[Updated]
23rd Oct 20, 11:11am
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
[Updated]
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
10th Jun 20, 7:50am
David Hargreaves says while it would be lovely to simply bin this year and move straight on to 2021, we may be able to somewhat salvage matters in the second half of 2020
David Hargreaves says while it would be lovely to simply bin this year and move straight on to 2021, we may be able to somewhat salvage matters in the second half of 2020
20th May 20, 3:39pm
Participants in the Reserve Bank's household expectations survey are forecasting inflation of 3.2% over the next year, while over half of them are worried about losing their jobs
Participants in the Reserve Bank's household expectations survey are forecasting inflation of 3.2% over the next year, while over half of them are worried about losing their jobs
2nd Apr 20, 1:57pm
Mercer's David Scobie says alongside being a human tragedy, March 2020 was one of the worst months for asset prices in modern history
Mercer's David Scobie says alongside being a human tragedy, March 2020 was one of the worst months for asset prices in modern history
18th Feb 20, 9:52am
Mercer's David Scobie says share markets across the world were buoyant in the past year and New Zealand equities topped the table with an exceptional 32% return
Mercer's David Scobie says share markets across the world were buoyant in the past year and New Zealand equities topped the table with an exceptional 32% return
[Updated]
12th Feb 20, 2:09pm
Reserve Bank is indicating that it has now done with any further interest rate cuts unless the impacts of coronavirus prove more long lasting than it currently anticipates; dollar and swap rates up
[Updated]
Reserve Bank is indicating that it has now done with any further interest rate cuts unless the impacts of coronavirus prove more long lasting than it currently anticipates; dollar and swap rates up
21st Jan 20, 11:45am
ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
15th Jan 20, 11:10am
David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
17th Dec 19, 8:11am
David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
12th Dec 19, 2:42pm
David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
10th Dec 19, 10:23am
David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
5th Dec 19, 2:43pm
ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
5th Dec 19, 1:22pm
ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
2nd Dec 19, 10:23am
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
28th Nov 19, 3:48pm
ASB economists now say they expect just one more cut to the Official Cash Rate, in May next year; see some 'material upside risk' to GDP growth forecasts
ASB economists now say they expect just one more cut to the Official Cash Rate, in May next year; see some 'material upside risk' to GDP growth forecasts
17th Nov 19, 6:02am
This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
13th Nov 19, 2:07pm
Reserve Bank says economic developments since its August Monetary Policy Statement do not warrant a change to the already stimulatory monetary setting at this time; dollar rises, wholesale interest rates shoot up
Reserve Bank says economic developments since its August Monetary Policy Statement do not warrant a change to the already stimulatory monetary setting at this time; dollar rises, wholesale interest rates shoot up
11th Nov 19, 11:28am
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
4th Nov 19, 1:42pm
ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
29th Oct 19, 3:00pm
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
9th Oct 19, 3:29pm
International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
6th Oct 19, 4:46am
David Hargreaves says with an Official Cash Rate that could well be as low as 0.5% by Christmas, it is not too hard to imagine an OCR with a minus sign in front of it by later next year
David Hargreaves says with an Official Cash Rate that could well be as low as 0.5% by Christmas, it is not too hard to imagine an OCR with a minus sign in front of it by later next year
[Updated]
25th Sep 19, 2:07pm
Reserve Bank makes no change to Official Cash Rate but says it still has scope to provide further stimulus in future if that's needed
[Updated]
Reserve Bank makes no change to Official Cash Rate but says it still has scope to provide further stimulus in future if that's needed
23rd Sep 19, 11:30am
The Official Cash Rate will most probably be kept at 1% this week after last month's shock double cut - but under the current RBNZ regime, nothing should be ruled out
The Official Cash Rate will most probably be kept at 1% this week after last month's shock double cut - but under the current RBNZ regime, nothing should be ruled out
1st Sep 19, 6:02am
David Hargreaves takes liberties with metaphors as he ponders the uphill task RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has as he tries to get New Zealand spending and investing
David Hargreaves takes liberties with metaphors as he ponders the uphill task RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has as he tries to get New Zealand spending and investing
