5th Aug 21, 7:54am
US Treasuries whipsawed by mixed US data and upbeat comments from Fed vice-chair Clarida. NZ rates rise across the curve as the market banks on an earlier and more aggressive monetary tightening cycle
US Treasuries whipsawed by mixed US data and upbeat comments from Fed vice-chair Clarida. NZ rates rise across the curve as the market banks on an earlier and more aggressive monetary tightening cycle
4th Aug 21, 7:53am
RBNZ gives nod to potential August rate hike pushing up short rates higher and NZD well supported. RBA upbeat despite lockdowns, supporting AUD. Global equities push higher; UST10s range-bound
RBNZ gives nod to potential August rate hike pushing up short rates higher and NZD well supported. RBA upbeat despite lockdowns, supporting AUD. Global equities push higher; UST10s range-bound
3rd Aug 21, 7:43am
US 10-year rate tumbles to a low of just below 1.15% after slightly softer US ISM survey. AUD up ahead of RBA this afternoon; NZD flat. COVID19 spreads across nearly half of China's provinces
US 10-year rate tumbles to a low of just below 1.15% after slightly softer US ISM survey. AUD up ahead of RBA this afternoon; NZD flat. COVID19 spreads across nearly half of China's provinces
29th Jul 21, 7:52am
Fed tweaks policy Statement but unlikely to change market expectations of timing of tapering decision. Little market reaction; USD slightly weaker as Fed Chair Powell offers some dovish soundbites
Fed tweaks policy Statement but unlikely to change market expectations of timing of tapering decision. Little market reaction; USD slightly weaker as Fed Chair Powell offers some dovish soundbites
28th Jul 21, 8:01am
Risk off as China's regulatory crackdown on sectors spills over into other markets. S&P500 down over 1%, Nasdaq down over 2% at their lows. USD surprisingly weak during risk-off episode, but NZD and AUD still dragged down by hit on CNY
Risk off as China's regulatory crackdown on sectors spills over into other markets. S&P500 down over 1%, Nasdaq down over 2% at their lows. USD surprisingly weak during risk-off episode, but NZD and AUD still dragged down by hit on CNY
27th Jul 21, 7:41am
Risk appetite recovers after weak Asian trading session. US equities up slightly to a fresh record high. US nominal 10-year rate little changed for the day but real rate prints a record low. NZD regains the 0.70 handle amidst broad USD weakness
Risk appetite recovers after weak Asian trading session. US equities up slightly to a fresh record high. US nominal 10-year rate little changed for the day but real rate prints a record low. NZD regains the 0.70 handle amidst broad USD weakness
23rd Jul 21, 7:46am
Global equities push higher; global rates push lower. ECB reasserts dovish credentials resulting in small EUR underperformance. NZD and AUD show small gains. Strong demand for NZGBs even after QE ends in NZ
Global equities push higher; global rates push lower. ECB reasserts dovish credentials resulting in small EUR underperformance. NZD and AUD show small gains. Strong demand for NZGBs even after QE ends in NZ
22nd Jul 21, 7:48am
Higher risk sentiment drives up equities, global rates, commodities and commodity currencies. US 10-year rate back up towards 1.3%. Strong US earnings help; companies report widespread inflation pressures
Higher risk sentiment drives up equities, global rates, commodities and commodity currencies. US 10-year rate back up towards 1.3%. Strong US earnings help; companies report widespread inflation pressures
21st Jul 21, 7:51am
US equities bounce back strongly but other markets don't. US 10-year rate hits fresh low below 1.13% before reversing course. NZD and AUD hit fresh year-to-date lows. COVID19 risks overhang the market; conviction of August RBNZ rate hike recedes
US equities bounce back strongly but other markets don't. US 10-year rate hits fresh low below 1.13% before reversing course. NZD and AUD hit fresh year-to-date lows. COVID19 risks overhang the market; conviction of August RBNZ rate hike recedes
20th Jul 21, 7:51am
Risk sentiment sours on worries about delta variant and increased geopolitical tensions with China. Equities tumble, US 10-year rate plunges to 5-month low of 1.17%. Commodity currencies down around 1%; NZD nears 0.6920 support level
Risk sentiment sours on worries about delta variant and increased geopolitical tensions with China. Equities tumble, US 10-year rate plunges to 5-month low of 1.17%. Commodity currencies down around 1%; NZD nears 0.6920 support level
19th Jul 21, 7:40am
Risk appetite weaker on Friday as US consumer sentiment softens. US 10-year rate closes below 1.30%; USD well supported. NZD supported as inflation surges to above the RBNZ's 1-3% target range
Risk appetite weaker on Friday as US consumer sentiment softens. US 10-year rate closes below 1.30%; USD well supported. NZD supported as inflation surges to above the RBNZ's 1-3% target range
8th Jul 21, 7:59am
US 10-year rate falls further, goes sub-1.30%. US equities show modest gains, but still post a fresh record high. Small lift in NZD as rate hike expectations solidify. No surprise from FOMC minutes
US 10-year rate falls further, goes sub-1.30%. US equities show modest gains, but still post a fresh record high. Small lift in NZD as rate hike expectations solidify. No surprise from FOMC minutes
7th Jul 21, 7:45am
NZ QSBO and RBA update drive NZD and AUD higher as market brings forward start date of expected policy tightening. But moves reverse course overnight as risk sentiment sours. US 10-year rate falls to lowest level in more than four months
NZ QSBO and RBA update drive NZD and AUD higher as market brings forward start date of expected policy tightening. But moves reverse course overnight as risk sentiment sours. US 10-year rate falls to lowest level in more than four months
6th Jul 21, 7:57am
Quiet trading with the US public holiday. Oil prices higher as no new production deal signed. NZD and AUD flat, trading well below fair value. NZ QSBO and RBA policy announcement today
Quiet trading with the US public holiday. Oil prices higher as no new production deal signed. NZD and AUD flat, trading well below fair value. NZ QSBO and RBA policy announcement today
1st Jul 21, 7:50am
Markets unmoved by string of data releases. Demand for US Treasuries and USD into month-end. NZ commodity prices rise to a record high. NZ economy overheating; another +$32 bln in household lending
Markets unmoved by string of data releases. Demand for US Treasuries and USD into month-end. NZ commodity prices rise to a record high. NZ economy overheating; another +$32 bln in household lending
30th Jun 21, 7:39am
Strong confidence data in the US and Euro area supports global equity markets. US Treasuries remain locked in a tight trading range. Commodity currencies underperform despite higher commodity prices and positive risk sentiment
Strong confidence data in the US and Euro area supports global equity markets. US Treasuries remain locked in a tight trading range. Commodity currencies underperform despite higher commodity prices and positive risk sentiment
29th Jun 21, 7:43am
Cautious trading tone, likely to continue ahead of Friday's US employment report. US 10-year rate falls, reversing Friday night rise. NZD starts the week on a soft note alongside other commodity currencies
Cautious trading tone, likely to continue ahead of Friday's US employment report. US 10-year rate falls, reversing Friday night rise. NZD starts the week on a soft note alongside other commodity currencies
25th Jun 21, 7:42am
Calm market conditions; equity markets push higher, rates market tightly range-bound. GBP on the soft side after BoE plays with a straight bat with no hint of tightening
Calm market conditions; equity markets push higher, rates market tightly range-bound. GBP on the soft side after BoE plays with a straight bat with no hint of tightening
23rd Jun 21, 7:46am
Focus on Fed speakers overnight. Market conditions calmer; Equities higher, UST yields range bound. NZD outperforms, well up through 0.70 as USD softens
Focus on Fed speakers overnight. Market conditions calmer; Equities higher, UST yields range bound. NZD outperforms, well up through 0.70 as USD softens
22nd Jun 21, 7:35am
Markets unwind some of last week's incredible price action. USD falls, US Treasuries curve significantly re-steepens, reflation-trade sectors favoured in rebound for US equities
Markets unwind some of last week's incredible price action. USD falls, US Treasuries curve significantly re-steepens, reflation-trade sectors favoured in rebound for US equities
18th Jun 21, 8:06am
Positioning shakeout post-Fed evident in commodities, currencies and Treasuries curve. Commodities plunge, taking NZD and AUD to fresh lows. Strong NZ GDP brings RBNZ policy tightening expectations forward
Positioning shakeout post-Fed evident in commodities, currencies and Treasuries curve. Commodities plunge, taking NZD and AUD to fresh lows. Strong NZ GDP brings RBNZ policy tightening expectations forward
15th Jun 21, 7:43am
US 10-year rate up nearly 5bps, reversing half of last week's fall, ahead of key FOMC policy update later this week. Oil prices hit a 2 year high; bets increase of an eventual move to $100 a barrel
US 10-year rate up nearly 5bps, reversing half of last week's fall, ahead of key FOMC policy update later this week. Oil prices hit a 2 year high; bets increase of an eventual move to $100 a barrel
14th Jun 21, 7:27am
USD short-covering on Friday ahead of Fed policy update this week sees NZD close at a two-month low. US 10-year Treasury rate near bottom-of the-range as inflation expectations fall
USD short-covering on Friday ahead of Fed policy update this week sees NZD close at a two-month low. US 10-year Treasury rate near bottom-of the-range as inflation expectations fall
11th Jun 21, 7:53am
US CPI inflation cracks 5% mark and ECB policy update on the dovish side of expectations. Market prepared to back Fed's view that inflation will prove transitory, so Treasury yields drift lower
US CPI inflation cracks 5% mark and ECB policy update on the dovish side of expectations. Market prepared to back Fed's view that inflation will prove transitory, so Treasury yields drift lower
9th Jun 21, 7:54am
Equities flat but US 10-year rate heads to bottom of the range, ahead of key US CPI data tomorrow night. NZD back below 0.72; NZD/AUD sub-0.93. NZ rates lower, playing catch-up after long weekend
Equities flat but US 10-year rate heads to bottom of the range, ahead of key US CPI data tomorrow night. NZD back below 0.72; NZD/AUD sub-0.93. NZ rates lower, playing catch-up after long weekend
