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Latest political poll sees National builds winning lead over Labour/Greens opposition in New Zealand, "following TPP signing ceremony in Auckland early in February" says Roy Morgan Research

Latest political poll sees National builds winning lead over Labour/Greens opposition in New Zealand, "following TPP signing ceremony in Auckland early in February" says Roy Morgan Research

Content supplied by Roy Morgan Research

During February support for Nationals was up 1.5% to 48.5% well ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 41.5% (unchanged) in the second Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll for 2016.

If a New Zealand Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows National would be re-elected comfortably.

Support for the National partners showed a sharp fall in support for the Maori Party, down 2% to 1%, Act NZ was 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future was 0% (unchanged).

Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties - Labour’s support is now at 27% (down 0.5%), Greens 14.5% (up 0.5%), NZ First is 6% (down 0.5%).

Of the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1% (unchanged), the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0.5% (up 0.5%) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (up 0.5%).

The NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 128pts (down 3.5pts) in February. A majority of NZ electors 56.5% (down 3%) say NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 28.5% (up 0.5%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. NZ Government Confidence is much higher than in Australia.

Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman, Roy Morgan Research, says:

“Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows National 48.5% (up 1.5% since January) strengthening their winning lead over a potential Labour/ Greens alliance 41.5% (unchanged) despite reports of caucus factions within the National Government in relation to New Zealand’s Flag referendum taking place next month.

“Earlier in February New Zealand hosted the signing ceremony for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) – a free trade agreement between 12 nations around the Pacific Rim including New Zealand, Australia, United States, Mexico and Japan. The 12 nations of the TPP represent 40% of the world economy and the TPP will provide New Zealand businesses with tremendous growth possibilities once fully ratified by all nations.

“In February both NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence – 128pts (down 3.5pts) and the ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating – 119.7 (down 2.7pts) have fallen, although both remain well above their counterparts in Australia.”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 896 electors in February 2016. Of all electors surveyed 7% (up 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

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TVNZ has also published a political poll update, here.

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27 Comments

interesting, why do they not add NZ first to a green/ labour coalition. Very unlikely WP would join national with JK in charge

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Very unlikely WP would get into bed with the Greens. NZ First will muddle along until WP either dies or retires then it will fade away like the Conservatives.

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Never been a big fan of WP but i do like Ron Mark and if he were to take over from Winston I can see them becoming more popular....

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WP hates the Green's IMHO....

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Not so sure on the Conservatives almost got to 5%...

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Like Andrew, Ron does not have the X factor. Both parties need to bring in fresh blood.

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rumor is shane jones will be back as WP successor and northland MP.
he was misplaced in labour

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Is that Hotel Porn-Boy?

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It is only my opinion, but it could be true what I heard my second cousin say - Shane's son booked it and Shane took the rap. Just an opinion based on a rumour, but that raised my view of him.

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Actually Andrew Little is shaping up a bit IMHO, trouble is the rest are looking pretty rotten inside Labour.

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its a pity stuart nash is not one of the in crowd, he would be good on the front bench

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Here's more proof that the average kiwi loves that their fellow kiwis cannot afford a home to live in and a continuation of excessive immigration levels which are changing the face of NZ and resulting in a corrupt society.

Egalitarianism is dead, going to go listen to Max on George FM.

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I have never met anyone who thinks like that, I'd suggest that mostly ppl just dont care.

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People do care - they simply feel powerless

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Yeah, so powerless that they vote for John Key and maintaining the status quo. Makes sense.

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Well the alternative was Labour and the Greens a somewhat hard left combo, hardly surprising they got wiped out.

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Some do, yeah.

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I would argue the 48% of people who actually voted, do care and are happy to have us continuously sell out.

We need a nationalistic rising. Simple as that. Hopefully if Trump wins, that will inspire some of us here.

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Trump? you have got to be kidding...

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Trump is obviously not the best example but some nationalism would be a good thing for this country. And not the rugby kind.

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If voting made any difference they'd ban it.

NZ is an oligarchy, set up to loot resources for the benefit of a few at the top of the pyramid. NZ had the Norman system -which continues to this day- imposed on it when it was colonised (just like the US, Canada, Australia etc.)

Lying on a continuous basis (and extreme violence) were necessary to establish the system, and are necessary to maintain the system in the short term. Hence, most New Zealanders are more-or-less completely clueless when it comes to the financial system, the economy, demographics, the energy predicament and the climate predicament.

2016 will almost certainly be the year 'everything' changes.

.

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I reckon there are a couple of years of deterioration to go yet.

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New Flag a done deal with the shadow Prime Minister RICHIE McCAW coming out in favour of a new flag.
Until i see it flying from the top of his Versatile Garage or being towed behind a glider i won't believe it.
I just hope that the shadow Deputy Prime Minister Brendan McCULLUM doesn't put his name to a change.
Good old NZ,where we are concerned only about the real issues.

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If most people are like me they vote National mostly to keep Labour and the Greens out of power rather than National in power. The left mean well, but unintended consequences of policies (did WFF do anything other than raising house prices and if it was removed would people be no worse off than before it was introduced?) make National seem a safe pair of hands, because they don’t do much.

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You mean the safe pair of hands which have completely driven housing to bubble territory? Failed to achieve their holy grail "surplus" and increased debt to over 120billion when we could have avoided that by not implementing tax cuts we could not afford?

Ok.

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SpaceX.....you are ranting.......when you can stand in a bucket and lift yourself up by the handles maybe I'll take notice!

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And you blame rising house prices on WFF. Instead of looking at the real causes. Mainly due to National's inaction.

There's no point arguing with you because you wouldn't change your views even with evidence.

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