Mark Smith
Flabbergasted, spooked and applause; economists’ OCR reactions to what they expect is merely a pause
The RBNZ’s Christmas present to NZ will be an OCR hike in December, BNZ’s Stephen Toplis says, but other economists who are also projecting a December OCR rise, don't think it's locked in
6
The RBNZ’s Christmas present to NZ will be an OCR hike in December, BNZ’s Stephen Toplis says, but other economists who are also projecting a December OCR rise, don't think it's locked in
An Official Cash Rate hike that once looked unlikely to happen just 10 days before the election, is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome
12
An Official Cash Rate hike that once looked unlikely to happen just 10 days before the election, is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome
'Temporary reprieve' of 3.7% September year CPI inflation doesn't see economists pull back from expectations of OCR hike next week
'Temporary reprieve' of 3.7% September year CPI inflation doesn't see economists pull back from expectations of OCR hike next week
[updated]
Inflation projected to soften slightly and temporarily in September quarter, economists say, with big concerns raised for the future due to rising fuel prices, weak currency adding to inflation pressures
3
Inflation projected to soften slightly and temporarily in September quarter, economists say, with big concerns raised for the future due to rising fuel prices, weak currency adding to inflation pressures
As Treasury prepares to publish the Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update, bank economists aren’t expecting any big surprises in the Government’s finances and forecasts
1
As Treasury prepares to publish the Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update, bank economists aren’t expecting any big surprises in the Government’s finances and forecasts
Bank economists split on October rate hike as RBNZ’s dovish shift signals a potential cash rate pause before the November 7 election
1
Bank economists split on October rate hike as RBNZ’s dovish shift signals a potential cash rate pause before the November 7 election
ASB senior economist Mark Smith says the latest Selected Price Indexes give some comfort inflation is moderating from its 4.1% peak
3
ASB senior economist Mark Smith says the latest Selected Price Indexes give some comfort inflation is moderating from its 4.1% peak
Wot about the workers? Wage increases well below inflation putting households 'further and further behind'
10
Wot about the workers? Wage increases well below inflation putting households 'further and further behind'
ASB changes tack on the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate outlook, now expects July OCR pause as US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding cools oil prices
6
ASB changes tack on the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate outlook, now expects July OCR pause as US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding cools oil prices
Following May’s SPI figures, bank economists have revised their inflation projections for the June quarter and while the US-Iran deal is welcomed, it ‘doesn’t fully unwind the global oil supply shock’
8
Following May’s SPI figures, bank economists have revised their inflation projections for the June quarter and while the US-Iran deal is welcomed, it ‘doesn’t fully unwind the global oil supply shock’
A return to the 'broccoli' Budget, a 'glass half full view,' a 'small b Budget,' and more reaction to Budget 2026
A return to the 'broccoli' Budget, a 'glass half full view,' a 'small b Budget,' and more reaction to Budget 2026
Government tipped to 'largely stick to its fiscal knitting' in election year budget, but will there be any election sweeteners?
3
Government tipped to 'largely stick to its fiscal knitting' in election year budget, but will there be any election sweeteners?
After softer than expected April SPI figures, Westpac NZ economist says full impact of oil price rises yet to be felt through supply chain and a 'sharp rise' in inflation is still on the cards for the middle part of 2026
3
After softer than expected April SPI figures, Westpac NZ economist says full impact of oil price rises yet to be felt through supply chain and a 'sharp rise' in inflation is still on the cards for the middle part of 2026
Inflation expectations rise in RBNZ survey for the short and medium terms, dip in longer-term expectations
2
Inflation expectations rise in RBNZ survey for the short and medium terms, dip in longer-term expectations
Don't expect the March quarter to show much price pressure, economists say as some suggest annual inflation will soften slightly before it accelerates in the June quarter
27
Don't expect the March quarter to show much price pressure, economists say as some suggest annual inflation will soften slightly before it accelerates in the June quarter