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Mark Smith

The Reserve Bank's own calculations show core NZ-generated inflation running at 3.5%, well above the top of the central bank's target range
19th Oct 21, 10:15am
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The Reserve Bank's own calculations show core NZ-generated inflation running at 3.5%, well above the top of the central bank's target range
Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
18th Oct 21, 10:55am
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Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
New Zealand's inflation is set to hit another 10-year high, but the key question will be whether this is a short run thing or the start of a lasting wage and price spiral
14th Oct 21, 9:02am
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New Zealand's inflation is set to hit another 10-year high, but the key question will be whether this is a short run thing or the start of a lasting wage and price spiral
ASB economists calculate that every one percentage point increase in mortgage interest rates would add $3.3 bln to NZ's household debt servicing costs
23rd Sep 21, 2:05pm
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ASB economists calculate that every one percentage point increase in mortgage interest rates would add $3.3 bln to NZ's household debt servicing costs
Economists see the very strong second-quarter GDP figures as providing a green light for the Reserve Bank to begin raising interest rates
16th Sep 21, 3:11pm
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Economists see the very strong second-quarter GDP figures as providing a green light for the Reserve Bank to begin raising interest rates
The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
16th Sep 21, 11:01am
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The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 1.3% in June quarter, a rise which is far more than economists expected; August 18 RBNZ rate hike now seems a done deal
16th Jul 21, 11:11am
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Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 1.3% in June quarter, a rise which is far more than economists expected; August 18 RBNZ rate hike now seems a done deal
Figures out this week are expected to show our inflation at near 10-year highs - but the key unanswered question is whether inflation will dwindle of its own accord, or need a push from higher interest rates
13th Jul 21, 3:05pm
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Figures out this week are expected to show our inflation at near 10-year highs - but the key unanswered question is whether inflation will dwindle of its own accord, or need a push from higher interest rates
BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
10th Jun 21, 11:27am
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BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
Economists see short term inflationary pressures due to one-off costs, but expect these to recede as the year goes on and see little imminent need for interest rate rises
19th Apr 21, 11:35am
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Economists see short term inflationary pressures due to one-off costs, but expect these to recede as the year goes on and see little imminent need for interest rate rises
Statistics New Zealand says seasonally-adjusted electronic card spending dropped 3.2% in February - and in actual terms was 8.1% lower than in February 2020
10th Mar 21, 12:25pm
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Statistics New Zealand says seasonally-adjusted electronic card spending dropped 3.2% in February - and in actual terms was 8.1% lower than in February 2020
ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a 'jaw-dropping' 67% of retailers expect to increase their prices
25th Feb 21, 1:22pm
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ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a 'jaw-dropping' 67% of retailers expect to increase their prices
Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
18th Jan 21, 2:40pm
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Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
ASB economists say politicians, policymakers and experts need to come together to discuss what can be done on housing and come up with binding recommendations on the way forward
30th Nov 20, 2:10pm
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ASB economists say politicians, policymakers and experts need to come together to discuss what can be done on housing and come up with binding recommendations on the way forward
Statistics New Zealand says retail sales values had the largest September quarter rise since the series began in 1995
23rd Nov 20, 10:56am
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Statistics New Zealand says retail sales values had the largest September quarter rise since the series began in 1995
Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
9th Nov 20, 3:19pm
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Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
23rd Oct 20, 11:11am
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Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
Some bank economists are raising various concerns and perceived problems ahead of New Zealand's likely move into 'below zero' territory with interest rates next year
24th Aug 20, 2:18pm
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Some bank economists are raising various concerns and perceived problems ahead of New Zealand's likely move into 'below zero' territory with interest rates next year
Statistics New Zealand says retail sales plummeted 15% in the lockdown-affected June quarter
24th Aug 20, 12:00pm
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Statistics New Zealand says retail sales plummeted 15% in the lockdown-affected June quarter
ASB economists have crunched the numbers on what the current alert level settings may mean for the economy - and what impact a broader lockdown would have
13th Aug 20, 9:32am
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ASB economists have crunched the numbers on what the current alert level settings may mean for the economy - and what impact a broader lockdown would have
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
11th Aug 20, 5:00am
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Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
Plunging fuel prices have contributed to inflation falling off a cliff and reverting from an eight year annual high to possibly a near-22-year quarterly low
14th Jul 20, 11:09am
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Plunging fuel prices have contributed to inflation falling off a cliff and reverting from an eight year annual high to possibly a near-22-year quarterly low
Statistics New Zealand says on a seasonally adjusted basis retail spending leapt 79% in May as businesses reopened after the April lockdown
11th Jun 20, 11:51am
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Statistics New Zealand says on a seasonally adjusted basis retail spending leapt 79% in May as businesses reopened after the April lockdown
Preliminary results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey for June show broad improvement in sentiment but from very low levels
9th Jun 20, 1:22pm
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Preliminary results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey for June show broad improvement in sentiment but from very low levels
Statistics New Zealand says the impact of the lockdown saw each New Zealander on average spending about $520 less in April than they did in March
11th May 20, 10:58am
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Statistics New Zealand says the impact of the lockdown saw each New Zealander on average spending about $520 less in April than they did in March