22nd Jul 21, 3:07pm
The expected time lag between when New Zealand begins hiking official interest rates and when Australia does is set to be the longest lag in over 20 years, ANZ economists say
The expected time lag between when New Zealand begins hiking official interest rates and when Australia does is set to be the longest lag in over 20 years, ANZ economists say
[Updated]
20th Jul 21, 2:09pm
BNZ economists raise the possibility that the Reserve Bank might hike the Official Cash Rate by half a percentage point in one go - something that last happened over 21 years ago
[Updated]
BNZ economists raise the possibility that the Reserve Bank might hike the Official Cash Rate by half a percentage point in one go - something that last happened over 21 years ago
18th Jul 21, 6:01am
David Hargreaves has for some time been fretting over our 30% house price inflation bender. The events of the past week have not made him feel any better
David Hargreaves has for some time been fretting over our 30% house price inflation bender. The events of the past week have not made him feel any better
14th Jul 21, 4:08pm
The Reserve Bank has swapped its dove clothes for hawkish attire - while we will all now be watching economic data like hawks over the next few weeks to see if the RBNZ is likely to kick off Official Cash Rate hikes as soon as August
The Reserve Bank has swapped its dove clothes for hawkish attire - while we will all now be watching economic data like hawks over the next few weeks to see if the RBNZ is likely to kick off Official Cash Rate hikes as soon as August
12th Jul 21, 12:21pm
Experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' are looking for signals from the Reserve Bank about ending its bond buying programme - as well as when interest rates may be raised
Experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' are looking for signals from the Reserve Bank about ending its bond buying programme - as well as when interest rates may be raised
11th Jul 21, 6:01am
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
26th Jun 21, 8:46am
Alison Brook takes a look at what's going on with inflation. Is its rise being driven by transitory factors, or is there more to it?
Alison Brook takes a look at what's going on with inflation. Is its rise being driven by transitory factors, or is there more to it?
15th Jun 21, 2:40pm
David Hargreaves looks to the second half of the year and beyond with a mixture of hope and trepidation
David Hargreaves looks to the second half of the year and beyond with a mixture of hope and trepidation
10th Jun 21, 11:27am
BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
22nd Feb 21, 4:01pm
Former RBNZ chairman Arthur Grimes says the Reserve Bank should tighten monetary policy gradually and continue this tightening till house prices return to 'a much more affordable level'
Former RBNZ chairman Arthur Grimes says the Reserve Bank should tighten monetary policy gradually and continue this tightening till house prices return to 'a much more affordable level'
11th Feb 21, 1:47pm
Mercer's David Scobie examines the 'confounding' strong investment returns made in the past year
Mercer's David Scobie examines the 'confounding' strong investment returns made in the past year
[Updated]
23rd Oct 20, 11:11am
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
[Updated]
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
10th Jun 20, 7:50am
David Hargreaves says while it would be lovely to simply bin this year and move straight on to 2021, we may be able to somewhat salvage matters in the second half of 2020
David Hargreaves says while it would be lovely to simply bin this year and move straight on to 2021, we may be able to somewhat salvage matters in the second half of 2020
20th May 20, 3:39pm
Participants in the Reserve Bank's household expectations survey are forecasting inflation of 3.2% over the next year, while over half of them are worried about losing their jobs
Participants in the Reserve Bank's household expectations survey are forecasting inflation of 3.2% over the next year, while over half of them are worried about losing their jobs
2nd Apr 20, 1:57pm
Mercer's David Scobie says alongside being a human tragedy, March 2020 was one of the worst months for asset prices in modern history
Mercer's David Scobie says alongside being a human tragedy, March 2020 was one of the worst months for asset prices in modern history
18th Feb 20, 9:52am
Mercer's David Scobie says share markets across the world were buoyant in the past year and New Zealand equities topped the table with an exceptional 32% return
Mercer's David Scobie says share markets across the world were buoyant in the past year and New Zealand equities topped the table with an exceptional 32% return
[Updated]
12th Feb 20, 2:09pm
Reserve Bank is indicating that it has now done with any further interest rate cuts unless the impacts of coronavirus prove more long lasting than it currently anticipates; dollar and swap rates up
[Updated]
Reserve Bank is indicating that it has now done with any further interest rate cuts unless the impacts of coronavirus prove more long lasting than it currently anticipates; dollar and swap rates up
21st Jan 20, 11:45am
ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
15th Jan 20, 11:10am
David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
17th Dec 19, 8:11am
David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
12th Dec 19, 2:42pm
David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
10th Dec 19, 10:23am
David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
5th Dec 19, 2:43pm
ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
5th Dec 19, 1:22pm
ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
2nd Dec 19, 10:23am
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
