About
Stephen Roach
Latest articles
Stephen Roach warns that fear has drive US policymakers to level a litany of unsubstantiated charges against China
21
Stephen Roach warns that fear has drive US policymakers to level a litany of unsubstantiated charges against China
Stephen Roach worries that irrational Sinophobia has become America's new bipartisan political orthodoxy
5
Stephen Roach worries that irrational Sinophobia has become America's new bipartisan political orthodoxy
Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm
47
Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm
Stephen Roach explains why the US and Chinese presidents managed to make progress on the key issues they did in San Francisco
1
Stephen Roach explains why the US and Chinese presidents managed to make progress on the key issues they did in San Francisco
Stephen Roach proposes three objectives to pursue at a possible meeting between the Chinese and US presidents in November
4
Stephen Roach proposes three objectives to pursue at a possible meeting between the Chinese and US presidents in November
Stephen Roach warns that short-termism will never be enough to offset the long-term benefits of strategic thinking
7
Stephen Roach warns that short-termism will never be enough to offset the long-term benefits of strategic thinking
Stephen Roach argues that the Chinese government's muted stimulus is an attempt to wean itself off debt-intensive economic growth
6
Stephen Roach argues that the Chinese government's muted stimulus is an attempt to wean itself off debt-intensive economic growth
Stephen Roach warns that targeted bilateral actions will not resolve, and could worsen, America's outsize trade deficit
1
Stephen Roach warns that targeted bilateral actions will not resolve, and could worsen, America's outsize trade deficit
Stephen Roach warns that relying on a personalised approach to diplomacy will undermine efforts at conflict resolution
3
Stephen Roach warns that relying on a personalised approach to diplomacy will undermine efforts at conflict resolution
Stephen Roach thinks China is poorly positioned to capitalise on recent advances with large language AI models
7
Stephen Roach thinks China is poorly positioned to capitalise on recent advances with large language AI models
Stephen Roach says the economic interests of saving-short America are tightly aligned with its outsize imbalances of trade and capital flows
8
Stephen Roach says the economic interests of saving-short America are tightly aligned with its outsize imbalances of trade and capital flows
Stephen Roach thinks America's latest financial trouble will reinforce China's narrative of terminal national decline
37
Stephen Roach thinks America's latest financial trouble will reinforce China's narrative of terminal national decline
Stephen Roach compares current geopolitical conditions in Europe and Asia to the run-up to World War I
51
Stephen Roach compares current geopolitical conditions in Europe and Asia to the run-up to World War I
Stephen Roach used to tout the world's greatest growth story in China - until the political economy of autocracy spoiled the plot
17
Stephen Roach used to tout the world's greatest growth story in China - until the political economy of autocracy spoiled the plot
Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
2
Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
21
Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
18
Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
5
Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
10
Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong
10
Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
10
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
6
Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
Stephen Roach et al. call on China's leaders to leverage their partnership with Russia to stand up for peace in Ukraine
12
Stephen Roach et al. call on China's leaders to leverage their partnership with Russia to stand up for peace in Ukraine
Stephen Roach proposes three ways Chinese policymakers can take the lead in restoring peace and stability
29
Stephen Roach proposes three ways Chinese policymakers can take the lead in restoring peace and stability
Stephen Roach thinks China's President Xi Jinping will need to revisit the cooperation agreement he forged with Vladimir Putin
31
Stephen Roach thinks China's President Xi Jinping will need to revisit the cooperation agreement he forged with Vladimir Putin