middle of still-high inflation and an economy that is buckling under far more quickly than had been believed
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
11th Dec 23, 11:10am
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
11th Dec 23, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
David Hargreaves has a look at the forthcoming GDP figures - the last major economic data release for the year. As far as GDP goes - resilience is the word
10th Dec 23, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves has a look at the forthcoming GDP figures - the last major economic data release for the year. As far as GDP goes - resilience is the word
Dairy giant Fonterra is now effectively forecasting a $7.50 per kilogram of milk solids price for its farmer suppliers - up 25c on its previous forecast, while its earnings forecast has been increased by an effective 5c a share
7th Dec 23, 9:10am
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Dairy giant Fonterra is now effectively forecasting a $7.50 per kilogram of milk solids price for its farmer suppliers - up 25c on its previous forecast, while its earnings forecast has been increased by an effective 5c a share