OCR

22 May 18, 8:12am
Despite disappointing retail sales, the NZD may not weaken further as it is bolstered by strong terms of trade. Italy toys with issuing parallel currency, worrying its EU partners
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21 May 18, 8:04am
Political risk on Italy weighs on the euro. Japan inflation weighs on the yen. NAFTA talks weigh on the CAD. Through all this the NZD comes through well
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18 May 18, 8:10am
US bond yields continue to track higher, with the 10-year rate currently trading at 3.11%; NZD is down 0.3% for the day to 0.6875; GBP has been a bit choppy
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17 May 18, 8:06am
NZD is having a much better day after its recent rout; NZ rates across the curve and some steepening; UST yields sustained yesterday’s upward move; EUR has been under a bit of pressure
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16 May 18, 3:35pm
ASB economists expect Fonterra next week to give a 'healthy' milk price forecast of $6.50 or better for the new season
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16 May 18, 8:16am
Renewed inflation signals push UST yields up strongly; further rises anticipated. Chances of an extra rate hike in 2018 increase
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16 May 18, 8:13am
The move higher in US yields has boosted the USD across the board; GBP has been one of the outperformers in the FX market overnight; NZD is once again one of the underperformers
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15 May 18, 8:08am
NZD has been the underperformer in FX markets overnight, now trading at 0.6920 USD; NZ swap rates continued to move lower yesterday; European bond yields rose after news that the ECB was planning on raising rates at some point in 2019
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14 May 18, 8:07am
USD closed the week slightly lower against most of the G10, although the movements were very modest; NZD traded a narrow range on Friday night, ending the week just below 0.6970 USD; Budget on Thursday is the key event for the local rates
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12 May 18, 9:22am
Housing mortgage rates are more likely to go down rather than up despite increased US dollar funding costs for New Zealand banks
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11 May 18, 7:58am
NZD is the worst performing currency the past 24 hours; local rates lower; GBP was the second worst performing currency; USD fell after a slightly lower than expected US core CPI release; UST yields declined slightly
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11 May 18, 6:26am
The new Governor’s approach to the central bank’s communication was on full display on Thursday, turning the heads of journalists, MPs and economists
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10 May 18, 1:07pm
The Reserve Bank Governor has already won over the bank economists with his new style of upfront and simple communication
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10 May 18, 9:10am
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 1.75%; new Governor stresses that the next move could go either way
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10 May 18, 8:11am
UST 10yr up over 3% again despite weaker US PPI. Eyes on US CPI data. Eyes also on the new RBNZ Governor and the MPS
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9 May 18, 7:59am
USD has extended its recent gains overnight, with the Bloomberg DXY moving up to a new high for 2018; NZD broke below 0.70 to a low of 0.6954, before bouncing back slightly to 0.6965; US 10 year Treasury is up 2bps to 2.97%
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8 May 18, 8:29am
Oil prices pushed on to a new post-2014 high; USD is generally stronger, with the Bloomberg DXY and the (euro-centric) DXY both making new highs for 2018; GBP is the strongest currency in the G10
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7 May 18, 8:23am
USD moved higher after payrolls, in tandem with the increase in Treasury yields off the intraday lows, Bloomberg DXY was up 0.2%; NZD hit a low of 0.6994 after payrolls, before recovering to end the week at 0.7020
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7 May 18, 8:22am
Roger J Kerr says NZ bonds are at risk of being sold off by foreign investors - and next week's Budget may be a trigger point
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7 May 18, 7:46am
Mixed US payrolls data, deadlocked China talks, EMs doing it tough, but UST 10yr yields little changed at 2.95%. Eyes on commodity risks
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