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All 14 new cases on Wednesday were linked; 10,000 swabs taken in Auckland; MI bookings reopen on Monday

All 14 new cases on Wednesday were linked; 10,000 swabs taken in Auckland; MI bookings reopen on Monday

The Ministry of Health is reporting 14 new Covid cases, all in Auckland and all linked. Meanwhile bookings for managed isolation will reopen on Monday (September 20). 

All cases reported in the last three days have been linked. Just eight of the cases in the last 14 days have now not been linked.

The latest case numbers are down from 15 on Tuesday.

It brings the total in this outbreak to 983.

A managed isolation worker at the SO/ Auckland MI facility had tested positive. It appears this might be linked to the community outbreak. The worker had been fully vaccinated and was now in isolation.

Three of the 15 cases reported on Tuesday had been infectious in the community.

Aucklanders in particular have been urged to get out and get tested, and there were an increased number of over 10,000 swabs taken on Tuesday in Auckland.

There were 62,000 vaccinations on Tuesday.

Covid-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins said more than 70% of the eligible population had received at least one dose, with 36% both.

Hipkins said 250,000 of the extra doses bought from Denmark had arrived in Auckland on Wednesday. This is on top of 275,000 that arrived from Spain last week.

He said there was now "nothing holding back" getting vaccinations done.

On the re-opening of the voucher system for managed isolation bookings, Hipkins said 3000 vouchers would be released next week and then it was planned for 4000 every fortnight. (See release at bottom of article.) 

Hipkins indicated that Cabinet would be deciding on the currently paused trans-Tasman bubble next week. He indicated that the suspension of the bubble would be continued.

This is the detailed update from the Ministry of Health:

Cases  
Number of new community cases 14
Number of new cases identified at the border 3 historical cases
Location of new cases Auckland
Location of community cases (total) Auckland 966 (441 of whom have recovered); Wellington 17 (15 of whom have recovered)
Number of community cases (total) 983 (in current community outbreak)
Cases infectious in the community Three (19%) of yesterday’s 15 cases have exposure events
Cases in isolation throughout the period they were infectious 13 (81%) of yesterday’s 15 cases
Cases epidemiologically linked 14 of today’s cases
Cases to be epidemiologically linked 0 of today’s cases
Cases epidemiologically linked (total) 947 (in current cluster) (8 in past 14 days unlinked)
Number of sub-clusters Nine epidemiologically linked subclusters. The three largest subclusters are the Māngere church group: 381; and Birkdale social network cluster: 77; secondary community transmission associated with the Māngere church group 164.
And nine epidemiologically unlinked subclusters.
Cases in hospital 20 (total): North Shore (3); Middlemore (11); Auckland (6)
Cases in ICU or HDU Four
Confirmed cases (total) 3,981 since pandemic began
Historical cases, since 1 Jan 2021 (total) 147 out of 1,807 since 1 Jan 2021
Contacts*  
Number of active contacts being managed (total): 970
Percentage who have received an outbound call from contact tracers (to confirm testing and isolation requirements) 95%
Percentage with at least one test result 90%
Locations of interest  
Locations of interest (total) 135 (as at 10am 11 September)
Tests  
Number of tests (total) 3,173,328
Number of tests total (last 24 hours) 15,105
Tests in Auckland (last 24 hours) 10,150
Tests rolling average (last 7 days) 13,009
Testing centres in Auckland 23
Wastewater  
Wastewater detections One unexpected detection from Snells Beach (from 7 September, delay due to logistical issue), additional testing underway.
COVID-19 vaccine update  
Vaccines administered to date (total) 4,444,065; 1st doses: 2,937,591; 2nd doses: 1,506,474
Vaccines administered yesterday (total) 62,155; 1st doses: 39,437; 2nd doses: 22,718
Māori 1st doses: 274,022; 2nd doses: 131,725
Pacific Peoples 1st doses: 177,483; 2nd doses: 90,957
NZ COVID-19 tracer  
Registered users (total) 3,218,225
Poster scans (total) 358,863,106
Manual diary entries (total) 16,294,101
Poster scans in 24 hours to midday yesterday 2,338,860

* We now have 996 contacts under active management. This is a change from reporting total contacts across the whole outbreak. The number of contacts under active management has fallen considerably over the past two weeks, as the majority of our contacts had exposures more than 18 days ago and have been closed.

Historical cases identified at the border

Arrival date From Via Positive test day/reason Managed isolation/quarantine location
8 September India Serbia & Montenegro Day 0 / routine Christchurch
8 September India Serbia & Montenegro Day 3 / routine Christchurch
9 September USA Direct flight Day 0 / routine Christchurch

Testing reminder

Thank you to everyone in Auckland who has come forward to be tested.

We saw an increase in testing in Auckland yesterday – with 10,341 swabs taken yesterday, up from 7,057 the day before.

We are continuing to remind people across Auckland to get tested if you have symptoms, or if you have no symptoms but are invited to be tested, especially if you live in and around Mt Eden, Massey, Favona, Ōtara, Papatoetoe, Māngere and Manurewa.

This is the release on managed isolation:

The pause on the release of managed isolation vouchers will end on 20 September as MIQ rolls out a virtual lobby for the next release of MIQ vouchers.

The release of approximately 3,000 rooms across September – December will take place at 9am NZT on Monday 20 September, in the Managed Isolation Allocation System (MIAS).

Joint Head of MIQ, Megan Main, says the lobby system is being tried out to make booking more transparent and will create a more level playing field for people trying to access the booking site

“MIQ’s primary job is to keep New Zealand safe during the pandemic. We have done this while enabling more than 170,000 people to enter New Zealand,” she said.

“We operate in a very complex environment and Delta changes everything. We need to balance a lot of competing demands – such as reducing the risk of COVID entering the community, allowing New Zealanders to travel home, and supporting our economy.

“We know that the current environment is difficult, where demand for MIQ rooms is significantly greater than the number of rooms available. I know people spend many hours in front of their computers constantly refreshing in the hopes of securing a voucher. I know this lack of certainty has been really challenging for people. The lobby means we can let people know in advance when room releases are happening.

“The way it works is that people can enter the lobby one hour prior to the room release – so from 8am NZT on 20 September. This is not a first-in, first-served model. It doesn’t matter when people arrive in the lobby in that 1 hour period, everyone has an equal chance of getting through to try to secure a room. Once the room release starts, all of the people in the lobby will be automatically moved into a queue – this will be randomised, removing the need to be the fastest.

“There is no limit on how many people can wait in the lobby and there is no need to keep refreshing the website anymore. People will be able to see their place in the queue. To enter the lobby, people will need to enter a passport number – this must match a passport number of someone who is travelling, which is entered in the Managed Isolation Allocation System website (it must be the same passport number which will be on the MIQ voucher).

“It’s important that people know their preferred flight route and select the correct date for arrival. We don’t want people to just grab any date. Flights from most locations around the world only arrive on particular days so people need to make sure they’re booking an MIQ date that aligns with the arrival date of a flight from their location. People need to look at the flight checker on the website before the lobby opens, and select the appropriate date for arrival.

“For people wanting to travel from Australia, this voucher release will not include flights from Australia, which means you cannot participate this time. However, we’re planning another voucher release in September. We’ll be able to confirm that when a decision is made on the Trans-Tasman Bubble – which the Government expects to be in a position to announce next week.

“Although this new feature should improve user experience, it is not a silver bullet - it will not fix the issue of supply and demand. Unfortunately, in periods of high demand, a lot of people will miss out on securing a room.

“There will still only be a limited number of rooms available during the room release, which means that given the current demand for rooms there will still be people who miss out this time.

“There is not an unlimited number of MIQ rooms, and there’s a good reason for that –we’re in the middle of a global pandemic and we need to keep New Zealand safe. We understand people want to enter MIQ on a date of their choosing, but we have to ensure arrivals in New Zealand occur in a safe, managed way.

“Once all rooms have been taken, the lobby will be closed and anyone in the queue will be informed that they have unfortunately missed out this time. But there will be more rooms coming, there’s still several thousand rooms to be released through to the end of the year. We will continue to announce room releases in advance (at least 24-48 hours before the release) so people will know when to come back.

The lobby will also be used for re-released rooms, as people’s plans change and bookings are cancelled. Previously, these rooms were automatically re-released back into the system for people to book, however MIQ will now hold these and then release them in scheduled releases, with the lobby in place.

“For people overseas who need to travel urgently, they can still apply for an emergency allocation of a voucher. We’ve recently widened the criteria to include people who need to travel home or overseas for time-critical medical treatment and people needing to travel or return to New Zealand due to bereavements of a close family member.

“We’ve increased the eligibility criteria for emergency allocations on at least 3 occasions since the pandemic began. We are increasing the transparency of our room availability by updating our Daily Snapshot and publishing group information”, she said.

“We are constantly looking for ways to improve our systems and processes. Since we implemented the Managed Isolation Allocation System we’ve made about 200 improvements to it.

MIQ will closely monitor how well the lobby system works and whether any further changes are needed.

People are advised to check the MIQ website for instructions about the room release.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

45 Comments

Struggling to see if this is good news or not. Numbers slightly down but still too high to open up, but with all of todays cases being epidemiologically linked is a good sign.

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2

Yeah, the government has really not been making it as clear as they could, and should, about what numbers are important to track or be concerned about.

A simple thing they should be doing is clearly differentiating household cases, using a script that is something like:

"14 new cases today, of which X were anticipated house hold infections and are of no concern. The remaining Y cases are at this stage linked to the other known clusters and are of minimal/moderate concern. Further investigation of yesterday's Y cases show that only Z of them are of particular interest to the ministry".

I don't know the right wording to use because you don't want to get people worried for no reason (eg, saying something is "not of concern" means that other things are "of concern"), but splitting out the anticipated household cases is easy to do.

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I guess the issue is the unknown unknown's. How many undetected cases are there in the community we don't know about. Call me a cynic, but I imagine there are a few out there who see level 3 next week as the light at the end of the tunnel & despite having symptoms have zero interest in a stint in MIQ at this point in the lockdown. These cases will cause flare ups once we head into level 3 next week.

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that is the missing detail, how are we finding these people that are still in the community, are they being identified as close contacts or are they just being found via testing, if so how are we going to find all the missing cases 

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Yes, that's a good insight, I hadn't considered the difference between "we found this person from a test" (Middlemore cases last week) vs "we found this person via contact tracing". Clearly the former is worse.

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Hard to know or get to know about those sort of cases. There could be people out there, say at the supermarket, infected without knowing it, no symptoms, who passes it on unwittingly to one that does then  react. The second person tests but the first just carries on and contact tracing has to somehow catch up on that. The only defence for that is the isolation of lockdown at home and the masks and distancing when out. The thing about level 3 next week is that it is only slightly less stringent than 4, but nevertheless, folk might mistake that reduction as allowing them to over relax, forgo too much of the precautions that will still be  required.

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If the government truly wants to know whether there are cases floating around out there they need to make it optional for positive cases to go into MIQ.  That's the only way these people, assuming they exist, will come forward to be tested.

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I get the sentiment, but I don't think it's appropriate. If they're positive but not in MIQ, they'd have to be in total isolation in their house anyway. I get that that's more comforting / comfortable, but ultimately they're still in strict isolation.

In MIQ they have staff on-hand to help with health issues, and presumably have some counselling service available.

But you're right, Jacinda has specifically talked about how putting sick people into MIQ at short notice is traumatising for them.

Perhaps the messaging needs to change, to reinforce the benefits of going into MIQ if you have COVID - some (positive) interviews with people who recently went in would be good, for example.

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The problem for many will be the lost income due to being unable to work for 2 weeks. Not everyone can just grab a laptop and work in Isolation.

At the very start of the pandemic I mentioned we needed some for of legislated covid leave. Working in a similar way to ACC. If you are forced to isolate (either at home or MIQ) your company gives you covid leave, govt pick up the tab to the tune of 100% (anything less and we encounter the same problem)

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Yeah I overlooked that, from my privileged position. You're exactly right.

Can't be too much of an incentive though, otherwise we'll have plague parties from people wanting 2 weeks paid holiday from work in a 5 star hotel.

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3

TBH it's something many people do, and not something helped by our state broadcasters running things like 'Formal Friday' like Covid lockdown is some sort of costume party. Meanwhile, the essential workers and those in some of the less flashy parts of town have a serious grind to make it through five weeks with reduced/severely reduced pay, or are being forced to work and getting expose to the virus. 

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5

> Not everyone can just grab a laptop and work in Isolation.

Isn't that what we've all been doing for 4 weeks already?  Either you have figured out the workin in isolation bit, or you are not currently working. Or you mean essential service workers?

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“cases floating around out there.” The Herald now confirms last weekend’s rumour that an admission to Middlemore had Covid and also gang connections. Also seven policeman involved in the episode needed to stand down accordingly. Hierarchy in the gang are being cooperative. Stating that the Kingdom will handle it for themselves. So rest easy folks. All’s well out there after all. Oh, but then again,  wasn’t there a unpoliced funeral event? 

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2

You not a Cynic, your an Optimist thinking Auckland is going to level 3 next week. We are fast approaching the point that either the government double down on the elimination strategy and admit its for an unknown amount of time and become very unpopular or we get the pep talk about how its now okay to open up after a short stint at level 3 if you behave yourself and they hope like hell not to many die after that This is turning into a political tightrope for them to walk.

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By mooting level 3 the government has raised expectations. If next Monday presents the same circumstances as they were last Monday they cannot avoid that reduction, otherwise they should never have promoted the possibility in the first place.  By that time too, another week’s testing should be giving them more data to analyse. 

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2

I've noticed adherence to the lockdown slipping away. The first week people played by the rules. Not so much now.

If the government over use level 4, I fear this "slack" level 4 will become standard behaviour. This will blunt the effect of future lockdowns.

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elimination is, and has always been an obvious fool's errand.  The more the government doubles down the more of the countries wealth they needlessly squander.

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4

I see the UK has now advised a single Pfizer vaccine dose for 12-15 year olds as this strikes the right balance between individual and community benefits. They feel that the benefit of a double jab does not outweigh the risks in this age group. Why is the risk different for NZ kids?

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We took our lead from the US in vaxxing 12-15 year olds, but note that we were still a couple of months behind them in approving it for this age range.

May be difficult for the government to roll back the advice to just 1 dose for the average 12-15 year old at this point, although there should be very few who have received or are eligible for a 2nd dose just at the moment, so there's a small window there.

With any luck, a reporter will ask this.

My contact in El Salvador tells me that their government is now vaxxing 6-12 year olds. AFAIK that makes them the first in the world.

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I have advised my 15 year old to get their first dose and then wait and see. I have emailed Associate Prof Wiles and several Journalists but none of them have replied. Not sure if anyone wants to open the can of worms. It is easy enough for people to read overseas reports.

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It seems that you've missed the fact that a Nobel prize winner in virology Luc Montagnier, and the former head of R&D at Pfizer Mike Yeadon, an expert in developing vaccines Geert Vandent Bossche and many many more real top scientists have been screaming from the roof tops not to vaccinate healthy people with this experimental mrna transfection agent.  But you emailed Wiles? hmm okay, that's kinda like asking your local labour representative who to vote for. Anyway, you should do your own research but I'll break it down for you.  Vaccinating healthy kids agaist covid is totally unnecessary, and a very bad idea!  

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It's very finely balanced either way. 

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One difference in the UK is "What is more, more than half of secondary school age children may have natural immunity after having been infected."

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-58552769

I would have thought herd immunity would be part of the consideration.  If kids don't get it they can't pass it on to nana who for whatever reasons couldn't get vaxxed.

 

Sounds like the vaccine doesn't stop you catching, just stops you getting sick.  Does it stop you passing it on though?

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It lowers your ability to catch and pass on the virus and also reduces the duration of time you're infectious.

 

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simple answer - its not

Boys more at risk from Pfizer jab side-effect than Covid, suggests study | Coronavirus | The Guardian

community benefit? right

More like Kids as guinea pigs / collateral

Apparently this is science in action ... just some reassuring words and some maccas

McDonald's and social media used to reach youth unsure about vaccine | Stuff.co.nz

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8

Yes Jim, let's be more afraid of the cure than the disease.

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Thats what the science is saying ... your point?

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The science of epidemiology says otherwise, but keep looking down the wrong end of the telescope.

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Vaccinated people can still spread the virus. The main benefit from vaccinating older people is that it reduces the risk of hospitalisation and prevents the health system becoming overwhelmed. Younger people particularly the under 15s with no underlying conditions have a very low risk of hospitalisation. That is why the UK scientific committee on vaccinations and immunology (JVCI) said that they could not justify vaccinating children on a balance of benefit vs risk for this age group. They did say that there could be wider benefits to society from vaccination but this was not within their remit. This is a group of leading scientists, not a fringe group of anti-vaccer conspiracists. Your reaction is probably the reason why this isn't reported in the NZ press or mentioned by Dr Bloomfield. People seem to have lost the ability to have a nuanced debate. The Vaccine is good for many - but possibly not for everyone.

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Vaccinated people can still spread the virus, but if they're vaccinated, they're less likely to catch and transmit. So there's two aspects to this, the health implications to the individual, and the wider implications of greater and lesser degrees of societal vaccination rates.

 

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And children going to schools, particularly high schools which have bigger rolls and larger catchment areas, are ideal vectors to quickly distribute a novel virus through a community.

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Hi Pa1nter,

Can you please elaborate on how the epidemiology differs from the finding in the study (linked above by the Guardian)? I'm genuinely curious.

Thanks.

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That is why the UK scientific committee on vaccinations and immunology (JVCI) said that they could not justify vaccinating children on a balance of benefit vs risk for this age group. They did say that there could be wider benefits to society from vaccination but this was not within their remit.

From a reply above. Bold + underline is mine.

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If giving someone the vaccine increases their chance of serious illness or death, then that seems like reason enough to not give them the vaccine in my book regardless of whether there are wider benefits to society.  There are lots of morally questionable things we could do (but fortunately don't) that would have wider benefits to society.

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4

It's more a case of, in this particular country with this particular risk profile, it isn't warranted. Part of that being that many teenagers would have had COVID and therefore some level of natural immunity anyway.

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I've been reading around about that study and there's no way it's going to pass peer review, the methodology is flawed from start to finish.

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I read the entire study even though I promised myself I would never click on any more of Big Jim's links.

It was interesting but definitely flawed. I thought about posting a comprehensive critique, but at this stage I reckon the people who want to believe a load of cr*p are going to keep doing it regardless of logic so I'm saving my breath and time. But short story is beware that study.

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That is almost what the science is telling us for this age group. For adults, particularly over the age of 45 getting the vaccine is the obvious choice, as the risks from Covid far outweigh the risk from the vaccine. As you move into younger age groups this becomes much more finely balanced, to the point that the risks of Covid to 12 year olds is about equal to the risk of a serious side effect from the vaccine. Both are very low risk of harm,  but justification for the Jab becomes harder.

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There's a benefit to society to have the pool of unvaccinated individuals as small as possible.

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Yes, in an ideal world. But would you risk the health of a 12 year old to extend the life of a 90 year old? This is a philosophical question, I am not stating my view.

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No of course you wouldn't. But I'm not sure why the study quoted by the Guardian article compares the rate of myocarditis from vaccination only against the chance of an adolescent being badly affected by Covid over the next 120 day period. (As opposed to other researchers, who have measured the risk following vaccination vs the risk after infection, and found rates after infection much higher.) It's not like Covid's going away, eventually everyone's going to be exposed. 

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This is why I would like to see an open debate or informed media articles on this. I am not a scientist. I am double vaccinated and I want to make the best decision for my kids health. I don't feel that we are being presented with the full story in NZ. We are just being told it is all ok. I assume the UK Chief Medical Officer looked at a lot of scientific research before deciding on one, rather than two shots for under 15s. 

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The study was significantly flawed, 60% of all vaccinated boys with chest pains / myocarditis symptoms were symptom free within the week. Very few had it to a serious degree. Also the data collection between the two different groups was stupid different. Honestly it was terrible. I wouldn't put any weight on it, it will get ripped to shreds at the peer review stage.

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2

And the UK Cheif Medical Officer and/or their advisors were unable to see this?

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They won't have made any decisions on the basis of that study, but they've shifted their position from no vaccine for adolescents to one dose. 

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