David Chaston details the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am in association with Bank of New Zealand, including news that Moody’s have started downgrading some big international French banks as the euro crisis deepens.
These downgrades and shifts in credit watch status aren’t major at this stage and still leave them with some of the best bank ratings, but it does signal that contagion is deepening in the heart of Europe.
In fact, the flight of deposits from banks across the continent means the collateral risks at the ECB are really piling up.
The ECB has cleared away some internal - mainly German - opposition and is clearly readying the issuance of new Eurobonds. The effect will be to concentrate all the risk in these; but it is also a necessary first step in the federalizing of Europe, one where budget and spending sovereignty dissolves before the overall EU requirements.
And watching all this is China, with obvious unease. Overnight Premier Wen said told western leaders stop mucking around and take proper measures to control their debt crisis. Without that, China won’t help or invest in their economies.
Markets obviously liked the Chinese ‘advice’ and feel the politicians are finally ready to take some meaningful action. The Dow is up nearly 2.5%, and gold is lower. European markets are all positive too – in fact the DAX is up well over 3% after yesterday’s sharp fall.
Closer to home, those ratings downgrades in Europe had a flow-on effect on Aussie bank stocks which all took a bit of a pasteing yesterday.
Bernard Hickey is reporting from Wellington today and the Monetary Policy Statement release. Check in soon after 9am this morning for his first update. He will be assessing how all this European doom will play out on NZ policy makers – Alan Bollard especially – and will also be reporting on Bollard’s testimony to Parliament later in the day.
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