OCR
US equities bounce-back after Friday's lurch down as investors buy the dip. Oil prices down as market eyes greater OPEC+ supply
5th Aug 25, 7:52am
US equities bounce-back after Friday's lurch down as investors buy the dip. Oil prices down as market eyes greater OPEC+ supply
ANZ economists believe firms have 'hoarded' labour in anticipation of economic recovery and may now be forced to 'right size' through layoffs - amplifying the unemployment rate; OCR may be forced below 2.5%
4th Aug 25, 2:38pm
16
ANZ economists believe firms have 'hoarded' labour in anticipation of economic recovery and may now be forced to 'right size' through layoffs - amplifying the unemployment rate; OCR may be forced below 2.5%
Investor risk sentiment takes a hit from significantly weaker than expected US labour market data. Global equities fell sharply and credit spreads widen. Probability of a Fed rate cut in September increases
4th Aug 25, 7:27am
Investor risk sentiment takes a hit from significantly weaker than expected US labour market data. Global equities fell sharply and credit spreads widen. Probability of a Fed rate cut in September increases
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week may show the unemployment rate rising to 5.3% from 5.1%, reflecting a mid-year 'stall' in the hoped-for economic recovery
3rd Aug 25, 6:01am
34
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week may show the unemployment rate rising to 5.3% from 5.1%, reflecting a mid-year 'stall' in the hoped-for economic recovery
US equity markets retrace from record intra-day high. Yen declines after Bank of Japan meeting. US dollar on track for first monthly gain this year
1st Aug 25, 7:56am
US equity markets retrace from record intra-day high. Yen declines after Bank of Japan meeting. US dollar on track for first monthly gain this year
Fed keeps policy unchanged. US economy bounces back 3% in Q2 after 0.5% contraction in Q1; core PCE deflator higher than expected. Data pushes up USD and US rates
31st Jul 25, 7:54am
Fed keeps policy unchanged. US economy bounces back 3% in Q2 after 0.5% contraction in Q1; core PCE deflator higher than expected. Data pushes up USD and US rates
Decent rally in US Treasuries overnight, with various drivers at play. US-China end trade talks. China says both sides agree on maintaining the truce. Oil prices up nearly 4%. IMF upgrades global growth outlook
30th Jul 25, 7:50am
Decent rally in US Treasuries overnight, with various drivers at play. US-China end trade talks. China says both sides agree on maintaining the truce. Oil prices up nearly 4%. IMF upgrades global growth outlook
Early joy on US-EU trade deal quickly evaporates, with euro slumping 1.3%; European equities and rates down modestly. USD broadly stronger. Oil rises
29th Jul 25, 7:52am
Early joy on US-EU trade deal quickly evaporates, with euro slumping 1.3%; European equities and rates down modestly. USD broadly stronger. Oil rises
S&P500 advances to another record high close. US and EU announce trade agreement. Bond markets subdued. Global markets look ahead to first-tier economic releases and central bank meetings
28th Jul 25, 7:23am
S&P500 advances to another record high close. US and EU announce trade agreement. Bond markets subdued. Global markets look ahead to first-tier economic releases and central bank meetings
ECB leave rates on hold and suggests the bar is raised for additional easing. German bond yields move higher led by the front end of the curve. Upbeat risk sentiment contributes to further gains for global equities
25th Jul 25, 7:44am
ECB leave rates on hold and suggests the bar is raised for additional easing. German bond yields move higher led by the front end of the curve. Upbeat risk sentiment contributes to further gains for global equities
Tariffs will create a negative demand shock in New Zealand that will strengthen the case for a lower Official Cash Rate, provided inflation continues to cool
25th Jul 25, 5:00am
5
Tariffs will create a negative demand shock in New Zealand that will strengthen the case for a lower Official Cash Rate, provided inflation continues to cool
Growing optimism of US trade deals with key partners supports risk sentiment. US reaches agreement with Japan on tariffs and a deal with the EU appears close. Equity markets gain and global bond yields higher
24th Jul 25, 7:57am
Growing optimism of US trade deals with key partners supports risk sentiment. US reaches agreement with Japan on tariffs and a deal with the EU appears close. Equity markets gain and global bond yields higher
US dollar extends recent decline. Bessent offers supportive comments for Fed Chair Powell. Global bond yields lower led by 10-year US treasury yields
23rd Jul 25, 7:53am
US dollar extends recent decline. Bessent offers supportive comments for Fed Chair Powell. Global bond yields lower led by 10-year US treasury yields
S&P500 hits another record high. US Treasury yields decline and US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. Yen gains following the Japanese election
22nd Jul 25, 7:54am
S&P500 hits another record high. US Treasury yields decline and US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. Yen gains following the Japanese election
With the latest annual inflation rate softer than they expected, economists see the way cleared for another Official Cash Rate cut by the Reserve Bank in August
21st Jul 25, 2:33pm
13
With the latest annual inflation rate softer than they expected, economists see the way cleared for another Official Cash Rate cut by the Reserve Bank in August