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Coronavirus

Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
17th Jan 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
10th Jan 22, 8:52am
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In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
20th Dec 21, 8:40am
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In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
Forsyth Barr research analysts see 'elevated' downside risks to the housing market and more generally see continuation of supply chain woes and inflation and they will be watching out for a few stretched company balance sheets
16th Dec 21, 3:05pm
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Forsyth Barr research analysts see 'elevated' downside risks to the housing market and more generally see continuation of supply chain woes and inflation and they will be watching out for a few stretched company balance sheets
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
16th Dec 21, 11:00am
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Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
14th Dec 21, 2:52pm
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David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
14th Dec 21, 9:57am
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Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
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This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
13th Dec 21, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
9th Dec 21, 10:03am
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David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
7th Dec 21, 9:30am
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The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
6th Dec 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
30th Nov 21, 1:07pm
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ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
29th Nov 21, 8:21am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
22nd Nov 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
The RBNZ's own much-watched Survey of Expectations shows that inflation's expected to be around 3% in two years time; survey results may spark increased speculation of a 50 basis point lift to the Official Cash Rate next week
18th Nov 21, 3:24pm
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The RBNZ's own much-watched Survey of Expectations shows that inflation's expected to be around 3% in two years time; survey results may spark increased speculation of a 50 basis point lift to the Official Cash Rate next week
Auckland spending has bounced after the loosening of Covid restrictions, but services spending is still well down, according to Kiwibank credit and debit card data
18th Nov 21, 11:30am
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Auckland spending has bounced after the loosening of Covid restrictions, but services spending is still well down, according to Kiwibank credit and debit card data
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr should now 'fess up, grow some gonads and tell the Government and the interest rate markets where to go!'
15th Nov 21, 7:54am
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Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr should now 'fess up, grow some gonads and tell the Government and the interest rate markets where to go!'
Preliminary ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall and nearly all forward indicators ease
10th Nov 21, 1:18pm
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Preliminary ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall and nearly all forward indicators ease
Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch
8th Nov 21, 8:49am
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Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch
Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'
1st Nov 21, 8:03am
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Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'
89 new Covid cases on Thursday; MIQ stays to be cut to seven days for fully vaccinated
28th Oct 21, 1:33pm
89 new Covid cases on Thursday; MIQ stays to be cut to seven days for fully vaccinated
Latest ANZ Business Outlook shows over 90% of firms in every sector apart from services facing higher costs; inflation expectations blowing out
27th Oct 21, 1:24pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook shows over 90% of firms in every sector apart from services facing higher costs; inflation expectations blowing out
Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
25th Oct 21, 9:23am
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Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down
18th Oct 21, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down