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Economy

Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
17th Jan 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
10th Jan 22, 8:52am
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In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
Treasury has announced it's having a major review of its macroeconomic policy framework. Brian Easton sees 'old framework' approaches hampering that review
20th Dec 21, 9:55am
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Treasury has announced it's having a major review of its macroeconomic policy framework. Brian Easton sees 'old framework' approaches hampering that review
In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
20th Dec 21, 8:40am
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In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
Forsyth Barr research analysts see 'elevated' downside risks to the housing market and more generally see continuation of supply chain woes and inflation and they will be watching out for a few stretched company balance sheets
16th Dec 21, 3:05pm
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Forsyth Barr research analysts see 'elevated' downside risks to the housing market and more generally see continuation of supply chain woes and inflation and they will be watching out for a few stretched company balance sheets
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
16th Dec 21, 11:00am
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Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
Budget 2022 to be a whopper, with Grant Robertson saying he'll allocate a record sum to support the Government's health reforms
15th Dec 21, 1:02pm
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Budget 2022 to be a whopper, with Grant Robertson saying he'll allocate a record sum to support the Government's health reforms
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
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ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
14th Dec 21, 2:52pm
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David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
14th Dec 21, 9:57am
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Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
John Shewan says it is 'disappointing' the shareholders fund's argument that it should be bought back by Fonterra has not been accepted and he says buying the fund back would be a logical and timely solution
13th Dec 21, 2:10pm
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John Shewan says it is 'disappointing' the shareholders fund's argument that it should be bought back by Fonterra has not been accepted and he says buying the fund back would be a logical and timely solution
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
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This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
13th Dec 21, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
Kiwibank's economists say their 2022 outlook is one of cautious optimism, strong inflation and rising wages
12th Dec 21, 6:00am
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Kiwibank's economists say their 2022 outlook is one of cautious optimism, strong inflation and rising wages
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
9th Dec 21, 10:03am
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David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
Westpac economists are now forecasting a 'windfall' for farmers and pick the Kiwi dollar will get down as low as US66c next year
8th Dec 21, 2:06pm
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Westpac economists are now forecasting a 'windfall' for farmers and pick the Kiwi dollar will get down as low as US66c next year
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
7th Dec 21, 9:30am
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The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
6th Dec 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
1st Dec 21, 1:49pm
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Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
The Government says its $37.5 mln package for Auckland will 'help revive economic, social and cultural activities in our largest city over summer, and ensure those in hardship also get relief'
1st Dec 21, 11:00am
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The Government says its $37.5 mln package for Auckland will 'help revive economic, social and cultural activities in our largest city over summer, and ensure those in hardship also get relief'
Large parts of central and upper North Island to move to Red setting in traffic light system on Friday; New one-off support payment available to businesses as Wage Subsidy ends
29th Nov 21, 4:14pm
Large parts of central and upper North Island to move to Red setting in traffic light system on Friday; New one-off support payment available to businesses as Wage Subsidy ends
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
29th Nov 21, 11:49am
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Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
Economist Brian Easton examines the evolution of our Covid policy looking through a war lens
29th Nov 21, 9:04am
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Economist Brian Easton examines the evolution of our Covid policy looking through a war lens
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
29th Nov 21, 8:21am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock
22nd Nov 21, 2:12pm
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BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock